MACHINEPregame forecasts

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2026

Before tip-off MACHINE plays each regular-season game 10,000 times, possession by possession. A game is first run about 12 hours before the tip and rerun when injury or lineup news changes who is expected to play; the newest run before the tip is the forecast shown and graded.

Games11
Forecasts11
Day record10–1
Season record39–25

Hit = the team MACHINE gave more than a 50% chance won. Every forecast is labelled experimental. Season: 64 graded forecasts in 2026-27.

7:00 PM ET Made 25 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game ATL at ORL
ATLHawks
50.6%49.4%
MagicORL
132–125
Hit
Expected score
ATL 117.7 – ORL 117.6
Margin
ATL by 0.2 · 80% ATL +21 to ORL +22
Total
235.3 · 80% 209–262
7:00 PM ET Made 25 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game MIL at WAS
MILBucks
49.8%50.2%
WizardsWAS
116–128
Hit
Expected score
MIL 115.1 – WAS 115.3
Margin
WAS by 0.2 · 80% MIL +22 to WAS +22
Total
230.5 · 80% 205–257
7:30 PM ET Made 8 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game MIN at MIA
MINTimberwolves
50.8%49.2%
HeatMIA
131–106
Hit
Expected score
MIN 122.9 – MIA 122.4
Margin
MIN by 0.5 · 80% MIN +22 to MIA +21
Total
245.3 · 80% 219–272
7:30 PM ET Made 6 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game CHA at BKN
CHAHornets
60.2%39.8%
NetsBKN
110–103
Hit
Expected score
CHA 109.4 – BKN 105.5
Margin
CHA by 3.9 · 80% CHA +25 to BKN +18
Total
214.9 · 80% 190–240
7:30 PM ET Made 8 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game CHI at TOR
CHIBulls
36.0%64.0%
RaptorsTOR
92–135
Hit
Expected score
CHI 115.6 – TOR 121.7
Margin
TOR by 6.0 · 80% CHI +15 to TOR +28
Total
237.3 · 80% 211–264
8:00 PM ET Made 12 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game UTA at MEM
UTAJazz
52.3%47.7%
GrizzliesMEM
103–123
Miss
Expected score
UTA 122.3 – MEM 121.5
Margin
UTA by 0.8 · 80% UTA +23 to MEM +22
Total
243.8 · 80% 218–270
8:00 PM ET Made 12 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game IND at NOP
INDPacers
51.0%49.0%
PelicansNOP
123–120
Hit
Expected score
IND 119.3 – NOP 118.9
Margin
IND by 0.4 · 80% IND +22 to NOP +21
Total
238.2 · 80% 213–264
8:30 PM ET Made 10 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game DAL at HOU
DALMavericks
41.9%58.1%
RocketsHOU
110–128
Hit
Expected score
DAL 113.0 – HOU 116.3
Margin
HOU by 3.3 · 80% DAL +17 to HOU +24
Total
229.3 · 80% 204–255
10:00 PM ET Made 5 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game GSW at LAL
GSWWarriors
39.3%60.7%
LakersLAL
105–127
Hit
Expected score
GSW 111.1 – LAL 115.4
Margin
LAL by 4.3 · 80% GSW +17 to LAL +25
Total
226.5 · 80% 201–252
10:00 PM ET Made 5 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game PHX at POR
PHXSuns
39.7%60.3%
Trail BlazersPOR
83–124
Hit
Expected score
PHX 109.2 – POR 113.4
Margin
POR by 4.2 · 80% PHX +18 to POR +25
Total
222.6 · 80% 197–248
10:30 PM ET Made 11 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game SAC at LAC
SACKings
37.1%62.9%
ClippersLAC
96–121
Hit
Expected score
SAC 108.4 – LAC 113.5
Margin
LAC by 5.2 · 80% SAC +16 to LAC +26
Total
221.9 · 80% 197–247
Days2026-27 regular season

October 2026