Wed Oct 21Game 0022600004

Timberwolves at Heat

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2026 · Tip 7:30 PM ET

Final MIN 131 – MIA 106 Hit
Experimental

STRYKE live inference is NOT READY; every live pregame run is labelled experimental

Forecast made 8 m before tip, data cut off Oct 21, 7:22 PM ET, rerun after lineup news.

The 5 earlier runs this one replaced
Data cut offMIA winMarginTotal
Oct 21, 7:22 PM ET this run49.2%MIN by 0.5245.3
Oct 21, 7:16 PM ET49.8%MIN by 0.2245.0
Oct 21, 6:48 PM ET50.6%Level244.9
Oct 21, 6:28 PM ET48.8%MIN by 0.6245.9
Oct 21, 6:09 PM ET49.4%MIN by 0.2244.7
Oct 21, 6:01 PM ET49.0%MIN by 0.3245.2
01Win probability
MIN50.8%
49.2%MIA
Expected score
122.9–122.4
MIN–MIA, mean of 10,000 games
Margin
MIN +0.5
Mean, MIA minus MIN. 80%: MIN +22 to MIA +21
Total
245.3
80% 219–272; 95% 206–287
Overtime
2.5%
Simulation error on the win probability ±0.5 percentage points; 104.1 possessions a team
02Distributions over 10,000 simulated games
MIN pointsMedian 122
95% · 97 to 150 80% · 105 to 140 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Final 131
MIA pointsMedian 122
95% · 97 to 149 80% · 106 to 139 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Final 106
MarginMedian MIN +1
95% · MIN +34 to MIA +33 80% · MIN +22 to MIA +21 −50 −40 −30 −20 −10 0 +10 +20 +30 +40 +50 ← MIN wins by · MIA wins by → Final MIN +25
TotalMedian 245
95% · 206 to 287 80% · 219 to 272 200 220 240 260 280 300 Final 237

One bar per point; height = share of simulated games. Shaded bands and brackets mark the middle 80% and 95% of games; the white line is the final.

03Margin through the game
MIA minus MIN, regulationMedian · 80% · 90% of games
MIN 30 MIN 20 MIN 10 0 MIA 10 MIA 20 MIA 30 Q1Q2Q3Q4 MIA ahead MIN ahead
MIN 30 MIN 20 MIN 10 0 MIA 10 MIA 20 MIA 30 Q1Q2Q3Q4 MIA ahead MIN ahead
Every 30 seconds of game time. The line is the median margin of the simulated games at that moment, the bands hold the middle 80% and 90%.
04By quarter
Period MIN mean MIA mean Margin mean Total mean MIA leads after Games
Q1 30.5 30.5 MIN by 0.1 61.0 47.7% 10,000
Q2 30.6 30.5 MIN by 0.1 61.2 48.1% 10,000
Q3 30.8 30.7 MIN by 0.1 61.5 48.2% 10,000
Q4 30.6 30.4 MIN by 0.2 60.9 48.0% 10,000
OT1 13.2 12.9 MIN by 0.2 26.1 47.0% 247
OT2 13.7 12.0 MIN by 1.7 25.7 27.3% 11
OT3 10.0 15.0 MIA by 5.0 25.0 100.0% 1

Points scored within each period. Overtime rows cover only the simulated games that reached them.

05Players

Per-player distributions start with MACHINE contract 0.13 (2026-10-28); this run predates them. The simulated rotation is shown instead.

Rebounds and assists not modelled

MIN Minnesota Timberwolves

Player Dressed Starts Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Fouls Foul out
Cody Williams 99% 76% 26.8 7.4 6.4 7.4 5.6 0.10 1.6 0.8%
Anthony Edwards 96% 61% 23.6 6.1 5.9 6.3 5.2 0.08 1.5 0.8%
Ayo Dosunmu 99% 56% 23.5 6.2 6.1 6.1 5.1 0.07 1.7 1.1%
LaMelo Ball 99% 61% 23.1 6.2 5.7 6.2 5.0 0.08 2.4 5.1%
Rudy Gobert 96% 56% 23.0 6.0 5.8 6.1 5.1 0.07 1.8 1.7%
Jaden McDaniels 96% 57% 22.6 6.0 5.7 6.0 4.9 0.07 2.4 5.3%
Nah'Shon Hyland 98% 5% 16.8 3.9 4.7 3.8 4.4 0.03 1.3 0.4%
Terrence Shannon Jr. 96% 35% 15.0 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.4 0.04 1.1 0.4%
Jonathan Kuminga 88% 4% 13.3 3.1 3.6 3.0 3.5 0.02 0.8 0.2%
Jaylen Clark 96% 27% 11.2 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 0.02 0.9 0.3%
Joan Beringer 96% 29% 10.5 2.8 2.5 2.6 2.7 0.01 1.4 2.5%
Donte DiVincenzo 28% 23% 6.7 1.9 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.02 0.5 0.3%
Zyon Pullin 93% 1% 4.0 0.5 0.9 0.7 1.9 0.01 0.5 0.2%
Rocco Zikarsky 93% 0% 3.5 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.8 0.01 0.3 0.0%
Enrique Freeman 93% 1% 3.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.7 0.00 0.4 0.1%
Drew Timme 68% 1% 3.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 1.4 0.00 0.3 0.1%
Antonio Reeves 69% 0% 2.7 0.3 0.6 0.4 1.3 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Norchad Omier 68% 1% 2.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.00 0.2 0.2%
Julius Randle 5% 3% 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.01 0.1 0.2%
Kenyon Martin Jr. 33% 1% 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Trey Lyles 34% 1% 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Isaiah Evans 33% 1% 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.00 0.1 0.0%
5 more MIN players average under half a minute
  • Mike Conley dressed 5%
  • Naz Reid dressed 1%
  • Julian Phillips dressed 4%
  • Joe Ingles dressed 3%
  • Kyle Anderson dressed 0%

MIA Miami Heat

Player Dressed Starts Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Fouls Foul out
Bam Adebayo 100% 97% 31.5 9.1 7.4 8.8 6.3 0.12 1.5 0.5%
Andrew Wiggins 99% 93% 26.4 7.6 6.4 7.3 5.1 0.08 2.3 2.9%
Davion Mitchell 100% 93% 25.8 7.5 6.3 7.1 4.9 0.08 2.1 1.8%
Giannis G. Antetokounmpo 97% 68% 24.5 6.6 6.2 6.4 5.3 0.07 1.7 1.3%
Pelle Larsson 99% 31% 21.0 4.9 5.6 5.2 5.3 0.07 1.7 1.3%
Bez Mbeng 97% 28% 20.8 4.8 5.5 5.1 5.4 0.06 1.9 2.4%
Tim Hardaway Jr. 88% 14% 16.5 4.0 4.4 3.9 4.3 0.03 1.0 0.1%
Klay Thompson 88% 6% 13.7 3.2 3.7 3.2 3.7 0.02 0.7 0.0%
Bobby Portis Jr. 78% 8% 9.8 2.2 2.6 2.3 2.7 0.02 0.6 0.1%
Nick Richards 77% 12% 8.2 1.9 2.2 1.9 2.2 0.02 0.8 0.5%
Tyler Herro 27% 25% 6.8 2.0 1.7 1.9 1.3 0.02 0.4 0.1%
Keshad Johnson 96% 3% 6.7 1.2 1.7 1.4 2.4 0.01 0.6 0.2%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 28% 2% 5.4 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.5 0.01 0.3 0.1%
Myron Gardner 93% 1% 3.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.8 0.00 0.7 1.2%
Simone Fontecchio 44% 4% 3.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.01 0.3 0.1%
Vladislav Goldin 93% 1% 3.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 1.6 0.00 0.5 0.5%
Kel'el Ware 8% 4% 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Gabe Madsen 34% 1% 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Ian Schieffelin 33% 1% 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Nikola Jović 34% 0% 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Lester Quinones 33% 1% 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Norman Powell 9% 1% 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Tre Donaldson 34% 1% 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Ryan Conwell 33% 1% 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Kylor Kelley 33% 1% 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.00 0.1 0.0%
J'Vonne Hadley 33% 1% 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.00 0.1 0.0%
5 more MIA players average under half a minute
  • Kasparas Jakučionis dressed 5%
  • Ezra Ausar dressed 6%
  • Trevor Keels dressed 3%
  • Jahmir Young dressed 3%
  • Dru Smith dressed 0%
06Simulated play-by-play

Three of the 10,000 simulated games, possession by possession: shots by zone, free throws, turnovers and substitutions. The clock is the time left in the period when the possession starts; the score is after it; the last column is the share of simulated games MIA goes on to win from that point.

Simulated game 1,406 of 10,000 · the stored game closest to the median margin and total

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MIN22313021104
MIA26282623103
Quarter 1 MIN 22, MIA 26 in the period
  1. MINStarters: Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr., Cody Williams, Joan Beringer
  2. MIAStarters: Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Nick Richards, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware
  3. 12:00 MIA Mitchell turnover MIN 0 – MIA 0 49%
  4. 11:53 MIN Edwards makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 2 – MIA 0 45%
  5. 11:29 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 2 – MIA 0 45%
  6. 11:06 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 4 – MIA 0 47%
  7. 11:04 MIA Ware makes layup (restricted area) MIN 4 – MIA 2 45%
  8. 10:42 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 4 – MIA 2 45%
  9. 10:32 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Wiggins 0 of 2 free throws MIN 4 – MIA 2 44%
  10. 10:06 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Shannon Jr. turnover MIN 4 – MIA 2 44%
  11. 9:56 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) MIN 4 – MIA 4 52%
  12. 9:50 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Shannon Jr. 2 of 2 free throws MIN 6 – MIA 4 44%
  13. 9:44 MIA Adebayo 1 of 2 free throws MIN 6 – MIA 5 48%
  14. 9:25 MIN Williams makes layup (restricted area) MIN 8 – MIA 5 40%
  15. 8:49 MIA Mitchell 2 of 2 free throws MIN 8 – MIA 7 49%
  16. 8:37 MIN Williams misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 8 – MIA 7 48%
  17. 8:30 MIA Adebayo turnover MIN 8 – MIA 7 48%
  18. 8:23 MIN Edwards 2 of 2 free throws MIN 10 – MIA 7 38%
  19. 8:10 MIA Adebayo 1 of 2 free throws MIN 10 – MIA 8 44%
  20. 7:45 MIN Shannon Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; McDaniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 10 – MIA 8 46%
  21. 7:27 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area) MIN 10 – MIA 8 46%
  22. 7:16 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Williams turnover MIN 10 – MIA 8 46%
  23. 7:10 MIA Ware turnover MIN 10 – MIA 8 46%
  24. 7:05 MIN Beringer misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Edwards turnover MIN 10 – MIA 8 43%
  25. 6:58 MIA Mitchell turnover MIN 10 – MIA 8 43%
  26. MIASubstitution: in Bez Mbeng; out Davion Mitchell
  27. 6:36 MIN McDaniels 2 of 2 free throws MIN 12 – MIA 8 43%
  28. 6:16 MIA Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 12 – MIA 8 43%
  29. 6:07 MIN Shannon Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 12 – MIA 8 42%
  30. MINSubstitution: in Ayo Dosunmu; out Joan Beringer
  31. 5:40 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Adebayo makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 12 – MIA 10 44%
  32. 5:37 MIN Williams misses layup (restricted area) MIN 12 – MIA 10 45%
  33. 5:15 MIA Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 12 – MIA 13 53%
  34. MINSubstitution: in Jonathan Kuminga, Joan Beringer; out Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr.
  35. 4:49 MIN Dosunmu makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 15 – MIA 13 41%
  36. 4:23 MIA Wiggins turnover MIN 15 – MIA 13 40%
  37. MINSubstitution: in Nah'Shon Hyland; out Cody Williams
  38. 3:53 MIN Kuminga makes layup (restricted area) MIN 17 – MIA 13 38%
  39. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell; out Nick Richards
  40. 3:28 MIA Ware makes layup (restricted area) MIN 17 – MIA 15 42%
  41. 3:14 MIN Dosunmu misses layup (restricted area) MIN 17 – MIA 15 44%
  42. MIASubstitution: in Giannis G. Antetokounmpo; out Andrew Wiggins
  43. 2:56 MIA Mitchell makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 17 – MIA 18 50%
  44. 2:53 MIN Hyland turnover MIN 17 – MIA 18 50%
  45. MINSubstitution: in Cody Williams; out Jaden McDaniels
  46. 2:44 MIA Antetokounmpo 2 of 2 free throws MIN 17 – MIA 20 58%
  47. 2:30 MIN Dosunmu turnover MIN 17 – MIA 20 58%
  48. 2:26 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 17 – MIA 22 66%
  49. MIASubstitution: in Nikola Jović; out Kel'el Ware
  50. 1:59 MIN Kuminga misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Williams makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 19 – MIA 22 57%
  51. 1:53 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 19 – MIA 24 66%
  52. 1:43 MIN Kuminga makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made MIN 22 – MIA 24 55%
  53. 1:24 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 22 – MIA 24 55%
  54. 1:09 MIN Dosunmu misses layup (restricted area) MIN 22 – MIA 24 55%
  55. 1:08 MIA Antetokounmpo makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 22 – MIA 26 64%
  56. 0:42 MIN Beringer turnover MIN 22 – MIA 26 60%
  57. 0:12 MIA Jović misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 22 – MIA 26 62%
Quarter 2 MIN 31, MIA 28 in the period · score after MIN 53 – MIA 54
  1. MINSubstitution: in Terrence Shannon Jr.; out Nah'Shon Hyland
  2. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr., Myron Gardner; out Bam Adebayo, Bez Mbeng
  3. 12:00 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 24 – MIA 26 54%
  4. 11:33 MIA Hardaway Jr. turnover MIN 24 – MIA 26 57%
  5. 11:28 MIN Kuminga makes layup (restricted area) MIN 26 – MIA 26 52%
  6. 11:24 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 26 – MIA 29 61%
  7. 11:12 MIN Dosunmu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Kuminga 1 of 2 free throws MIN 27 – MIA 29 57%
  8. 10:50 MIA Antetokounmpo 1 of 2 free throws MIN 27 – MIA 30 60%
  9. MINSubstitution: in Anthony Edwards; out Joan Beringer
  10. 10:33 MIN Edwards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 29 – MIA 30 50%
  11. 10:29 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 29 – MIA 30 50%
  12. 9:56 MIN Kuminga makes layup (restricted area) MIN 31 – MIA 30 49%
  13. 9:42 MIA Jović turnover MIN 31 – MIA 30 47%
  14. 9:27 MIN Edwards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 33 – MIA 30 41%
  15. 9:12 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Antetokounmpo turnover MIN 33 – MIA 30 41%
  16. 8:55 MIN Shannon Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 33 – MIA 30 41%
  17. 8:45 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 33 – MIA 30 40%
  18. 8:28 MIN Dosunmu 2 of 2 free throws MIN 35 – MIA 30 33%
  19. MINSubstitution: in Jaden McDaniels; out Terrence Shannon Jr.
  20. 8:13 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) MIN 35 – MIA 32 37%
  21. MINSubstitution: in Nah'Shon Hyland; out Jonathan Kuminga
  22. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards; out Myron Gardner
  23. 7:50 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 35 – MIA 32 37%
  24. 7:41 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 35 – MIA 34 46%
  25. 7:36 MIN Edwards turnover MIN 35 – MIA 34 46%
  26. 7:35 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 35 – MIA 36 60%
  27. MINSubstitution: in Joan Beringer; out Ayo Dosunmu
  28. 7:07 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 38 – MIA 36 46%
  29. 7:07 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 38 – MIA 36 46%
  30. 7:04 MIN Edwards misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 40 – MIA 36 41%
  31. MINSubstitution: in Ayo Dosunmu; out Joan Beringer
  32. MIASubstitution: in Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo, Nikola Jović
  33. 6:29 MIA Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 40 – MIA 39 51%
  34. 6:27 MIN Hyland misses layup (restricted area) MIN 40 – MIA 39 51%
  35. 6:21 MIA Richards turnover MIN 40 – MIA 39 51%
  36. 6:20 MIN McDaniels makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 42 – MIA 39 44%
  37. MINSubstitution: in Terrence Shannon Jr.; out Cody Williams
  38. 6:01 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Adebayo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Ware 2 of 2 free throws MIN 42 – MIA 41 50%
  39. MIASubstitution: in Bez Mbeng; out Davion Mitchell
  40. 5:43 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 42 – MIA 41 44%
  41. 5:22 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area) MIN 42 – MIA 41 44%
  42. 5:16 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 42 – MIA 41 44%
  43. 5:02 MIA Richards 2 of 2 free throws MIN 42 – MIA 43 53%
  44. 4:52 MIN Dosunmu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 42 – MIA 43 53%
  45. 4:43 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Adebayo turnover MIN 42 – MIA 43 50%
  46. 4:28 MIN Shannon Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 42 – MIA 43 50%
  47. 4:25 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 42 – MIA 43 50%
  48. MINSubstitution: in Joan Beringer; out Anthony Edwards
  49. 4:08 MIN Dosunmu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 42 – MIA 43 50%
  50. MINSubstitution: in Jonathan Kuminga; out Nah'Shon Hyland
  51. 4:00 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 42 – MIA 43 50%
  52. 3:50 MIN Shannon Jr. turnover MIN 42 – MIA 43 50%
  53. 3:46 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Adebayo turnover MIN 42 – MIA 43 50%
  54. 3:42 MIN Shannon Jr. turnover MIN 42 – MIA 43 52%
  55. 3:25 MIA Mbeng misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 42 – MIA 43 52%
  56. 3:20 MIN Dosunmu makes layup (restricted area) MIN 44 – MIA 43 42%
  57. MINSubstitution: in Cody Williams; out Terrence Shannon Jr.
  58. 3:03 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Richards turnover MIN 44 – MIA 43 42%
  59. 2:46 MIN Williams 1 of 2 free throws MIN 45 – MIA 43 45%
  60. 2:30 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area) MIN 45 – MIA 43 45%
  61. 2:06 MIN Williams misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 45 – MIA 43 45%
  62. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  63. 1:59 MIA Richards makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), and one: free throw made MIN 45 – MIA 46 52%
  64. 1:37 MIN McDaniels makes layup (restricted area) MIN 47 – MIA 46 46%
  65. 1:32 MIA Wiggins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 47 – MIA 49 56%
  66. MIASubstitution: in Myron Gardner; out Nick Richards
  67. 1:18 MIN McDaniels makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 50 – MIA 49 46%
  68. 1:10 MIA Wiggins turnover MIN 50 – MIA 49 46%
  69. 1:02 MIN Kuminga makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 53 – MIA 49 37%
  70. 0:50 MIA Mbeng makes layup (restricted area) MIN 53 – MIA 51 42%
  71. 0:32 MIN McDaniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 53 – MIA 51 38%
  72. 0:13 MIA Mbeng makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 53 – MIA 54 54%
  73. 0:05 MIN McDaniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 53 – MIA 54 51%
Quarter 3 MIN 30, MIA 26 in the period · score after MIN 83 – MIA 80
  1. MINSubstitution: in Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr.; out Jonathan Kuminga, Ayo Dosunmu
  2. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards, Davion Mitchell; out Myron Gardner, Bez Mbeng
  3. 12:00 MIN Shannon Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIN 55 – MIA 54 49%
  4. 11:35 MIA Wiggins turnover MIN 55 – MIA 54 45%
  5. 11:16 MIN Beringer turnover MIN 55 – MIA 54 45%
  6. 11:11 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 55 – MIA 54 45%
  7. 11:06 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 58 – MIA 54 34%
  8. 11:02 MIA Adebayo misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Wiggins 2 of 2 free throws MIN 58 – MIA 56 44%
  9. 11:00 MIN Shannon Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 60 – MIA 56 32%
  10. 10:37 MIA Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) MIN 60 – MIA 58 44%
  11. 10:34 MIN Shannon Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 62 – MIA 58 35%
  12. 10:29 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 62 – MIA 58 35%
  13. 10:06 MIN Williams turnover MIN 62 – MIA 58 33%
  14. 9:59 MIA Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 62 – MIA 58 33%
  15. 9:37 MIN McDaniels 2 of 2 free throws MIN 64 – MIA 58 27%
  16. 9:17 MIA Adebayo turnover MIN 64 – MIA 58 27%
  17. 9:09 MIN McDaniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Edwards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 66 – MIA 58 25%
  18. 8:43 MIA Richards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 66 – MIA 60 24%
  19. 8:39 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 66 – MIA 60 27%
  20. 8:10 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 66 – MIA 60 26%
  21. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Davion Mitchell
  22. 7:45 MIN McDaniels misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 66 – MIA 60 26%
  23. MIASubstitution: in Myron Gardner; out Bam Adebayo
  24. 7:14 MIA Gardner makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 66 – MIA 63 37%
  25. 7:11 MIN McDaniels misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Beringer turnover MIN 66 – MIA 63 37%
  26. 7:08 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 66 – MIA 63 38%
  27. 6:51 MIN Shannon Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 68 – MIA 63 31%
  28. 6:49 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 68 – MIA 63 31%
  29. 6:35 MIN McDaniels turnover MIN 68 – MIA 63 29%
  30. 6:18 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Ware makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 68 – MIA 65 38%
  31. 5:56 MIN Shannon Jr. turnover MIN 68 – MIA 65 38%
  32. MINSubstitution: in Nah'Shon Hyland; out Terrence Shannon Jr.
  33. MIASubstitution: in Keshad Johnson; out Kel'el Ware
  34. 5:34 MIA Wiggins 2 of 2 free throws MIN 68 – MIA 67 47%
  35. 5:11 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 68 – MIA 67 47%
  36. 5:03 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 68 – MIA 67 46%
  37. 5:00 MIN Edwards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 70 – MIA 67 36%
  38. MINSubstitution: in Ayo Dosunmu; out Joan Beringer
  39. MIASubstitution: in Nikola Jović, Bez Mbeng; out Nick Richards, Keshad Johnson
  40. 4:25 MIA Mbeng makes layup (restricted area) MIN 70 – MIA 69 43%
  41. 4:17 MIN Dosunmu makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 72 – MIA 69 36%
  42. 4:05 MIA Hardaway Jr. 2 of 2 free throws MIN 72 – MIA 71 39%
  43. MINSubstitution: in Jonathan Kuminga; out Cody Williams
  44. 3:47 MIN Dosunmu turnover MIN 72 – MIA 71 39%
  45. MINSubstitution: in Trey Lyles; out Anthony Edwards
  46. 3:38 MIA Hardaway Jr. 1 of 2 free throws MIN 72 – MIA 72 51%
  47. MIASubstitution: in Bam Adebayo; out Myron Gardner
  48. 3:14 MIN Dosunmu misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Kuminga makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 75 – MIA 72 34%
  49. 3:00 MIA Mbeng misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 75 – MIA 72 34%
  50. 2:42 MIN Dosunmu makes layup (restricted area) MIN 77 – MIA 72 32%
  51. 2:42 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 77 – MIA 72 32%
  52. 2:36 MIN Dosunmu misses layup (restricted area) MIN 77 – MIA 72 31%
  53. 2:20 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made MIN 77 – MIA 75 42%
  54. 1:56 MIN McDaniels misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Lyles makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 80 – MIA 75 29%
  55. 1:54 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 80 – MIA 75 27%
  56. 1:27 MIN Kuminga makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 83 – MIA 75 24%
  57. MINSubstitution: in Terrence Shannon Jr.; out Jaden McDaniels
  58. 1:02 MIA Adebayo turnover MIN 83 – MIA 75 19%
  59. 0:58 MIN Lyles misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 83 – MIA 75 19%
  60. 0:37 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 83 – MIA 75 19%
  61. 0:35 MIN Lyles misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 83 – MIA 75 19%
  62. 0:32 MIA Wiggins 2 of 2 free throws MIN 83 – MIA 77 21%
  63. 0:20 MIN Dosunmu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Kuminga 0 of 2 free throws MIN 83 – MIA 77 21%
  64. 0:16 MIA Wiggins makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 83 – MIA 80 30%
Quarter 4 MIN 21, MIA 23 in the period · score after MIN 104 – MIA 103
  1. MINSubstitution: in Jaden McDaniels; out Trey Lyles
  2. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards; out Andrew Wiggins
  3. 12:00 MIA Jović 2 of 2 free throws MIN 83 – MIA 82 43%
  4. 11:35 MIN Hyland turnover MIN 83 – MIA 82 38%
  5. 11:21 MIA Richards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 83 – MIA 84 51%
  6. 11:11 MIN Dosunmu makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 86 – MIA 84 44%
  7. 11:07 MIA Richards turnover MIN 86 – MIA 84 37%
  8. MINSubstitution: in Cody Williams; out Jonathan Kuminga
  9. 10:43 MIN Hyland turnover MIN 86 – MIA 84 40%
  10. 10:25 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 86 – MIA 87 47%
  11. 9:53 MIN Williams misses layup (restricted area) MIN 86 – MIA 87 47%
  12. 9:45 MIA Richards makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 86 – MIA 89 61%
  13. 9:26 MIN Hyland misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Dosunmu misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 86 – MIA 89 61%
  14. 9:25 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 86 – MIA 89 61%
  15. 9:12 MIN McDaniels misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Hyland turnover MIN 86 – MIA 89 61%
  16. 9:04 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Adebayo turnover MIN 86 – MIA 89 64%
  17. 8:48 MIN Shannon Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 86 – MIA 89 64%
  18. 8:45 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 86 – MIA 89 65%
  19. MIASubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  20. 8:13 MIN Hyland turnover MIN 86 – MIA 89 65%
  21. 8:06 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area) MIN 86 – MIA 89 67%
  22. MINSubstitution: in Jonathan Kuminga; out Terrence Shannon Jr.
  23. 7:30 MIN Kuminga misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 86 – MIA 89 68%
  24. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell, Myron Gardner; out Nikola Jović, Bez Mbeng
  25. 6:55 MIA Gardner misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 86 – MIA 89 68%
  26. 6:39 MIN Kuminga makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 89 – MIA 89 48%
  27. 6:34 MIA Adebayo turnover MIN 89 – MIA 89 47%
  28. MINSubstitution: in Terrence Shannon Jr.; out Nah'Shon Hyland
  29. 6:19 MIN Shannon Jr. turnover MIN 89 – MIA 89 47%
  30. MINSubstitution: in LaMelo Ball; out Ayo Dosunmu
  31. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins; out Myron Gardner
  32. 6:05 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 89 – MIA 89 42%
  33. 5:58 MIN Kuminga turnover MIN 89 – MIA 89 42%
  34. 5:32 MIA Richards turnover MIN 89 – MIA 89 45%
  35. 5:23 MIN Kuminga makes layup (restricted area) MIN 91 – MIA 89 35%
  36. 5:16 MIA Wiggins turnover MIN 91 – MIA 89 35%
  37. 5:01 MIN Shannon Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIN 93 – MIA 89 25%
  38. 4:53 MIA Mitchell misses layup (restricted area) MIN 93 – MIA 89 25%
  39. 4:44 MIN Kuminga misses layup (restricted area) MIN 93 – MIA 89 25%
  40. MINSubstitution: in Trey Lyles; out Terrence Shannon Jr.
  41. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Davion Mitchell
  42. 4:21 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area) MIN 93 – MIA 89 25%
  43. 4:04 MIN Kuminga misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 93 – MIA 89 21%
  44. 3:51 MIA Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 93 – MIA 92 47%
  45. 3:50 MIN Ball turnover MIN 93 – MIA 92 47%
  46. 3:41 MIA Wiggins 3 of 3 free throws MIN 93 – MIA 95 71%
  47. MINSubstitution: in Ayo Dosunmu; out Jaden McDaniels
  48. 3:18 MIN Ball makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 96 – MIA 95 41%
  49. 3:11 MIA Richards makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made MIN 96 – MIA 98 62%
  50. 2:54 MIN Lyles misses layup (restricted area) MIN 96 – MIA 98 62%
  51. 2:35 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 96 – MIA 98 66%
  52. 2:18 MIN Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw missed MIN 98 – MIA 98 51%
  53. 2:09 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses layup (restricted area) MIN 98 – MIA 98 50%
  54. 1:53 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Ball misses layup (restricted area) MIN 98 – MIA 98 50%
  55. 1:32 MIA Ware misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Richards makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 98 – MIA 100 74%
  56. 1:29 MIN Kuminga makes layup (restricted area) MIN 100 – MIA 100 48%
  57. MINSubstitution: in Nah'Shon Hyland; out Ayo Dosunmu
  58. 1:18 MIA Ware turnover MIN 100 – MIA 100 48%
  59. 1:11 MIN Lyles makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 103 – MIA 100 16%
  60. 1:08 MIA Richards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 103 – MIA 102 38%
  61. 0:50 MIN Kuminga turnover MIN 103 – MIA 102 38%
  62. 0:44 MIA Wiggins turnover MIN 103 – MIA 102 38%
  63. MINSubstitution: in Jaden McDaniels; out Trey Lyles
  64. 0:37 MIN Ball 1 of 2 free throws MIN 104 – MIA 102 16%
  65. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell; out Kel'el Ware
  66. 0:16 MIA Richards 1 of 2 free throws MIN 104 – MIA 103 0%

Simulated game 778 of 10,000 · the widest MIA win of all 10,000

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MIN1630212188
MIA51303334148
Quarter 1 MIN 16, MIA 51 in the period
  1. MINStarters: Rudy Gobert, LaMelo Ball, Jaden McDaniels, Jaylen Clark, Cody Williams
  2. MIAStarters: Klay Thompson, Giannis G. Antetokounmpo, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell
  3. 12:00 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 0 – MIA 2
  4. 11:52 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 2 – MIA 2 49%
  5. 11:45 MIA Antetokounmpo turnover MIN 2 – MIA 2 49%
  6. 11:30 MIN Ball misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 2 – MIA 2 49%
  7. 11:25 MIA Wiggins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 2 – MIA 5 55%
  8. 11:17 MIN Williams misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 2 – MIA 5 57%
  9. 10:51 MIA Wiggins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 2 – MIA 8 53%
  10. 10:38 MIN McDaniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 2 – MIA 8 63%
  11. 10:17 MIA Wiggins makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 2 – MIA 10 61%
  12. 9:40 MIN McDaniels misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 2 – MIA 10 61%
  13. 9:36 MIA Antetokounmpo misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) MIN 2 – MIA 12 79%
  14. 9:23 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 2 – MIA 12 79%
  15. 9:18 MIA Antetokounmpo makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 2 – MIA 15 100%
  16. 9:08 MIN Williams misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Gobert 2 of 2 free throws MIN 4 – MIA 15 56%
  17. 8:49 MIA Antetokounmpo turnover MIN 4 – MIA 15 56%
  18. 8:44 MIN Ball makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made MIN 7 – MIA 15 69%
  19. 8:18 MIA Mitchell makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 7 – MIA 17 75%
  20. 8:15 MIN Ball misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; McDaniels misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 7 – MIA 17 73%
  21. 7:53 MIA Mitchell turnover MIN 7 – MIA 17 73%
  22. MINSubstitution: in Anthony Edwards; out Jaylen Clark
  23. 7:40 MIN Edwards turnover MIN 7 – MIA 17 69%
  24. 7:27 MIA Antetokounmpo makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 7 – MIA 19 83%
  25. 7:07 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 7 – MIA 19 83%
  26. 7:03 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 7 – MIA 21 94%
  27. MIASubstitution: in Bobby Portis Jr.; out Klay Thompson
  28. 6:45 MIN McDaniels turnover MIN 7 – MIA 21 85%
  29. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Bam Adebayo
  30. 6:30 MIA Larsson 2 of 2 free throws MIN 7 – MIA 23 93%
  31. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr., Bez Mbeng; out Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell
  32. 6:10 MIN McDaniels misses layup (restricted area) MIN 7 – MIA 23 93%
  33. 6:09 MIA Portis Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 7 – MIA 25 100%
  34. 5:54 MIN Ball turnover MIN 7 – MIA 25 100%
  35. 5:47 MIA Larsson makes layup (restricted area) MIN 7 – MIA 27 100%
  36. MINSubstitution: in Ayo Dosunmu, Terrence Shannon Jr.; out Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels
  37. 5:29 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 7 – MIA 27 100%
  38. MIASubstitution: in Vladislav Goldin; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo
  39. 5:13 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIN 7 – MIA 29 100%
  40. 4:51 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 7 – MIA 29 100%
  41. 4:21 MIA Portis Jr. 2 of 2 free throws MIN 7 – MIA 31
  42. 4:10 MIN Williams 1 of 2 free throws MIN 8 – MIA 31 100%
  43. 4:10 MIA Goldin misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Hardaway Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 8 – MIA 33 100%
  44. 3:56 MIN Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 10 – MIA 33 100%
  45. 3:52 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 10 – MIA 36 100%
  46. 3:40 MIN Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 12 – MIA 36
  47. 3:39 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Goldin makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 12 – MIA 38 100%
  48. 3:36 MIN Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 14 – MIA 38 100%
  49. MINSubstitution: in Joan Beringer; out LaMelo Ball
  50. 3:17 MIA Goldin misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 14 – MIA 38 100%
  51. 2:53 MIN Edwards misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 14 – MIA 38 100%
  52. 2:41 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 14 – MIA 41 100%
  53. 2:39 MIN Edwards misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 14 – MIA 41 100%
  54. 2:19 MIA Portis Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIN 14 – MIA 43 100%
  55. MINSubstitution: in Nah'Shon Hyland; out Cody Williams
  56. 2:08 MIN Dosunmu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 14 – MIA 43 100%
  57. 1:59 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 14 – MIA 46 100%
  58. 1:45 MIN Beringer misses layup (restricted area) MIN 14 – MIA 46 100%
  59. 1:23 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 14 – MIA 49 100%
  60. 0:50 MIN Dosunmu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 14 – MIA 49 100%
  61. 0:28 MIA Portis Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIN 14 – MIA 51 100%
  62. 0:12 MIN Edwards 2 of 2 free throws MIN 16 – MIA 51 100%
Quarter 2 MIN 30, MIA 30 in the period · score after MIN 46 – MIA 81
  1. MINSubstitution: in Jonathan Kuminga; out Nah'Shon Hyland
  2. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell; out Tim Hardaway Jr., Bobby Portis Jr., Vladislav Goldin, Bez Mbeng
  3. 12:00 MIN Kuminga makes layup (restricted area) MIN 18 – MIA 51 100%
  4. 11:57 MIA Adebayo misses layup (restricted area) MIN 18 – MIA 51 100%
  5. 11:52 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 18 – MIA 51 100%
  6. 11:51 MIA Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 18 – MIA 54 100%
  7. MIASubstitution: in Bobby Portis Jr.; out Andrew Wiggins
  8. 11:16 MIN Dosunmu misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 18 – MIA 54 100%
  9. MINSubstitution: in Rudy Gobert; out Ayo Dosunmu
  10. 10:48 MIA Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 18 – MIA 54 100%
  11. 10:21 MIN Shannon Jr. 2 of 2 free throws MIN 20 – MIA 54 100%
  12. 10:19 MIA Portis Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 20 – MIA 54 100%
  13. 10:03 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 23 – MIA 54 100%
  14. MINSubstitution: in LaMelo Ball; out Terrence Shannon Jr.
  15. 9:44 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Portis Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIN 23 – MIA 56 100%
  16. 9:33 MIN Edwards makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw missed MIN 25 – MIA 56 100%
  17. 9:23 MIA Portis Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 25 – MIA 56 100%
  18. 9:10 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 27 – MIA 56 100%
  19. 8:58 MIA Adebayo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 27 – MIA 58 100%
  20. 8:57 MIN Ball makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 30 – MIA 58 100%
  21. MINSubstitution: in Jaden McDaniels; out Joan Beringer
  22. 8:40 MIA Adebayo turnover MIN 30 – MIA 58 100%
  23. 8:31 MIN Edwards misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 30 – MIA 58 100%
  24. 8:28 MIA Portis Jr. 2 of 2 free throws MIN 30 – MIA 60 100%
  25. 8:19 MIN McDaniels turnover MIN 30 – MIA 60 100%
  26. 7:53 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 30 – MIA 60 100%
  27. MIASubstitution: in Vladislav Goldin; out Bobby Portis Jr.
  28. 7:45 MIN Ball makes layup (restricted area) MIN 32 – MIA 60 100%
  29. 7:09 MIA Larsson turnover MIN 32 – MIA 60 100%
  30. 6:59 MIN Gobert misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 32 – MIA 60 100%
  31. MINSubstitution: in Ayo Dosunmu; out Jonathan Kuminga
  32. 6:35 MIA Mitchell makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made MIN 32 – MIA 63 100%
  33. 6:14 MIN Gobert turnover MIN 32 – MIA 63 100%
  34. 6:11 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 32 – MIA 63 100%
  35. MIASubstitution: in Bez Mbeng; out Pelle Larsson
  36. 5:58 MIN Gobert makes layup (restricted area) MIN 34 – MIA 63 100%
  37. 5:35 MIA Goldin misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 34 – MIA 63 100%
  38. 5:33 MIN McDaniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Ball 2 of 2 free throws MIN 36 – MIA 63 92%
  39. MINSubstitution: in Jaylen Clark, Cody Williams; out Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels
  40. 5:04 MIA Mitchell makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 36 – MIA 66 100%
  41. 4:55 MIN Clark misses layup (restricted area) MIN 36 – MIA 66 100%
  42. 4:32 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 36 – MIA 69 100%
  43. 4:12 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 36 – MIA 69 100%
  44. 3:51 MIA Adebayo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 36 – MIA 71 100%
  45. 3:36 MIN Gobert misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 36 – MIA 71 100%
  46. 3:31 MIA Mbeng makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made MIN 36 – MIA 74 100%
  47. 3:23 MIN Gobert misses layup (restricted area) MIN 36 – MIA 74 100%
  48. 3:22 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 36 – MIA 74 100%
  49. 3:09 MIN Williams makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 38 – MIA 74 100%
  50. 2:58 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 38 – MIA 74 100%
  51. 2:35 MIN Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 40 – MIA 74 100%
  52. MIASubstitution: in Bobby Portis Jr.; out Vladislav Goldin
  53. 2:21 MIA Thompson turnover MIN 40 – MIA 74 100%
  54. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins; out Klay Thompson
  55. 2:12 MIN Williams misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Gobert misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 40 – MIA 74 100%
  56. MINSubstitution: in Jonathan Kuminga; out Rudy Gobert
  57. 2:02 MIA Mitchell misses layup (restricted area) MIN 40 – MIA 74 100%
  58. 1:49 MIN Ball makes layup (restricted area) MIN 42 – MIA 74 100%
  59. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Bobby Portis Jr.
  60. 1:32 MIA Mitchell makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 42 – MIA 77 100%
  61. 1:11 MIN Kuminga misses layup (restricted area) MIN 42 – MIA 77 100%
  62. 0:51 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) MIN 42 – MIA 79 100%
  63. 0:35 MIN Kuminga makes layup (restricted area) MIN 44 – MIA 79 100%
  64. 0:24 MIA Larsson makes layup (restricted area) MIN 44 – MIA 81 100%
  65. 0:19 MIN Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 46 – MIA 81 100%
  66. MINSubstitution: in Jaden McDaniels; out Ayo Dosunmu
  67. 0:07 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 46 – MIA 81 98%
Quarter 3 MIN 21, MIA 33 in the period · score after MIN 67 – MIA 114
  1. MINSubstitution: in Rudy Gobert; out Jonathan Kuminga
  2. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson, Giannis G. Antetokounmpo; out Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson
  3. 12:00 MIN Clark misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Gobert turnover MIN 46 – MIA 81 98%
  4. 11:42 MIA Antetokounmpo makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 46 – MIA 84 98%
  5. 11:33 MIN McDaniels makes layup (restricted area) MIN 48 – MIA 84 98%
  6. 11:20 MIA Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 48 – MIA 87 98%
  7. 10:59 MIN Clark misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; McDaniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 48 – MIA 87 98%
  8. 10:54 MIA Mitchell misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 48 – MIA 87 98%
  9. 10:42 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 48 – MIA 87 98%
  10. 10:31 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) MIN 48 – MIA 89 100%
  11. 10:11 MIN Ball makes layup (restricted area) MIN 50 – MIA 89 100%
  12. 10:09 MIA Adebayo 2 of 2 free throws MIN 50 – MIA 91 100%
  13. 9:44 MIN Ball turnover MIN 50 – MIA 91 100%
  14. 9:27 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 50 – MIA 93 100%
  15. 8:55 MIN Ball turnover MIN 50 – MIA 93 100%
  16. 8:41 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 50 – MIA 95 100%
  17. 8:32 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 50 – MIA 95 100%
  18. MINSubstitution: in Joan Beringer; out Jaden McDaniels
  19. 8:06 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 50 – MIA 97 100%
  20. 7:57 MIN Gobert turnover MIN 50 – MIA 97 100%
  21. 7:47 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 50 – MIA 97 100%
  22. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo
  23. 7:24 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 50 – MIA 97 100%
  24. 7:08 MIA Larsson misses layup (restricted area) MIN 50 – MIA 97 100%
  25. 6:50 MIN Williams makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 52 – MIA 97 100%
  26. 6:17 MIA Adebayo turnover MIN 52 – MIA 97 100%
  27. 6:05 MIN Beringer turnover MIN 52 – MIA 97 100%
  28. MINSubstitution: in Nah'Shon Hyland; out Rudy Gobert
  29. 5:46 MIA Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 52 – MIA 100 100%
  30. MINSubstitution: in Anthony Edwards; out Cody Williams
  31. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Bam Adebayo
  32. 5:23 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 54 – MIA 100 100%
  33. MIASubstitution: in Vladislav Goldin; out Davion Mitchell
  34. 5:09 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 54 – MIA 102 100%
  35. MINSubstitution: in Ayo Dosunmu; out LaMelo Ball
  36. MIASubstitution: in Keshad Johnson; out Klay Thompson
  37. 4:44 MIN Hyland makes layup (restricted area) MIN 56 – MIA 102 100%
  38. 4:18 MIA Goldin makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 56 – MIA 105 100%
  39. 4:11 MIN Edwards misses layup (restricted area) MIN 56 – MIA 105 100%
  40. 3:54 MIA Goldin misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 56 – MIA 105 100%
  41. MINSubstitution: in LaMelo Ball; out Jaylen Clark
  42. MIASubstitution: in Bam Adebayo; out Vladislav Goldin
  43. 3:38 MIN Dosunmu turnover MIN 56 – MIA 105 100%
  44. 3:26 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 56 – MIA 105 100%
  45. 2:50 MIN Dosunmu makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 58 – MIA 105 100%
  46. 2:47 MIA Adebayo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 58 – MIA 107 100%
  47. 2:44 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 60 – MIA 107 100%
  48. 2:18 MIA Larsson makes layup (restricted area) MIN 60 – MIA 109 100%
  49. MIASubstitution: in Simone Fontecchio; out Bez Mbeng
  50. 1:56 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 62 – MIA 109 100%
  51. 1:50 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 62 – MIA 109 100%
  52. 1:27 MIN Hyland misses layup (restricted area) MIN 62 – MIA 109 100%
  53. 1:18 MIA Adebayo turnover MIN 62 – MIA 109 100%
  54. 1:07 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 65 – MIA 109 100%
  55. 0:52 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 65 – MIA 112 100%
  56. 0:40 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 67 – MIA 112 100%
  57. 0:39 MIA Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 67 – MIA 112 100%
  58. 0:36 MIN Edwards misses layup (restricted area) MIN 67 – MIA 112 100%
  59. 0:35 MIA Fontecchio makes layup (restricted area) MIN 67 – MIA 114 100%
  60. 0:14 MIN Hyland misses layup (restricted area) MIN 67 – MIA 114 100%
Quarter 4 MIN 21, MIA 34 in the period · score after MIN 88 – MIA 148
  1. MINSubstitution: in Jaden McDaniels, Jonathan Kuminga, Terrence Shannon Jr.; out LaMelo Ball, Ayo Dosunmu, Joan Beringer
  2. MIASubstitution: in Bez Mbeng; out Pelle Larsson
  3. 12:00 MIA Fontecchio 1 of 2 free throws MIN 67 – MIA 115 100%
  4. 11:39 MIN Kuminga 1 of 2 free throws MIN 68 – MIA 115 100%
  5. 11:14 MIA Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Mbeng 1 of 2 free throws MIN 68 – MIA 116 100%
  6. 11:06 MIN Hyland turnover MIN 68 – MIA 116 100%
  7. 10:51 MIA Adebayo turnover MIN 68 – MIA 116 100%
  8. 10:51 MIN Kuminga misses layup (restricted area) MIN 68 – MIA 116 100%
  9. 10:30 MIA Johnson misses layup (restricted area) MIN 68 – MIA 116 100%
  10. 10:01 MIN Shannon Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 68 – MIA 116 100%
  11. 9:46 MIA Johnson makes layup (restricted area) MIN 68 – MIA 118 100%
  12. MIASubstitution: in Vladislav Goldin; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  13. 9:32 MIN Edwards misses layup (restricted area) MIN 68 – MIA 118 100%
  14. MINSubstitution: in Zyon Pullin; out Jonathan Kuminga
  15. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Bam Adebayo
  16. 9:07 MIA Fontecchio makes layup (restricted area) MIN 68 – MIA 120 100%
  17. MINSubstitution: in LaMelo Ball; out Jaden McDaniels
  18. 8:35 MIN Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Shannon Jr. misses layup (restricted area) MIN 68 – MIA 120 100%
  19. 8:25 MIA Fontecchio makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 68 – MIA 123 100%
  20. 8:14 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 68 – MIA 123 100%
  21. 8:05 MIA Johnson makes layup (restricted area) MIN 68 – MIA 125 100%
  22. 8:01 MIN Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 68 – MIA 125 100%
  23. 7:55 MIA Johnson makes layup (restricted area) MIN 68 – MIA 127 100%
  24. 7:51 MIN Shannon Jr. misses layup (restricted area) MIN 68 – MIA 127 100%
  25. 7:46 MIA Mbeng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 68 – MIA 127 100%
  26. 7:41 MIN Shannon Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 68 – MIA 127 100%
  27. MIASubstitution: in Myron Gardner; out Bez Mbeng
  28. 7:32 MIA Thompson makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 68 – MIA 129 100%
  29. 7:27 MIN Ball 2 of 2 free throws MIN 70 – MIA 129 100%
  30. 7:22 MIA Goldin misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Fontecchio makes layup (restricted area) MIN 70 – MIA 131 100%
  31. MINSubstitution: in Rocco Zikarsky; out Terrence Shannon Jr.
  32. 6:58 MIN Ball 1 of 2 free throws MIN 71 – MIA 131 100%
  33. 6:47 MIA Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 71 – MIA 131 100%
  34. MINSubstitution: in Joan Beringer; out LaMelo Ball
  35. 6:12 MIN Beringer misses layup (restricted area) MIN 71 – MIA 131 100%
  36. MINSubstitution: in Rudy Gobert; out Anthony Edwards
  37. 5:55 MIA Johnson makes layup (restricted area) MIN 71 – MIA 133 100%
  38. 5:54 MIN Gobert makes layup (restricted area) MIN 73 – MIA 133 100%
  39. 5:39 MIA Johnson makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 73 – MIA 135 100%
  40. 5:27 MIN Gobert makes layup (restricted area) MIN 75 – MIA 135 100%
  41. 4:58 MIA Johnson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Fontecchio turnover MIN 75 – MIA 135 100%
  42. 4:47 MIN Zikarsky makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 77 – MIA 135 100%
  43. 4:30 MIA Thompson 2 of 2 free throws MIN 77 – MIA 137 100%
  44. 4:09 MIN Hyland turnover MIN 77 – MIA 137 100%
  45. 3:58 MIA Johnson turnover MIN 77 – MIA 137 100%
  46. 3:53 MIN Pullin makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 79 – MIA 137 100%
  47. 3:41 MIA Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 79 – MIA 140 100%
  48. 3:23 MIN Beringer misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Beringer misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Hyland 1 of 2 free throws MIN 80 – MIA 140 100%
  49. 3:00 MIA Fontecchio turnover MIN 80 – MIA 140 100%
  50. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Vladislav Goldin
  51. 2:43 MIN Beringer turnover MIN 80 – MIA 140 100%
  52. 2:37 MIA Thompson makes layup (restricted area) MIN 80 – MIA 142 100%
  53. 2:32 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 82 – MIA 142 100%
  54. 2:25 MIA Larsson misses layup (restricted area) MIN 82 – MIA 142 100%
  55. 2:23 MIN Pullin 2 of 2 free throws MIN 84 – MIA 142 100%
  56. 2:15 MIA Larsson makes layup (restricted area) MIN 84 – MIA 144 100%
  57. 2:14 MIN Beringer makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 87 – MIA 144 100%
  58. 2:13 MIA Fontecchio makes layup (restricted area) MIN 87 – MIA 146 100%
  59. 2:09 MIN Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 87 – MIA 146 100%
  60. 1:45 MIA Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 87 – MIA 146 100%
  61. 1:39 MIN Pullin misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 87 – MIA 146 100%
  62. 1:14 MIA Fontecchio 2 of 2 free throws MIN 87 – MIA 148 100%
  63. MIASubstitution: in Bez Mbeng; out Keshad Johnson
  64. 0:58 MIN Zikarsky turnover MIN 87 – MIA 148 100%
  65. 0:57 MIA Thompson turnover MIN 87 – MIA 148 100%
  66. 0:20 MIN Gobert misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Zikarsky 1 of 2 free throws MIN 88 – MIA 148 100%
  67. MINSubstitution: in Jonathan Kuminga; out Rudy Gobert
  68. 0:05 MIA Larsson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 88 – MIA 148 100%

Simulated game 6,473 of 10,000 · the widest MIN win of all 10,000

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MIN35424144162
MIA2232251897
Quarter 1 MIN 35, MIA 22 in the period
  1. MINStarters: Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, LaMelo Ball, Jaden McDaniels, Cody Williams
  2. MIAStarters: Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bez Mbeng
  3. 12:00 MIN Edwards misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 0 – MIA 0 49%
  4. 11:47 MIA Mitchell turnover MIN 0 – MIA 0 49%
  5. 11:37 MIN Edwards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 2 – MIA 0 45%
  6. 11:24 MIA Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) MIN 2 – MIA 2 49%
  7. 11:05 MIN McDaniels makes layup (restricted area) MIN 4 – MIA 2 45%
  8. 10:40 MIA Wiggins makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 4 – MIA 4 51%
  9. 10:14 MIN Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 6 – MIA 4 44%
  10. 9:44 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 6 – MIA 4 45%
  11. 9:14 MIN Edwards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 8 – MIA 4 38%
  12. 9:12 MIA Wiggins makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 8 – MIA 6 44%
  13. 8:49 MIN Gobert misses layup (restricted area) MIN 8 – MIA 6 44%
  14. 8:31 MIA Mitchell turnover MIN 8 – MIA 6 44%
  15. 8:27 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 11 – MIA 6 39%
  16. 8:02 MIA Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 11 – MIA 9 44%
  17. 7:41 MIN McDaniels makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 13 – MIA 9 38%
  18. 7:19 MIA Mitchell misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 13 – MIA 9 38%
  19. 7:13 MIN Gobert makes layup (restricted area) MIN 15 – MIA 9 27%
  20. 6:48 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 15 – MIA 9 27%
  21. 6:46 MIN Ball makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 18 – MIA 9 23%
  22. 6:20 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 18 – MIA 9 23%
  23. 6:07 MIN Williams misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 18 – MIA 9 23%
  24. 6:03 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 18 – MIA 11 29%
  25. MINSubstitution: in Terrence Shannon Jr.; out Anthony Edwards
  26. 5:40 MIN Shannon Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIN 20 – MIA 11 28%
  27. 5:25 MIA Wiggins makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 20 – MIA 13 30%
  28. 5:08 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 20 – MIA 13 26%
  29. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Davion Mitchell
  30. 4:43 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 20 – MIA 13 25%
  31. 4:25 MIN McDaniels makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), and one: free throw made MIN 23 – MIA 13 22%
  32. 4:17 MIA Hardaway Jr. turnover MIN 23 – MIA 13 22%
  33. 4:13 MIN Shannon Jr. misses layup (restricted area) MIN 23 – MIA 13 25%
  34. 3:53 MIA Herro misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 23 – MIA 13 24%
  35. 3:30 MIN Williams misses layup (restricted area) MIN 23 – MIA 13 24%
  36. MINSubstitution: in Joan Beringer; out LaMelo Ball
  37. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Bez Mbeng
  38. 3:02 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 23 – MIA 13 19%
  39. 2:58 MIN Williams misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 23 – MIA 13 19%
  40. 2:54 MIA Hardaway Jr. 2 of 2 free throws MIN 23 – MIA 15 27%
  41. 2:34 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 25 – MIA 15 24%
  42. MINSubstitution: in Nah'Shon Hyland; out Cody Williams
  43. 2:28 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 25 – MIA 18 31%
  44. 2:24 MIN Hyland makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 28 – MIA 18 24%
  45. MINSubstitution: in Anthony Edwards; out Jaden McDaniels
  46. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell; out Bam Adebayo
  47. 2:07 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 28 – MIA 21 26%
  48. MINSubstitution: in Ayo Dosunmu; out Terrence Shannon Jr.
  49. MIASubstitution: in Bez Mbeng; out Andrew Wiggins
  50. 1:35 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 30 – MIA 21 28%
  51. 1:32 MIA Hardaway Jr. 1 of 2 free throws MIN 30 – MIA 22 23%
  52. 1:12 MIN Edwards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 32 – MIA 22 21%
  53. MIASubstitution: in Bobby Portis Jr.; out Tyler Herro
  54. 1:00 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 32 – MIA 22 21%
  55. 0:52 MIN Dosunmu misses layup (restricted area) MIN 32 – MIA 22 21%
  56. 0:37 MIA Portis Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 32 – MIA 22 25%
  57. 0:13 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 35 – MIA 22 19%
  58. 0:08 MIA Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 35 – MIA 22 19%
  59. 0:03 MIN Gobert 0 of 2 free throws MIN 35 – MIA 22 23%
Quarter 2 MIN 42, MIA 32 in the period · score after MIN 77 – MIA 54
  1. MINSubstitution: in LaMelo Ball, Jaden McDaniels, Drew Timme; out Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Joan Beringer
  2. MIASubstitution: in Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro; out Klay Thompson, Davion Mitchell
  3. 12:00 MIA Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 35 – MIA 22 23%
  4. 11:57 MIN Hyland 2 of 2 free throws MIN 37 – MIA 22 10%
  5. 11:44 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 37 – MIA 24 21%
  6. 11:30 MIN McDaniels makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 39 – MIA 24 11%
  7. 11:28 MIA Herro misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Hardaway Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 39 – MIA 24 11%
  8. 11:10 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 42 – MIA 24 14%
  9. 11:09 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 42 – MIA 24 14%
  10. 11:09 MIN Hyland makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 45 – MIA 24 8%
  11. 10:58 MIA Portis Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 45 – MIA 26 5%
  12. 10:37 MIN Ball misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 45 – MIA 26 6%
  13. 10:23 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIN 45 – MIA 28 14%
  14. 9:48 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 48 – MIA 28 9%
  15. 9:46 MIA Portis Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 48 – MIA 28 9%
  16. 9:38 MIN Timme makes layup (restricted area) MIN 50 – MIA 28 4%
  17. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  18. 9:25 MIA Herro makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 50 – MIA 30 8%
  19. 9:11 MIN Timme makes layup (restricted area) MIN 52 – MIA 30 4%
  20. MINSubstitution: in Terrence Shannon Jr., Cody Williams; out Anthony Edwards, Nah'Shon Hyland
  21. 8:45 MIA Mbeng turnover MIN 52 – MIA 30 4%
  22. 8:40 MIN McDaniels misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 52 – MIA 30 4%
  23. 8:34 MIA Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 52 – MIA 33 6%
  24. 8:33 MIN McDaniels makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 55 – MIA 33 3%
  25. 8:10 MIA Adebayo makes layup (restricted area) MIN 55 – MIA 35 11%
  26. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins; out Bobby Portis Jr.
  27. 7:55 MIN Ball misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; McDaniels makes layup (restricted area) MIN 57 – MIA 35 6%
  28. 7:47 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 57 – MIA 37 11%
  29. 7:33 MIN Shannon Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 59 – MIA 37 3%
  30. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Bez Mbeng
  31. 7:14 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 59 – MIA 37 8%
  32. 6:48 MIN Ball 1 of 2 free throws MIN 60 – MIA 37 0%
  33. MINSubstitution: in Rudy Gobert, Nah'Shon Hyland; out LaMelo Ball, Jaden McDaniels
  34. 6:23 MIA Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 60 – MIA 40 12%
  35. 6:14 MIN Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 60 – MIA 40 12%
  36. 6:06 MIA Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 60 – MIA 43 4%
  37. 6:02 MIN Gobert makes layup (restricted area) MIN 62 – MIA 43 4%
  38. MINSubstitution: in Anthony Edwards; out Drew Timme
  39. 5:45 MIA Wiggins turnover MIN 62 – MIA 43 4%
  40. MIASubstitution: in Bez Mbeng; out Klay Thompson
  41. 5:31 MIN Edwards misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Gobert makes layup (restricted area) MIN 64 – MIA 43 2%
  42. 5:07 MIA Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 64 – MIA 46 11%
  43. 4:50 MIN Hyland 2 of 2 free throws MIN 66 – MIA 46 8%
  44. 4:34 MIA Mbeng misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Herro turnover MIN 66 – MIA 46 8%
  45. 4:18 MIN Edwards misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Edwards makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 68 – MIA 46 2%
  46. 4:06 MIA Herro 1 of 2 free throws MIN 68 – MIA 47 9%
  47. 3:51 MIN Shannon Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 68 – MIA 47 6%
  48. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell; out Andrew Wiggins
  49. 3:29 MIA Herro turnover MIN 68 – MIA 47 6%
  50. 3:21 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 71 – MIA 47 0%
  51. 3:18 MIA Herro misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 71 – MIA 47 0%
  52. 3:10 MIN Edwards makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 73 – MIA 47 0%
  53. 2:59 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 73 – MIA 47 0%
  54. 2:31 MIN Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Williams misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 73 – MIA 47 0%
  55. MIASubstitution: in Kylor Kelley; out Bam Adebayo
  56. 2:05 MIA Herro turnover MIN 73 – MIA 47 3%
  57. 1:47 MIN Edwards misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 73 – MIA 47 3%
  58. 1:38 MIA Kelley makes layup (restricted area) MIN 73 – MIA 49 2%
  59. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  60. 1:16 MIN Edwards makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 75 – MIA 49 0%
  61. 1:15 MIA Herro makes layup (restricted area) MIN 75 – MIA 51 2%
  62. 1:02 MIN Williams misses layup (restricted area) MIN 75 – MIA 51 2%
  63. 0:56 MIA Mitchell makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 75 – MIA 54 7%
  64. 0:39 MIN Hyland turnover MIN 75 – MIA 54 9%
  65. 0:18 MIA Kelley misses layup (restricted area) MIN 75 – MIA 54 9%
  66. 0:14 MIN Shannon Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 77 – MIA 54 6%
Quarter 3 MIN 41, MIA 25 in the period · score after MIN 118 – MIA 79
  1. MINSubstitution: in LaMelo Ball, Jaden McDaniels; out Nah'Shon Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr.
  2. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo; out Nick Richards, Kylor Kelley
  3. 12:00 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 77 – MIA 54 6%
  4. 11:48 MIN Gobert makes layup (restricted area) MIN 79 – MIA 54 5%
  5. 11:30 MIA Adebayo turnover MIN 79 – MIA 54 5%
  6. 11:18 MIN McDaniels turnover MIN 79 – MIA 54 5%
  7. 11:12 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 79 – MIA 54 5%
  8. 11:03 MIN Williams makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 81 – MIA 54 11%
  9. 10:46 MIA Mitchell misses layup (restricted area) MIN 81 – MIA 54 11%
  10. MINSubstitution: in Ayo Dosunmu; out LaMelo Ball
  11. 10:31 MIN Gobert makes layup (restricted area) MIN 83 – MIA 54 0%
  12. 10:19 MIA Herro misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 83 – MIA 54 0%
  13. 10:15 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; McDaniels makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 85 – MIA 54 0%
  14. 10:14 MIA Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 85 – MIA 57 0%
  15. 10:00 MIN Williams makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 87 – MIA 57 0%
  16. 9:40 MIA Mbeng turnover MIN 87 – MIA 57 1%
  17. 9:23 MIN Edwards misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 87 – MIA 57 1%
  18. 9:11 MIA Adebayo 2 of 2 free throws MIN 87 – MIA 59 7%
  19. 8:52 MIN McDaniels makes layup (restricted area) MIN 89 – MIA 59 0%
  20. 8:49 MIA Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 89 – MIA 62 3%
  21. 8:47 MIN Edwards makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 91 – MIA 62 0%
  22. 8:46 MIA Herro makes layup (restricted area) MIN 91 – MIA 64 2%
  23. MINSubstitution: in Joan Beringer; out Jaden McDaniels
  24. 8:26 MIN Edwards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 93 – MIA 64 0%
  25. 8:05 MIA Wiggins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Mbeng misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 93 – MIA 64 0%
  26. 8:02 MIN Beringer turnover MIN 93 – MIA 64 4%
  27. 7:50 MIA Mitchell makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 93 – MIA 66 0%
  28. 7:31 MIN Edwards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 95 – MIA 66 4%
  29. 7:08 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 95 – MIA 66 4%
  30. 7:06 MIN Edwards makes layup (restricted area) MIN 97 – MIA 66 1%
  31. 7:05 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 97 – MIA 66 0%
  32. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Tyler Herro
  33. 6:46 MIN Williams makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 99 – MIA 66 0%
  34. 6:27 MIA Adebayo 2 of 2 free throws MIN 99 – MIA 68 0%
  35. 6:08 MIN Dosunmu makes layup (restricted area) MIN 101 – MIA 68 0%
  36. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards; out Davion Mitchell
  37. 5:54 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 101 – MIA 70 0%
  38. MIASubstitution: in Kylor Kelley; out Bez Mbeng
  39. 5:17 MIN Edwards makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 103 – MIA 70 0%
  40. 5:05 MIA Kelley makes layup (restricted area) MIN 103 – MIA 72 0%
  41. 5:02 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 106 – MIA 72 0%
  42. 4:42 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 106 – MIA 72 0%
  43. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell; out Andrew Wiggins
  44. 4:24 MIN Gobert makes layup (restricted area) MIN 108 – MIA 72 0%
  45. 4:07 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Kelley makes layup (restricted area) MIN 108 – MIA 74 0%
  46. 3:39 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 110 – MIA 74 0%
  47. 3:28 MIA Kelley 3 of 3 free throws MIN 110 – MIA 77 0%
  48. MINSubstitution: in Nah'Shon Hyland; out Cody Williams
  49. 3:05 MIN Gobert makes layup (restricted area) MIN 112 – MIA 77 0%
  50. MINSubstitution: in LaMelo Ball; out Rudy Gobert
  51. 2:35 MIA Richards turnover MIN 112 – MIA 77 0%
  52. MINSubstitution: in Jaden McDaniels; out Anthony Edwards
  53. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins, Bobby Portis Jr.; out Tim Hardaway Jr., Bam Adebayo
  54. 2:19 MIN Ball misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Dosunmu makes layup (restricted area) MIN 114 – MIA 77 0%
  55. 2:10 MIA Kelley misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 114 – MIA 77 0%
  56. 2:03 MIN Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 116 – MIA 77 0%
  57. 1:52 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 116 – MIA 77 0%
  58. 1:39 MIN Beringer misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Ball turnover MIN 116 – MIA 77 0%
  59. 1:30 MIA Kelley makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 116 – MIA 79 0%
  60. MINSubstitution: in Cody Williams; out Ayo Dosunmu
  61. 0:55 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 118 – MIA 79 0%
  62. 0:26 MIA Portis Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 118 – MIA 79 0%
Quarter 4 MIN 44, MIA 18 in the period · score after MIN 162 – MIA 97
  1. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bez Mbeng; out Bobby Portis Jr., Kylor Kelley, Davion Mitchell
  2. 12:00 MIN Williams misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; McDaniels turnover MIN 118 – MIA 79 0%
  3. 11:23 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Richards misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 118 – MIA 79 0%
  4. 11:11 MIN McDaniels makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIN 120 – MIA 79 0%
  5. 11:07 MIA Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 120 – MIA 79 0%
  6. 10:48 MIN Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 120 – MIA 79 0%
  7. 10:30 MIA Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Richards makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 120 – MIA 81 0%
  8. 10:20 MIN Williams turnover MIN 120 – MIA 81 0%
  9. 10:12 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Richards misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 120 – MIA 81 0%
  10. 10:00 MIN Hyland misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Hyland makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 123 – MIA 81 0%
  11. 9:54 MIA Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) MIN 123 – MIA 83 0%
  12. 9:48 MIN Beringer makes layup (restricted area) MIN 125 – MIA 83 0%
  13. 9:31 MIA Richards misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 125 – MIA 83 0%
  14. 9:23 MIN Williams misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 125 – MIA 83 0%
  15. 9:08 MIA Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 125 – MIA 86 0%
  16. MIASubstitution: in Bobby Portis Jr., Kylor Kelley; out Tim Hardaway Jr., Bez Mbeng
  17. 8:48 MIN Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 125 – MIA 86 0%
  18. 8:47 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 125 – MIA 86 0%
  19. 8:38 MIN Ball makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 127 – MIA 86 0%
  20. 8:35 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area) MIN 127 – MIA 86 0%
  21. 8:34 MIN Beringer misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 127 – MIA 86 0%
  22. 8:08 MIA Thompson 2 of 3 free throws MIN 127 – MIA 88 0%
  23. 7:52 MIN Ball 1 of 2 free throws MIN 128 – MIA 88 0%
  24. 7:38 MIA Wiggins turnover MIN 128 – MIA 88 0%
  25. 7:31 MIN McDaniels makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 131 – MIA 88 0%
  26. 7:29 MIA Thompson turnover MIN 131 – MIA 88 0%
  27. 7:25 MIN McDaniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 131 – MIA 88 0%
  28. 7:22 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Portis Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 131 – MIA 88 0%
  29. MINSubstitution: in Drew Timme; out Jaden McDaniels
  30. 7:08 MIN Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 131 – MIA 88 0%
  31. 6:51 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 131 – MIA 88 0%
  32. MINSubstitution: in Rudy Gobert, Norchad Omier; out LaMelo Ball, Joan Beringer
  33. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell; out Nick Richards
  34. 6:31 MIN Hyland makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 134 – MIA 88 0%
  35. MINSubstitution: in Zyon Pullin; out Cody Williams
  36. 5:59 MIA Portis Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 134 – MIA 88 0%
  37. 5:59 MIN Hyland makes layup (restricted area) MIN 136 – MIA 88 0%
  38. 5:55 MIA Thompson makes layup (restricted area) MIN 136 – MIA 90 0%
  39. MIASubstitution: in Myron Gardner; out Andrew Wiggins
  40. 5:27 MIN Pullin misses layup (restricted area) MIN 136 – MIA 90 0%
  41. 5:03 MIA Portis Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 136 – MIA 90 0%
  42. 4:44 MIN Omier 2 of 2 free throws MIN 138 – MIA 90 0%
  43. 4:43 MIA Thompson turnover MIN 138 – MIA 90 0%
  44. 4:41 MIN Timme misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Omier misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Omier makes layup (restricted area) MIN 140 – MIA 90 0%
  45. 4:35 MIA Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 140 – MIA 90 0%
  46. MINSubstitution: in Anthony Edwards; out Rudy Gobert
  47. 4:08 MIN Omier makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 143 – MIA 90 0%
  48. 3:54 MIA Thompson turnover MIN 143 – MIA 90 0%
  49. 3:51 MIN Edwards makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 146 – MIA 90 0%
  50. 3:29 MIA Portis Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIN 146 – MIA 90 0%
  51. 3:07 MIN Timme makes layup (restricted area) MIN 148 – MIA 90 0%
  52. 2:52 MIA Portis Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 148 – MIA 90 0%
  53. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards; out Bobby Portis Jr.
  54. 2:34 MIN Hyland makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 151 – MIA 90 0%
  55. 2:23 MIA Richards misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 151 – MIA 90 0%
  56. 2:14 MIN Omier makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 154 – MIA 90 0%
  57. 2:13 MIA Thompson 2 of 2 free throws MIN 154 – MIA 92 0%
  58. 2:02 MIN Hyland makes layup (restricted area) MIN 156 – MIA 92 0%
  59. 1:43 MIA Gardner makes layup (restricted area) MIN 156 – MIA 94 0%
  60. 1:32 MIN Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Timme makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 158 – MIA 94 0%
  61. 1:12 MIA Kelley misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 158 – MIA 94 0%
  62. 1:02 MIN Hyland misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIN 158 – MIA 94 0%
  63. MINSubstitution: in Joan Beringer; out Nah'Shon Hyland
  64. 0:59 MIA Thompson turnover MIN 158 – MIA 94 0%
  65. 0:54 MIN Edwards makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIN 160 – MIA 94 0%
  66. 0:46 MIA Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIN 160 – MIA 97 0%
  67. 0:36 MIN Edwards 2 of 2 free throws MIN 162 – MIA 97 0%
  68. MIASubstitution: in Ryan Conwell; out Davion Mitchell
  69. 0:21 MIA Kelley misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Kelley misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Richards misses layup (restricted area) MIN 162 – MIA 97 0%
  70. 0:18 MIN Omier misses layup (restricted area) MIN 162 – MIA 97 0%
07Run
Run
mcs-20261021-232251-25dce
Created
Oct 21, 7:22 PM ET
Data cutoff
Oct 21, 7:22 PM ET
Simulated games
10,000
Seed
5089648351102953500
Kernel
machine-kernel-0.3.0
Contract
machine-results/0.9
Code
789a9e24fded
Classification
experimental

Each run records its inputs, model versions and seed, so the same forecast can be reproduced.