Wed Oct 21Game 0022600086

Bucks at Wizards

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2026 · Tip 7:00 PM ET

Final MIL 116 – WAS 128 Hit
Experimental

STRYKE live inference is NOT READY; every live pregame run is labelled experimental

Forecast made 25 m before tip, data cut off Oct 21, 6:35 PM ET, rerun after lineup news.

The 4 earlier runs this one replaced
Data cut offWAS winMarginTotal
Oct 21, 6:35 PM ET this run50.2%WAS by 0.2230.5
Oct 21, 6:23 PM ET50.7%WAS by 0.2230.6
Oct 21, 5:56 PM ET50.4%WAS by 0.3230.8
Oct 21, 5:39 PM ET50.0%WAS by 0.1231.4
Oct 21, 5:31 PM ET51.4%WAS by 0.3230.0
01Win probability
MIL49.8%
50.2%WAS
Expected score
115.1–115.3
MIL–WAS, mean of 10,000 games
Margin
WAS +0.2
Mean, WAS minus MIL. 80%: MIL +22 to WAS +22
Total
230.5
80% 205–257; 95% 191.975–271
Overtime
2.5%
Simulation error on the win probability ±0.5 percentage points; 99.0 possessions a team
02Distributions over 10,000 simulated games
MIL pointsMedian 115
95% · 90 to 142 80% · 98 to 133 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Final 116
WAS pointsMedian 115
95% · 91 to 141 80% · 99 to 132 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Final 128
MarginMedian WAS +1
95% · MIL +33 to WAS +33 80% · MIL +22 to WAS +22 −50 −40 −30 −20 −10 0 +10 +20 +30 +40 +50 ← MIL wins by · WAS wins by → Final WAS +12
TotalMedian 230
95% · 191.975 to 271 80% · 205 to 257 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 Final 244

One bar per point; height = share of simulated games. Shaded bands and brackets mark the middle 80% and 95% of games; the white line is the final.

03Margin through the game
WAS minus MIL, regulationMedian · 80% · 90% of games
MIL 30 MIL 20 MIL 10 0 WAS 10 WAS 20 WAS 30 Q1Q2Q3Q4 WAS ahead MIL ahead
MIL 30 MIL 20 MIL 10 0 WAS 10 WAS 20 WAS 30 Q1Q2Q3Q4 WAS ahead MIL ahead
Every 30 seconds of game time. The line is the median margin of the simulated games at that moment, the bands hold the middle 80% and 90%.
04By quarter
Period MIL mean WAS mean Margin mean Total mean WAS leads after Games
Q1 28.8 28.9 Level 57.7 47.5% 10,000
Q2 28.7 28.8 Level 57.5 48.4% 10,000
Q3 28.8 28.9 WAS by 0.1 57.7 49.4% 10,000
Q4 28.4 28.5 Level 56.9 49.0% 10,000
OT1 12.1 12.5 WAS by 0.4 24.6 48.4% 252
OT2 11.0 11.2 WAS by 0.2 22.2 46.2% 13
OT3 7.0 9.0 WAS by 2.0 16.0 100.0% 1

Points scored within each period. Overtime rows cover only the simulated games that reached them.

05Players

Per-player distributions start with MACHINE contract 0.13 (2026-10-28); this run predates them. The simulated rotation is shown instead.

Rebounds and assists not modelled

MIL Milwaukee Bucks

Player Dressed Starts Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Fouls Foul out
Ousmane Dieng 100% 91% 27.3 7.9 6.3 7.6 5.4 0.10 1.8 1.2%
AJ Green 100% 79% 25.8 7.2 6.1 7.1 5.4 0.10 1.9 1.4%
Jericho Sims 99% 69% 22.2 6.2 5.4 6.0 4.5 0.07 2.4 5.3%
Cormac Ryan 100% 49% 19.8 5.3 5.0 5.2 4.4 0.06 1.9 2.1%
Tyler Herro 97% 42% 18.7 4.9 4.7 4.8 4.3 0.05 1.1 0.2%
Ryan Rollins 87% 41% 18.3 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.2 0.05 1.3 0.6%
Kevin Porter Jr. 99% 42% 17.3 4.6 4.3 4.4 4.0 0.04 1.4 0.8%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 97% 6% 16.5 3.5 4.5 3.8 4.7 0.05 0.9 0.1%
Pete Nance 100% 14% 15.3 3.6 4.0 3.5 4.2 0.04 1.3 0.8%
Kel'el Ware 88% 7% 8.9 1.8 2.3 1.9 2.8 0.02 0.6 0.1%
Kyle Kuzma 62% 21% 8.5 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 0.02 0.5 0.1%
Gary Trent Jr. 62% 5% 6.4 1.3 1.7 1.4 2.1 0.01 0.5 0.1%
Caris LeVert 78% 2% 6.3 1.2 1.7 1.3 2.1 0.01 0.5 0.1%
Kam Jones 78% 4% 6.1 1.2 1.6 1.3 2.0 0.01 0.5 0.1%
Taurean Prince 28% 15% 5.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 0.02 0.4 0.3%
Kasparas Jakučionis 78% 4% 5.9 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.9 0.01 0.5 0.1%
Myles Turner 45% 6% 4.2 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.3 0.01 0.5 0.3%
Johni Broome 69% 0% 1.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 1.0 0.00 0.2 0.1%
Nate Ament 34% 1% 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Brayden Burries 33% 1% 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Jake Stephens 34% 1% 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Bogoljub Marković 33% 1% 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.00 0.1 0.0%
8 more MIL players average under half a minute
  • Bobby Portis Jr. dressed 5%
  • Andre Jackson Jr. dressed 4%
  • Giannis G. Antetokounmpo dressed 1%
  • John Butler Jr. dressed 7%
  • Thanasis Antetokounmpo dressed 4%
  • Alex Antetokounmpo dressed 3%
  • Cam Thomas dressed 0%
  • Gary Harris dressed 0%

WAS Washington Wizards

Player Dressed Starts Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Fouls Foul out
Will Riley 100% 84% 28.3 7.7 6.9 7.7 5.9 0.10 1.7 1.0%
Anthony Davis 99% 73% 27.0 7.1 6.7 7.2 6.0 0.10 1.8 1.4%
Carlton Carrington 99% 91% 26.4 7.5 6.5 7.2 5.2 0.09 2.1 1.7%
Anthony Gill 100% 82% 26.3 7.4 6.3 7.2 5.5 0.09 2.6 5.1%
Deandre Ayton 97% 49% 21.1 5.6 5.3 5.4 4.7 0.06 1.6 1.1%
Alondes Williams 97% 7% 19.0 4.3 5.2 4.4 5.1 0.05 0.9 0.1%
Justin Champagnie 98% 45% 18.5 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.1 0.04 1.6 1.1%
Julian Reese 57% 11% 11.7 2.5 3.1 2.8 3.2 0.04 1.2 1.9%
Khris Middleton 78% 9% 10.5 2.4 2.8 2.4 2.9 0.02 1.0 0.6%
Kyshawn George 77% 6% 7.1 1.4 1.8 1.5 2.3 0.01 0.6 0.3%
Bilal Coulibaly 46% 8% 5.7 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.6 0.01 0.4 0.1%
Leaky Black 28% 4% 5.6 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.5 0.01 0.5 0.5%
Jamir Watkins 28% 14% 5.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.2 0.01 0.6 0.7%
Trae Young 45% 4% 4.5 0.9 1.2 0.9 1.4 0.01 0.4 0.3%
Tre Johnson 44% 5% 4.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.3 0.00 0.4 0.4%
Alexandre Sarr 44% 4% 3.8 0.8 1.0 0.8 1.2 0.00 0.4 0.4%
Chris Livingston 69% 0% 2.8 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.5 0.00 0.4 0.4%
Tre Mann 68% 0% 2.7 0.3 0.5 0.4 1.5 0.00 0.3 0.1%
Trevor Keels 68% 1% 2.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 1.2 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Skal Labissiere 33% 1% 2.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.00 0.2 0.0%
AJ Dybantsa 34% 1% 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Reece Beekman 33% 1% 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.00 0.1 0.1%
Felix Okpara 33% 1% 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.00 0.1 0.0%
Sharife Cooper 8% 0% 1.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.00 0.1 0.0%
2 more WAS players average under half a minute
  • Jaden Hardy dressed 4%
  • Tristan Vukcevic dressed 3%
06Simulated play-by-play

Three of the 10,000 simulated games, possession by possession: shots by zone, free throws, turnovers and substitutions. The clock is the time left in the period when the possession starts; the score is after it; the last column is the share of simulated games WAS goes on to win from that point.

Simulated game 1,250 of 10,000 · the stored game closest to the median margin and total

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MIL30292631116
WAS29272635117
Quarter 1 MIL 30, WAS 29 in the period
  1. MILStarters: Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Ousmane Dieng, AJ Green, Kam Jones
  2. WASStarters: Anthony Davis, Deandre Ayton, Anthony Gill, Carlton Carrington, Tre Johnson
  3. 12:00 MIL Jones makes layup (restricted area) MIL 2 – WAS 0
  4. 11:50 WAS Ayton misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 2 – WAS 0
  5. 11:47 MIL Rollins turnover MIL 2 – WAS 0 47%
  6. 11:15 WAS Johnson 2 of 2 free throws MIL 2 – WAS 2 50%
  7. 11:02 MIL Kuzma makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 4 – WAS 2 46%
  8. 10:46 WAS Johnson turnover MIL 4 – WAS 2 44%
  9. 10:25 MIL Green misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 4 – WAS 2 44%
  10. 10:21 WAS Carrington 1 of 2 free throws MIL 4 – WAS 3 48%
  11. 10:09 MIL Dieng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 4 – WAS 3 50%
  12. 9:50 WAS Gill misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 4 – WAS 3 50%
  13. 9:46 MIL Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 4 – WAS 3 50%
  14. 9:20 WAS Davis turnover MIL 4 – WAS 3 50%
  15. 9:11 MIL Dieng makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 7 – WAS 3 41%
  16. 9:08 WAS Ayton misses layup (restricted area) MIL 7 – WAS 3 38%
  17. 8:54 MIL Kuzma misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Rollins misses layup (restricted area) MIL 7 – WAS 3 38%
  18. 8:45 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 7 – WAS 5 45%
  19. 8:37 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 7 – WAS 5 48%
  20. 8:05 WAS Ayton makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 7 – WAS 7 51%
  21. 7:41 MIL Green turnover MIL 7 – WAS 7 51%
  22. 7:35 WAS Carrington misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 7 – WAS 7 52%
  23. 7:26 MIL Jones makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 10 – WAS 7 44%
  24. 6:51 WAS Ayton turnover MIL 10 – WAS 7 44%
  25. 6:46 MIL Kuzma 2 of 2 free throws MIL 12 – WAS 7 39%
  26. 6:26 WAS Gill 1 of 2 free throws MIL 12 – WAS 8 38%
  27. 6:10 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) MIL 14 – WAS 8 36%
  28. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro; out Kam Jones
  29. 5:49 WAS Carrington misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Ayton makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 14 – WAS 11 44%
  30. 5:45 MIL Kuzma misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 17 – WAS 11 36%
  31. WASSubstitution: in Julian Reese; out Deandre Ayton
  32. 5:35 WAS Gill 1 of 2 free throws MIL 17 – WAS 12 41%
  33. 5:08 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 17 – WAS 12 41%
  34. 5:05 WAS Johnson makes layup (restricted area) MIL 17 – WAS 14 39%
  35. 4:53 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) MIL 19 – WAS 14 36%
  36. MILSubstitution: in Cormac Ryan; out AJ Green
  37. WASSubstitution: in Trae Young; out Tre Johnson
  38. 4:14 WAS Carrington makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 19 – WAS 16 40%
  39. 4:09 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) MIL 21 – WAS 16 39%
  40. MILSubstitution: in Kevin Porter Jr.; out Kyle Kuzma
  41. WASSubstitution: in Alondes Williams; out Anthony Davis
  42. 3:41 WAS Young makes layup (restricted area) MIL 21 – WAS 18 44%
  43. WASSubstitution: in Khris Middleton; out Carlton Carrington
  44. 3:14 MIL Porter Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 24 – WAS 18 39%
  45. 3:00 WAS Young turnover MIL 24 – WAS 18 39%
  46. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Ryan Rollins
  47. 2:37 MIL Dieng makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 26 – WAS 18 27%
  48. 2:24 WAS Reese misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Young makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 26 – WAS 21 37%
  49. WASSubstitution: in Alexandre Sarr; out Anthony Gill
  50. 1:47 MIL Porter Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 28 – WAS 21 32%
  51. 1:41 WAS Sarr makes layup (restricted area) MIL 28 – WAS 23 38%
  52. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Ousmane Dieng
  53. 1:04 MIL Porter Jr. turnover MIL 28 – WAS 23 40%
  54. 1:00 WAS Sarr misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Sarr makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 28 – WAS 26 47%
  55. 0:48 MIL Ryan makes layup (restricted area) MIL 30 – WAS 26 35%
  56. 0:21 WAS Sarr misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Middleton makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 30 – WAS 29 44%
Quarter 2 MIL 29, WAS 27 in the period · score after MIL 59 – WAS 56
  1. MILSubstitution: in Gary Trent Jr.; out Tyler Herro
  2. WASSubstitution: in Deandre Ayton; out Alexandre Sarr
  3. 12:00 WAS Middleton makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made MIL 30 – WAS 32 58%
  4. 11:41 MIL Ryan makes layup (restricted area) MIL 32 – WAS 32 56%
  5. 11:36 WAS Middleton misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 32 – WAS 32 55%
  6. 11:15 MIL Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 35 – WAS 32 38%
  7. 11:11 WAS Reese misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 35 – WAS 32 38%
  8. 11:01 MIL Ryan 1 of 2 free throws MIL 36 – WAS 32 42%
  9. 10:41 WAS Young misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Williams misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 36 – WAS 34 44%
  10. 10:36 MIL Ryan makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 39 – WAS 34 37%
  11. 10:32 WAS Young misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 39 – WAS 34 34%
  12. 10:16 MIL Porter Jr. turnover MIL 39 – WAS 34 34%
  13. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Davis; out Trae Young
  14. 10:01 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area) MIL 39 – WAS 34 42%
  15. 9:56 MIL Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 39 – WAS 34 36%
  16. 9:27 WAS Reese turnover MIL 39 – WAS 34 36%
  17. 9:18 MIL Porter Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 41 – WAS 34 37%
  18. 9:05 WAS Davis misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Middleton turnover MIL 41 – WAS 34 35%
  19. 8:52 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 41 – WAS 34 35%
  20. 8:46 WAS Davis 2 of 2 free throws MIL 41 – WAS 36 38%
  21. 8:43 MIL Porter Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 43 – WAS 36 35%
  22. 8:38 WAS Davis makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 43 – WAS 38 35%
  23. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Cormac Ryan
  24. 8:28 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 43 – WAS 38 35%
  25. MILSubstitution: in Ryan Rollins; out Kevin Porter Jr.
  26. 8:12 WAS Davis misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 43 – WAS 38 35%
  27. 8:09 MIL Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 46 – WAS 38 27%
  28. WASSubstitution: in Tre Johnson; out Julian Reese
  29. 8:01 WAS Williams makes layup (restricted area) MIL 46 – WAS 40 32%
  30. 7:50 MIL Trent Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 49 – WAS 40 27%
  31. WASSubstitution: in Justin Champagnie, Carlton Carrington; out Deandre Ayton, Tre Johnson
  32. 7:15 WAS Champagnie misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Davis makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 49 – WAS 42 28%
  33. MILSubstitution: in Kam Jones; out AJ Green
  34. 7:04 MIL Rollins 2 of 2 free throws MIL 51 – WAS 42 27%
  35. 7:04 WAS Middleton misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 51 – WAS 42 25%
  36. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  37. 6:27 MIL Jones misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 51 – WAS 42 25%
  38. 6:22 WAS Champagnie 2 of 2 free throws MIL 51 – WAS 44 30%
  39. MILSubstitution: in Kevin Porter Jr.; out Gary Trent Jr.
  40. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Gill; out Khris Middleton
  41. 6:05 MIL Dieng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 51 – WAS 44 31%
  42. 5:53 WAS Champagnie misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Davis turnover MIL 51 – WAS 44 31%
  43. 5:41 MIL Dieng turnover MIL 51 – WAS 44 31%
  44. 5:37 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Champagnie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 51 – WAS 46 35%
  45. 5:31 MIL Porter Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 53 – WAS 46 26%
  46. MILSubstitution: in Caris LeVert, Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Kyle Kuzma, Ousmane Dieng
  47. 4:58 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area) MIL 53 – WAS 46 26%
  48. 4:54 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 53 – WAS 46 23%
  49. 4:23 WAS Davis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Carrington makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 53 – WAS 49 37%
  50. 4:01 MIL Jones makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), and one: free throw missed MIL 55 – WAS 49 31%
  51. 3:57 WAS Champagnie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Champagnie turnover MIL 55 – WAS 49 31%
  52. 3:47 MIL Rollins turnover MIL 55 – WAS 49 38%
  53. WASSubstitution: in Deandre Ayton, Julian Reese; out Anthony Davis, Justin Champagnie
  54. 3:16 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 55 – WAS 51 37%
  55. 2:53 MIL LeVert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 55 – WAS 51 37%
  56. 2:48 WAS Ayton misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 55 – WAS 51 38%
  57. MILSubstitution: in Cormac Ryan; out Kevin Porter Jr.
  58. 2:20 MIL LeVert misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Rollins turnover MIL 55 – WAS 51 38%
  59. 2:16 WAS Reese makes layup (restricted area) MIL 55 – WAS 53 47%
  60. 2:10 MIL Rollins makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 57 – WAS 53 38%
  61. 1:57 WAS Carrington turnover MIL 57 – WAS 53 38%
  62. 1:32 MIL Rollins makes layup (restricted area) MIL 59 – WAS 53 31%
  63. 1:22 WAS Williams misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 59 – WAS 53 31%
  64. 1:16 MIL Jones turnover MIL 59 – WAS 53 31%
  65. 1:05 WAS Gill turnover MIL 59 – WAS 53 33%
  66. 0:35 MIL Rollins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; LeVert misses layup (restricted area) MIL 59 – WAS 53 33%
  67. 0:31 WAS Reese makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made MIL 59 – WAS 56 41%
  68. 0:10 MIL Rollins misses layup (restricted area) MIL 59 – WAS 56 44%
Quarter 3 MIL 26, WAS 26 in the period · score after MIL 85 – WAS 82
  1. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma, Ousmane Dieng, AJ Green; out Caris LeVert, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Cormac Ryan
  2. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Davis, Tre Johnson; out Alondes Williams, Julian Reese
  3. 12:00 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 59 – WAS 58 45%
  4. 11:45 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) MIL 61 – WAS 58 44%
  5. 11:41 WAS Johnson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 61 – WAS 61 56%
  6. 11:24 MIL Green turnover MIL 61 – WAS 61 56%
  7. 11:18 WAS Johnson turnover MIL 61 – WAS 61 55%
  8. 10:58 MIL Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 61 – WAS 61 55%
  9. 10:36 WAS Johnson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 61 – WAS 61 53%
  10. 10:01 MIL Jones makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 64 – WAS 61 40%
  11. 9:23 WAS Johnson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 64 – WAS 64 52%
  12. 8:58 MIL Dieng makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 67 – WAS 64 36%
  13. MILSubstitution: in Kevin Porter Jr.; out Kyle Kuzma
  14. 8:30 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area) MIL 67 – WAS 64 36%
  15. 8:24 MIL Rollins turnover MIL 67 – WAS 64 36%
  16. 8:17 WAS Davis misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 67 – WAS 64 39%
  17. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro; out AJ Green
  18. 7:55 MIL Rollins makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 70 – WAS 64 28%
  19. 7:39 WAS Davis turnover MIL 70 – WAS 64 28%
  20. WASSubstitution: in Alondes Williams; out Deandre Ayton
  21. 7:36 MIL Rollins 2 of 2 free throws MIL 72 – WAS 64 24%
  22. 7:22 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Davis makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 72 – WAS 66 30%
  23. 7:01 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 75 – WAS 66 25%
  24. 6:34 WAS Davis misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Carrington misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 75 – WAS 66 24%
  25. WASSubstitution: in Will Riley; out Tre Johnson
  26. 6:10 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 75 – WAS 66 22%
  27. 5:56 WAS Davis turnover MIL 75 – WAS 66 22%
  28. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma; out Kam Jones
  29. 5:50 MIL Dieng turnover MIL 75 – WAS 66 22%
  30. 5:35 WAS Williams misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Carrington misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Riley 2 of 2 free throws MIL 75 – WAS 68 25%
  31. 5:14 MIL Rollins misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 75 – WAS 68 23%
  32. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Ryan Rollins
  33. 4:40 WAS Williams turnover MIL 75 – WAS 68 23%
  34. 4:34 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Herro turnover MIL 75 – WAS 68 23%
  35. 4:32 WAS Carrington makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 75 – WAS 70 35%
  36. 4:25 MIL Porter Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 75 – WAS 70 35%
  37. 4:23 WAS Gill misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Williams makes layup (restricted area) MIL 75 – WAS 72 41%
  38. MILSubstitution: in Gary Trent Jr.; out Kyle Kuzma
  39. 4:17 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 77 – WAS 72 35%
  40. 4:11 WAS Davis turnover MIL 77 – WAS 72 32%
  41. WASSubstitution: in Justin Champagnie; out Anthony Gill
  42. 3:57 MIL Trent Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 80 – WAS 72 23%
  43. 3:48 WAS Riley 1 of 2 free throws MIL 80 – WAS 73 31%
  44. 3:28 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 83 – WAS 73 15%
  45. 3:02 WAS Riley misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 83 – WAS 73 14%
  46. WASSubstitution: in Khris Middleton, Julian Reese; out Anthony Davis, Carlton Carrington
  47. 2:40 MIL Dieng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 83 – WAS 73 14%
  48. 2:35 WAS Middleton misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Reese misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 83 – WAS 73 18%
  49. 2:28 MIL Herro turnover MIL 83 – WAS 73 18%
  50. 2:18 WAS Riley makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 83 – WAS 76 21%
  51. 1:55 MIL Herro misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 83 – WAS 76 21%
  52. MILSubstitution: in Caris LeVert; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  53. WASSubstitution: in Alexandre Sarr; out Alondes Williams
  54. 1:34 WAS Sarr makes layup (restricted area) MIL 83 – WAS 78 27%
  55. 1:16 MIL LeVert misses layup (restricted area) MIL 83 – WAS 78 29%
  56. 0:58 WAS Sarr misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Champagnie makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 83 – WAS 80 41%
  57. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Tyler Herro
  58. 0:25 MIL Porter Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 85 – WAS 80 27%
  59. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Gill; out Will Riley
  60. 0:20 WAS Reese makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 85 – WAS 82 41%
  61. 0:19 MIL Porter Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 85 – WAS 82 41%
  62. 0:10 WAS Sarr misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 85 – WAS 82 36%
Quarter 4 MIL 31, WAS 35 in the period · score after MIL 116 – WAS 117
  1. MILSubstitution: in Kam Jones; out Ousmane Dieng
  2. WASSubstitution: in Alondes Williams, Carlton Carrington; out Anthony Gill, Alexandre Sarr
  3. 12:00 MIL Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 85 – WAS 82 36%
  4. 11:53 WAS Middleton misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 85 – WAS 82 36%
  5. 11:52 MIL LeVert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 85 – WAS 82 35%
  6. 11:25 WAS Middleton misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 85 – WAS 82 39%
  7. 10:59 MIL Porter Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 87 – WAS 82 25%
  8. 10:53 WAS Middleton makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 87 – WAS 85 37%
  9. 10:38 MIL LeVert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 87 – WAS 85 36%
  10. 10:00 WAS Carrington 3 of 3 free throws MIL 87 – WAS 88 59%
  11. 9:53 MIL Trent Jr. turnover MIL 87 – WAS 88 59%
  12. 9:42 WAS Williams misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 87 – WAS 88 59%
  13. 9:39 MIL Jones misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 87 – WAS 88 59%
  14. 9:27 WAS Champagnie 2 of 2 free throws MIL 87 – WAS 90 66%
  15. 9:25 MIL Porter Jr. misses layup (restricted area) MIL 87 – WAS 90 66%
  16. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Kam Jones
  17. 9:11 WAS Middleton misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 87 – WAS 90 66%
  18. 9:10 MIL Porter Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 89 – WAS 90 59%
  19. 9:10 WAS Middleton 1 of 2 free throws MIL 89 – WAS 91 55%
  20. 8:46 MIL Trent Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Porter Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 91 – WAS 91 47%
  21. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma; out Kevin Porter Jr.
  22. 8:37 WAS Carrington makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 91 – WAS 94 69%
  23. 8:20 MIL LeVert makes layup (restricted area) MIL 93 – WAS 94 55%
  24. 8:03 WAS Reese turnover MIL 93 – WAS 94 57%
  25. MILSubstitution: in Jericho Sims, Cormac Ryan; out Caris LeVert, Gary Trent Jr.
  26. 7:57 MIL Sims turnover MIL 93 – WAS 94 58%
  27. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Cormac Ryan
  28. 7:20 WAS Reese misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 93 – WAS 94 58%
  29. 7:05 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area) MIL 93 – WAS 94 58%
  30. 6:56 WAS Middleton makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 93 – WAS 97 71%
  31. MILSubstitution: in Gary Trent Jr.; out AJ Green
  32. 6:54 MIL Dieng misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Dieng makes layup (restricted area) MIL 95 – WAS 97 55%
  33. 6:33 WAS Champagnie makes layup (restricted area) MIL 95 – WAS 99 71%
  34. 6:32 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 97 – WAS 99 59%
  35. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Gill; out Khris Middleton
  36. 6:07 WAS Champagnie makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 97 – WAS 101 76%
  37. 5:46 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 97 – WAS 101 74%
  38. 5:24 WAS Carrington misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Carrington makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 97 – WAS 103 85%
  39. 5:01 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Kuzma makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 100 – WAS 103 67%
  40. WASSubstitution: in Deandre Ayton; out Alondes Williams
  41. 4:39 WAS Gill 1 of 2 free throws MIL 100 – WAS 104 80%
  42. 4:11 MIL Kuzma misses layup (restricted area) MIL 100 – WAS 104 78%
  43. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro, Ryan Rollins; out Kyle Kuzma, Gary Trent Jr.
  44. 3:35 WAS Ayton misses layup (restricted area) MIL 100 – WAS 104 80%
  45. 3:25 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 102 – WAS 104 66%
  46. 3:19 WAS Carrington misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 102 – WAS 104 66%
  47. 3:14 MIL Dieng makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), and one: free throw made MIL 105 – WAS 104 41%
  48. 2:56 WAS Ayton 2 of 2 free throws MIL 105 – WAS 106 60%
  49. 2:52 MIL Herro makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 107 – WAS 106 41%
  50. 2:41 WAS Ayton 2 of 2 free throws MIL 107 – WAS 108 63%
  51. 2:22 MIL Dieng makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 110 – WAS 108 28%
  52. 1:55 WAS Gill makes layup (restricted area) MIL 110 – WAS 110 45%
  53. 1:50 MIL Rollins makes layup (restricted area) MIL 112 – WAS 110 28%
  54. 1:42 WAS Carrington misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Reese misses layup (restricted area) MIL 112 – WAS 110 26%
  55. 1:16 MIL Herro turnover MIL 112 – WAS 110 26%
  56. MILSubstitution: in Cormac Ryan; out Ousmane Dieng
  57. 1:03 WAS Ayton makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 112 – WAS 112 49%
  58. 0:47 MIL Ryan makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 114 – WAS 112 26%
  59. 0:46 WAS Carrington misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Carrington makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 114 – WAS 115 68%
  60. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Tyler Herro
  61. 0:30 MIL Rollins 2 of 2 free throws MIL 116 – WAS 115 31%
  62. 0:23 WAS Reese misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Ayton turnover MIL 116 – WAS 115 31%
  63. 0:08 MIL Rollins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 116 – WAS 115 31%
  64. 0:05 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 116 – WAS 117 100%

Simulated game 4,176 of 10,000 · the widest WAS win of all 10,000

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MIL28272335113
WAS48444437173
Quarter 1 MIL 28, WAS 48 in the period
  1. MILStarters: Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Ousmane Dieng, AJ Green
  2. WASStarters: Anthony Davis, Deandre Ayton, Anthony Gill, Carlton Carrington, Will Riley
  3. 12:00 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 0 – WAS 2
  4. 11:52 MIL Sims 2 of 2 free throws MIL 2 – WAS 2 50%
  5. 11:52 WAS Carrington misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 2 – WAS 2 50%
  6. 11:45 MIL Rollins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 2 – WAS 2 50%
  7. 11:41 WAS Gill makes layup (restricted area) MIL 2 – WAS 4 55%
  8. 11:25 MIL Rollins makes layup (restricted area) MIL 4 – WAS 4 50%
  9. 11:06 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 4 – WAS 6 54%
  10. 10:46 MIL Sims makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 7 – WAS 6 49%
  11. 10:31 WAS Davis turnover MIL 7 – WAS 6 48%
  12. 10:29 MIL Rollins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 7 – WAS 6 48%
  13. 10:16 WAS Gill makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 7 – WAS 9 53%
  14. 10:11 MIL Dieng 2 of 2 free throws MIL 9 – WAS 9 52%
  15. 9:42 WAS Riley makes layup (restricted area) MIL 9 – WAS 11 53%
  16. 9:40 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) MIL 11 – WAS 11 51%
  17. 9:25 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 11 – WAS 13 55%
  18. 9:09 MIL Kuzma makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 13 – WAS 13 51%
  19. 9:06 WAS Davis 1 of 2 free throws MIL 13 – WAS 14 54%
  20. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro; out Jericho Sims
  21. WASSubstitution: in Leaky Black; out Anthony Davis
  22. 8:43 MIL Herro makes layup (restricted area) MIL 15 – WAS 14 50%
  23. 8:42 WAS Riley makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 15 – WAS 17 56%
  24. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Kyle Kuzma
  25. 8:17 MIL Jaquez Jr. turnover MIL 15 – WAS 17 56%
  26. 8:14 WAS Carrington makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 15 – WAS 20 57%
  27. 8:05 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 18 – WAS 20 55%
  28. 7:42 WAS Gill makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 18 – WAS 22 61%
  29. WASSubstitution: in Julian Reese; out Carlton Carrington
  30. 7:08 MIL Rollins misses layup (restricted area) MIL 18 – WAS 22 59%
  31. 6:49 WAS Ayton misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Riley makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 18 – WAS 24 68%
  32. 6:43 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Green misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 18 – WAS 24 68%
  33. 6:35 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 18 – WAS 26 70%
  34. 6:29 MIL Dieng misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 18 – WAS 26 70%
  35. 6:26 WAS Gill misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Reese makes layup (restricted area) MIL 18 – WAS 28 77%
  36. 6:23 MIL Herro 2 of 2 free throws MIL 20 – WAS 28 70%
  37. 6:21 WAS Black misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Black misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 20 – WAS 28 70%
  38. 6:11 MIL Herro turnover MIL 20 – WAS 28 69%
  39. 6:00 WAS Ayton makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 20 – WAS 30 76%
  40. MILSubstitution: in Kevin Porter Jr.; out Ousmane Dieng
  41. WASSubstitution: in Justin Champagnie; out Anthony Gill
  42. 5:26 MIL Porter Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 20 – WAS 30 76%
  43. MILSubstitution: in Kam Jones; out AJ Green
  44. 5:01 WAS Riley makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 20 – WAS 32 78%
  45. 4:50 MIL Porter Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 22 – WAS 32 79%
  46. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Davis; out Deandre Ayton
  47. 4:42 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Davis turnover MIL 22 – WAS 32 79%
  48. 4:39 MIL Rollins makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made MIL 25 – WAS 32 68%
  49. 4:34 WAS Black misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 25 – WAS 32 68%
  50. 4:34 MIL Jaquez Jr. 1 of 2 free throws MIL 26 – WAS 32 63%
  51. 4:31 WAS Champagnie makes layup (restricted area) MIL 26 – WAS 34 66%
  52. 4:26 MIL Rollins misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 26 – WAS 34 66%
  53. 4:20 WAS Davis misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 26 – WAS 34 66%
  54. 4:06 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 26 – WAS 34 69%
  55. 3:40 WAS Davis makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 26 – WAS 36 77%
  56. WASSubstitution: in Carlton Carrington; out Will Riley
  57. 3:23 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 28 – WAS 36 65%
  58. 3:16 WAS Champagnie misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 28 – WAS 36 73%
  59. 2:40 MIL Porter Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Rollins turnover MIL 28 – WAS 36 69%
  60. MILSubstitution: in Caris LeVert; out Ryan Rollins
  61. 2:24 WAS Black makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 28 – WAS 39 78%
  62. MILSubstitution: in Jericho Sims; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  63. 2:08 MIL Jones misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 28 – WAS 39 81%
  64. 1:54 WAS Davis makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 28 – WAS 42 83%
  65. 1:43 MIL Herro misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 28 – WAS 42 84%
  66. 1:19 WAS Carrington misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 28 – WAS 42 81%
  67. 0:57 MIL Porter Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Jones misses layup (restricted area) MIL 28 – WAS 42 81%
  68. 0:53 WAS Reese makes layup (restricted area) MIL 28 – WAS 44 81%
  69. 0:47 MIL LeVert turnover MIL 28 – WAS 44 81%
  70. 0:43 WAS Champagnie 2 of 3 free throws MIL 28 – WAS 46 86%
  71. 0:27 MIL Herro misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 28 – WAS 46 86%
  72. 0:15 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 28 – WAS 48 88%
Quarter 2 MIL 27, WAS 44 in the period · score after MIL 55 – WAS 92
  1. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma, Pete Nance; out Tyler Herro, Kevin Porter Jr.
  2. 12:00 MIL Kuzma turnover MIL 28 – WAS 48 88%
  3. 11:52 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 28 – WAS 50 100%
  4. 11:46 MIL LeVert 1 of 2 free throws MIL 29 – WAS 50 91%
  5. 11:32 WAS Champagnie makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made MIL 29 – WAS 53 71%
  6. 11:32 MIL Nance turnover MIL 29 – WAS 53 92%
  7. 11:25 WAS Black misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Reese makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 29 – WAS 55 100%
  8. 11:08 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) MIL 31 – WAS 55 92%
  9. 11:04 WAS Davis makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 31 – WAS 58 100%
  10. 11:01 MIL Kuzma turnover MIL 31 – WAS 58 100%
  11. 10:58 WAS Carrington misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Davis misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 31 – WAS 58 100%
  12. WASSubstitution: in Deandre Ayton; out Leaky Black
  13. 10:35 MIL Kuzma makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 34 – WAS 58 100%
  14. 10:02 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 34 – WAS 60 88%
  15. 9:26 MIL Sims turnover MIL 34 – WAS 60 88%
  16. 9:24 WAS Champagnie makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw missed MIL 34 – WAS 62 100%
  17. 9:04 MIL LeVert 1 of 3 free throws MIL 35 – WAS 62 100%
  18. 9:01 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 35 – WAS 64 100%
  19. 8:29 MIL Jones makes layup (restricted area) MIL 37 – WAS 64 90%
  20. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Kam Jones
  21. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Gill; out Justin Champagnie
  22. 8:12 WAS Carrington turnover MIL 37 – WAS 64 100%
  23. 7:55 MIL LeVert turnover MIL 37 – WAS 64 100%
  24. 7:47 WAS Gill misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 37 – WAS 64 100%
  25. 7:34 MIL LeVert makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 40 – WAS 64 94%
  26. 7:21 WAS Davis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 40 – WAS 66 100%
  27. WASSubstitution: in Will Riley; out Julian Reese
  28. 7:07 MIL Sims makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw missed MIL 42 – WAS 66 100%
  29. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Kyle Kuzma
  30. 6:55 WAS Ayton misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 42 – WAS 66 100%
  31. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Jericho Sims
  32. 6:47 MIL Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 42 – WAS 66 100%
  33. WASSubstitution: in Leaky Black, Julian Reese; out Anthony Davis, Carlton Carrington
  34. 6:08 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 42 – WAS 68 100%
  35. 5:49 MIL Jaquez Jr. turnover MIL 42 – WAS 68 100%
  36. 5:47 WAS Riley makes layup (restricted area) MIL 42 – WAS 70 100%
  37. 5:43 MIL Nance 2 of 2 free throws MIL 44 – WAS 70 100%
  38. MILSubstitution: in Kevin Porter Jr.; out Caris LeVert
  39. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Davis; out Deandre Ayton
  40. 5:21 WAS Davis makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 44 – WAS 72 100%
  41. 5:13 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area) MIL 44 – WAS 72 75%
  42. 4:57 WAS Reese makes layup (restricted area) MIL 44 – WAS 74 100%
  43. 4:53 MIL Dieng makes layup (restricted area) MIL 46 – WAS 74 100%
  44. 4:29 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Gill makes layup (restricted area) MIL 46 – WAS 76 100%
  45. 4:16 MIL Dieng 2 of 2 free throws MIL 48 – WAS 76 100%
  46. 3:38 WAS Reese makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 48 – WAS 78 100%
  47. 3:29 MIL Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 51 – WAS 78 100%
  48. 3:26 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 51 – WAS 80 100%
  49. 3:01 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 51 – WAS 80 100%
  50. 3:00 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area) MIL 51 – WAS 80 100%
  51. 2:37 MIL Porter Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Dieng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 51 – WAS 80 100%
  52. WASSubstitution: in Carlton Carrington; out Will Riley
  53. 2:33 WAS Davis 2 of 2 free throws MIL 51 – WAS 82 100%
  54. WASSubstitution: in Justin Champagnie; out Carlton Carrington
  55. 1:58 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw missed MIL 53 – WAS 82 100%
  56. 1:52 WAS Davis makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 53 – WAS 84 98%
  57. 1:24 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 53 – WAS 84 98%
  58. 1:16 WAS Davis makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 53 – WAS 86 98%
  59. 1:08 MIL Dieng makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 55 – WAS 86 100%
  60. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro; out Pete Nance
  61. 0:56 WAS Champagnie makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 55 – WAS 89 100%
  62. WASSubstitution: in Deandre Ayton; out Anthony Davis
  63. 0:37 MIL Porter Jr. turnover MIL 55 – WAS 89 100%
  64. 0:37 WAS Black turnover MIL 55 – WAS 89 100%
  65. 0:24 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 55 – WAS 89 100%
  66. 0:24 WAS Champagnie makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 55 – WAS 92 100%
Quarter 3 MIL 23, WAS 44 in the period · score after MIL 78 – WAS 136
  1. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims; out Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  2. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Davis, Carlton Carrington, Will Riley; out Justin Champagnie, Leaky Black, Julian Reese
  3. 12:00 MIL Sims turnover MIL 55 – WAS 92 100%
  4. 11:55 WAS Gill misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 55 – WAS 92 100%
  5. 11:54 MIL Dieng makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 57 – WAS 92 100%
  6. 11:27 WAS Carrington misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 57 – WAS 92 100%
  7. 11:10 MIL Porter Jr. turnover MIL 57 – WAS 92 100%
  8. 11:04 WAS Ayton 1 of 2 free throws MIL 57 – WAS 93 100%
  9. 10:33 MIL Porter Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 57 – WAS 93 100%
  10. 10:20 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 57 – WAS 95 100%
  11. 10:04 MIL Green turnover MIL 57 – WAS 95 100%
  12. 10:03 WAS Ayton makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 57 – WAS 97 100%
  13. 9:59 MIL Dieng turnover MIL 57 – WAS 97 100%
  14. 9:44 WAS Riley 1 of 2 free throws MIL 57 – WAS 98 100%
  15. 9:40 MIL Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 60 – WAS 98 100%
  16. 9:18 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area) MIL 60 – WAS 98 100%
  17. 9:12 MIL Dieng makes layup (restricted area) MIL 62 – WAS 98 100%
  18. 9:06 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 62 – WAS 100 100%
  19. WASSubstitution: in Leaky Black; out Carlton Carrington
  20. 8:40 MIL Porter Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 62 – WAS 100 100%
  21. 8:34 WAS Davis makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 62 – WAS 102 100%
  22. 8:00 MIL Porter Jr. turnover MIL 62 – WAS 102 100%
  23. 7:56 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Davis makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 62 – WAS 104 100%
  24. 7:41 MIL Green turnover MIL 62 – WAS 104 100%
  25. 7:32 WAS Davis turnover MIL 62 – WAS 104 100%
  26. 7:19 MIL Kuzma makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw missed MIL 64 – WAS 104 100%
  27. 7:14 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 64 – WAS 106 100%
  28. 7:00 MIL Dieng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 64 – WAS 106 100%
  29. MILSubstitution: in Pete Nance; out Jericho Sims
  30. 6:45 WAS Riley misses layup (restricted area) MIL 64 – WAS 106 100%
  31. 6:25 MIL Green makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 67 – WAS 106 100%
  32. 6:20 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 67 – WAS 108 100%
  33. 6:17 MIL Dieng turnover MIL 67 – WAS 108 100%
  34. WASSubstitution: in Justin Champagnie; out Will Riley
  35. 6:10 WAS Black makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 67 – WAS 111 100%
  36. MILSubstitution: in Kam Jones; out Kyle Kuzma
  37. 5:54 MIL Green makes layup (restricted area) MIL 69 – WAS 111 100%
  38. 5:48 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 69 – WAS 113 100%
  39. 5:36 MIL Green misses layup (restricted area) MIL 69 – WAS 113 100%
  40. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro; out Ousmane Dieng
  41. 5:18 WAS Champagnie makes layup (restricted area) MIL 69 – WAS 115 100%
  42. 4:48 MIL Porter Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 69 – WAS 115 100%
  43. 4:33 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 69 – WAS 117 100%
  44. 4:29 MIL Porter Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 71 – WAS 117 100%
  45. MILSubstitution: in Caris LeVert; out AJ Green
  46. 4:10 WAS Davis makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 71 – WAS 119 100%
  47. 3:58 MIL Nance turnover MIL 71 – WAS 119 100%
  48. 3:24 WAS Davis makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 71 – WAS 121 100%
  49. WASSubstitution: in Trevor Keels, Julian Reese; out Anthony Davis, Deandre Ayton
  50. 3:19 MIL Jones makes layup (restricted area) MIL 73 – WAS 121 100%
  51. 2:57 WAS Black makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break), and one: free throw made MIL 73 – WAS 125 100%
  52. 2:30 MIL Herro 1 of 2 free throws MIL 74 – WAS 125 100%
  53. 2:10 WAS Gill makes layup (restricted area) MIL 74 – WAS 127 100%
  54. 2:03 MIL Porter Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 74 – WAS 127 100%
  55. 1:53 WAS Gill misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Keels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 74 – WAS 127 100%
  56. 1:47 MIL LeVert makes layup (restricted area) MIL 76 – WAS 127 100%
  57. 1:31 WAS Keels misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Keels makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 76 – WAS 129 100%
  58. 1:08 MIL Jones misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 76 – WAS 129 100%
  59. 1:01 WAS Keels misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Reese makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 76 – WAS 131 100%
  60. 0:55 MIL LeVert turnover MIL 76 – WAS 131 100%
  61. 0:36 WAS Gill makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 76 – WAS 134 100%
  62. 0:32 MIL LeVert makes layup (restricted area) MIL 78 – WAS 134 100%
  63. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Davis, Chris Livingston; out Anthony Gill, Leaky Black
  64. 0:03 WAS Davis 2 of 2 free throws MIL 78 – WAS 136 100%
  65. 0:02 MIL Porter Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 78 – WAS 136 100%
Quarter 4 MIL 35, WAS 37 in the period · score after MIL 113 – WAS 173
  1. MILSubstitution: in Jericho Sims; out Kevin Porter Jr.
  2. 12:00 WAS Champagnie misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Reese makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 78 – WAS 138 100%
  3. MILSubstitution: in Johni Broome; out Jericho Sims
  4. 12:00 MIL Jones 1 of 2 free throws MIL 79 – WAS 138 100%
  5. 11:39 WAS Champagnie misses layup (restricted area) MIL 79 – WAS 138 100%
  6. 11:18 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 79 – WAS 138 100%
  7. 11:05 WAS Keels makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 79 – WAS 141 100%
  8. 11:03 MIL LeVert misses layup (restricted area) MIL 79 – WAS 141 100%
  9. 10:51 WAS Keels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 79 – WAS 141 100%
  10. 10:35 MIL LeVert makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 82 – WAS 141 100%
  11. 10:23 WAS Davis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Davis makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 82 – WAS 143 100%
  12. 10:21 MIL LeVert 1 of 2 free throws MIL 83 – WAS 143 100%
  13. 10:14 WAS Davis turnover MIL 83 – WAS 143 100%
  14. 10:00 MIL LeVert makes layup (restricted area) MIL 85 – WAS 143 100%
  15. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Pete Nance
  16. 9:38 WAS Champagnie makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 85 – WAS 145 100%
  17. 9:20 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area) MIL 85 – WAS 145 100%
  18. 9:10 WAS Keels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 85 – WAS 145 100%
  19. 9:00 MIL Broome makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 88 – WAS 145 100%
  20. 8:52 WAS Reese misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Davis misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 88 – WAS 145 100%
  21. 8:35 MIL LeVert turnover MIL 88 – WAS 145 100%
  22. 8:31 WAS Keels misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Livingston turnover MIL 88 – WAS 145 100%
  23. 8:18 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 91 – WAS 145 100%
  24. WASSubstitution: in Felix Okpara; out Trevor Keels
  25. 7:51 WAS Okpara makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 91 – WAS 148 100%
  26. 7:42 MIL Herro 2 of 2 free throws MIL 93 – WAS 148 100%
  27. 7:20 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Reese turnover MIL 93 – WAS 148 100%
  28. MILSubstitution: in Myles Turner; out Tyler Herro
  29. 7:10 MIL Turner makes layup (restricted area) MIL 95 – WAS 148 100%
  30. 7:04 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 95 – WAS 150 100%
  31. WASSubstitution: in Trevor Keels; out Julian Reese
  32. 6:38 MIL LeVert misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 95 – WAS 150 100%
  33. 6:35 WAS Davis misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 95 – WAS 150 100%
  34. 6:31 MIL LeVert makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made MIL 98 – WAS 150 100%
  35. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Gill; out Anthony Davis
  36. 6:18 WAS Keels makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 98 – WAS 153 100%
  37. 6:06 MIL Turner misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 98 – WAS 153 100%
  38. 5:39 WAS Okpara makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 98 – WAS 155 100%
  39. 5:36 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 101 – WAS 155 100%
  40. 5:29 WAS Livingston misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 101 – WAS 155 100%
  41. 5:09 MIL Turner misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 101 – WAS 155 100%
  42. 5:04 WAS Champagnie makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 101 – WAS 157 100%
  43. 4:57 MIL Turner misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Broome turnover MIL 101 – WAS 157 100%
  44. 4:46 WAS Livingston makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 101 – WAS 160 100%
  45. 4:13 MIL Broome makes layup (restricted area) MIL 103 – WAS 160 100%
  46. 3:53 WAS Gill misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Okpara makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 103 – WAS 163 100%
  47. 3:17 MIL Turner makes layup (restricted area) MIL 105 – WAS 163 100%
  48. MILSubstitution: in Kevin Porter Jr.; out Myles Turner
  49. 3:10 WAS Keels makes layup (restricted area) MIL 105 – WAS 165 100%
  50. 2:47 MIL Broome makes layup (restricted area) MIL 107 – WAS 165 100%
  51. 2:17 WAS Gill misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 107 – WAS 165 100%
  52. 2:12 MIL Broome misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 107 – WAS 165 100%
  53. 2:09 WAS Livingston makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 107 – WAS 168 100%
  54. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma; out Kam Jones
  55. 1:56 MIL Kuzma 2 of 2 free throws MIL 109 – WAS 168 100%
  56. 1:53 WAS Keels turnover MIL 109 – WAS 168 100%
  57. 1:42 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 109 – WAS 168 100%
  58. 1:24 WAS Keels makes layup (restricted area) MIL 109 – WAS 170 100%
  59. 1:06 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Broome makes layup (restricted area) MIL 111 – WAS 170 100%
  60. 0:43 WAS Livingston makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 111 – WAS 173 100%
  61. 0:40 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) MIL 113 – WAS 173 100%
  62. 0:28 WAS Gill misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 113 – WAS 173 100%
  63. 0:03 MIL Jaquez Jr. turnover MIL 113 – WAS 173 100%

Simulated game 5,150 of 10,000 · the widest MIL win of all 10,000

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MIL43353038146
WAS2622132081
Quarter 1 MIL 43, WAS 26 in the period
  1. MILStarters: Tyler Herro, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance, AJ Green
  2. WASStarters: Anthony Davis, Deandre Ayton, Anthony Gill, Carlton Carrington, Will Riley
  3. 12:00 MIL Nance misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Green makes layup (restricted area) MIL 2 – WAS 0
  4. 12:00 WAS Carrington misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Davis misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Davis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 2 – WAS 0
  5. 11:57 MIL Dieng misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 2 – WAS 0
  6. 11:41 WAS Ayton makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 2 – WAS 3 52%
  7. 11:18 MIL Herro misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 2 – WAS 3 50%
  8. 11:00 WAS Carrington makes layup (restricted area) MIL 2 – WAS 5 56%
  9. 10:59 MIL Nance misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 2 – WAS 5 56%
  10. 10:32 WAS Gill misses layup (restricted area) MIL 2 – WAS 5 56%
  11. 10:31 MIL Green misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 2 – WAS 5 56%
  12. 10:28 WAS Riley makes layup (restricted area) MIL 2 – WAS 7 62%
  13. 10:20 MIL Herro misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 2 – WAS 7 62%
  14. 10:09 WAS Riley misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 2 – WAS 7 62%
  15. 10:01 MIL Nance misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 2 – WAS 7 60%
  16. 9:41 WAS Ayton misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 2 – WAS 9 65%
  17. 9:13 MIL Herro 2 of 2 free throws MIL 4 – WAS 9 65%
  18. 8:51 WAS Riley makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 4 – WAS 12 62%
  19. WASSubstitution: in Kyshawn George; out Anthony Davis
  20. 8:34 MIL Dieng makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 7 – WAS 12 57%
  21. 8:25 WAS Riley misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Riley misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 7 – WAS 12 57%
  22. WASSubstitution: in Trae Young; out Carlton Carrington
  23. 8:10 MIL Dieng makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 10 – WAS 12 56%
  24. 8:07 WAS Riley misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 10 – WAS 12 56%
  25. 8:05 MIL Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 13 – WAS 12 48%
  26. 8:01 WAS Ayton 1 of 2 free throws MIL 13 – WAS 13 51%
  27. 7:58 MIL Dieng makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 15 – WAS 13 47%
  28. 7:44 WAS Ayton misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 15 – WAS 13 47%
  29. 7:31 MIL Dieng makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 18 – WAS 13 36%
  30. WASSubstitution: in Bilal Coulibaly; out Will Riley
  31. 7:07 WAS Young makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 18 – WAS 15 44%
  32. 6:42 MIL Green misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 18 – WAS 15 44%
  33. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware; out Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng
  34. 6:12 WAS Ayton misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 18 – WAS 15 44%
  35. 5:42 MIL Nance makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 20 – WAS 15 41%
  36. 5:28 WAS George makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 20 – WAS 17 44%
  37. 5:08 MIL Herro makes layup (restricted area) MIL 22 – WAS 17 41%
  38. 5:08 WAS Young makes layup (restricted area) MIL 22 – WAS 19 44%
  39. 5:05 MIL Herro makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 24 – WAS 19 35%
  40. 4:48 WAS George misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 24 – WAS 19 36%
  41. 4:11 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 27 – WAS 19 32%
  42. 4:05 WAS Ayton misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 27 – WAS 19 33%
  43. 3:49 MIL Herro makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 29 – WAS 19 25%
  44. 3:33 WAS Young misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 29 – WAS 19 26%
  45. MILSubstitution: in Caris LeVert, Kevin Porter Jr.; out Tyler Herro, AJ Green
  46. 3:01 MIL Porter Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 29 – WAS 19 25%
  47. 2:57 WAS Young misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Young 1 of 2 free throws MIL 29 – WAS 20 31%
  48. WASSubstitution: in Justin Champagnie; out Kyshawn George
  49. 2:30 MIL LeVert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 29 – WAS 20 31%
  50. WASSubstitution: in Carlton Carrington; out Deandre Ayton
  51. 2:27 WAS Young misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 29 – WAS 20 31%
  52. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Pete Nance
  53. 2:23 MIL Ware makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 32 – WAS 20 24%
  54. MILSubstitution: in Kasparas Jakučionis; out Caris LeVert
  55. 2:14 WAS Carrington turnover MIL 32 – WAS 20 24%
  56. 2:06 MIL Jaquez Jr. 0 of 2 free throws MIL 32 – WAS 20 20%
  57. 1:47 WAS Champagnie misses layup (restricted area) MIL 32 – WAS 20 20%
  58. 1:35 MIL Porter Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 34 – WAS 20 21%
  59. 1:32 WAS Carrington misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Young misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Young misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Young misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 34 – WAS 20 14%
  60. 1:29 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 36 – WAS 20 12%
  61. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Davis; out Anthony Gill
  62. 1:11 WAS Young misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 36 – WAS 20 16%
  63. 0:58 MIL Porter Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 39 – WAS 20 13%
  64. 0:49 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 39 – WAS 22 7%
  65. 0:47 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) MIL 41 – WAS 22 13%
  66. 0:43 WAS Coulibaly misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Davis 2 of 2 free throws MIL 41 – WAS 24 9%
  67. 0:18 MIL Porter Jr. 2 of 2 free throws MIL 43 – WAS 24 11%
  68. 0:16 WAS Davis makes layup (restricted area) MIL 43 – WAS 26 9%
  69. 0:16 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Porter Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 43 – WAS 26 9%
Quarter 2 MIL 35, WAS 22 in the period · score after MIL 78 – WAS 48
  1. MILSubstitution: in Jericho Sims; out Ousmane Dieng
  2. WASSubstitution: in Kyshawn George, Will Riley; out Justin Champagnie, Bilal Coulibaly
  3. 12:00 WAS Young misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 43 – WAS 26 9%
  4. 11:40 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Ware makes layup (restricted area) MIL 45 – WAS 26 11%
  5. 11:19 WAS Young makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 45 – WAS 28 13%
  6. 11:19 MIL Jakučionis makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 47 – WAS 28 13%
  7. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro; out Kel'el Ware
  8. 10:54 WAS Davis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 47 – WAS 28 13%
  9. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Kasparas Jakučionis
  10. 10:49 MIL Porter Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Porter Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 49 – WAS 28 8%
  11. MILSubstitution: in Pete Nance; out Jericho Sims
  12. 10:25 WAS Carrington misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Riley makes layup (restricted area) MIL 49 – WAS 30 20%
  13. 10:11 MIL Herro 2 of 2 free throws MIL 51 – WAS 30 0%
  14. 9:34 WAS Young makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 51 – WAS 32 7%
  15. 9:28 MIL Nance makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made MIL 54 – WAS 32 12%
  16. 8:54 WAS Riley misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Davis makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 54 – WAS 34 10%
  17. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Gill; out Trae Young
  18. 8:46 MIL Porter Jr. turnover MIL 54 – WAS 34 10%
  19. 8:37 WAS Davis 2 of 2 free throws MIL 54 – WAS 36 6%
  20. 8:25 MIL Porter Jr. turnover MIL 54 – WAS 36 6%
  21. 8:14 WAS George misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 54 – WAS 36 6%
  22. 8:09 MIL Porter Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 57 – WAS 36 11%
  23. 7:46 WAS Gill makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 57 – WAS 38 8%
  24. 7:42 MIL Porter Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 59 – WAS 38 5%
  25. 7:19 WAS Riley misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 59 – WAS 38 5%
  26. 7:19 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 59 – WAS 38 4%
  27. 6:56 WAS Carrington misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 59 – WAS 38 6%
  28. 6:17 MIL Herro makes layup (restricted area) MIL 61 – WAS 38 8%
  29. MILSubstitution: in Jericho Sims; out Pete Nance
  30. 5:56 WAS Davis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 61 – WAS 38 8%
  31. MILSubstitution: in Caris LeVert; out Tyler Herro
  32. 5:51 MIL Porter Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 61 – WAS 38 8%
  33. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Caris LeVert
  34. 5:47 WAS George misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 61 – WAS 38 8%
  35. 5:34 MIL Porter Jr. makes layup (restricted area) MIL 63 – WAS 38 8%
  36. 5:17 WAS Riley misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 63 – WAS 38 8%
  37. 5:01 MIL Sims makes layup (restricted area) MIL 65 – WAS 38 0%
  38. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Kevin Porter Jr.
  39. WASSubstitution: in Trae Young; out Kyshawn George
  40. 4:26 WAS Davis makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 65 – WAS 40 6%
  41. 4:20 MIL Green turnover MIL 65 – WAS 40 0%
  42. 3:45 WAS Davis makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 65 – WAS 42 8%
  43. 3:31 MIL Ware misses layup (restricted area) MIL 65 – WAS 42 2%
  44. WASSubstitution: in Deandre Ayton; out Carlton Carrington
  45. 3:06 WAS Young makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 65 – WAS 44 7%
  46. 2:52 MIL Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 68 – WAS 44 3%
  47. 2:34 WAS Riley misses layup (restricted area) MIL 68 – WAS 44 3%
  48. 2:28 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) MIL 70 – WAS 44 3%
  49. 2:11 WAS Riley misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 70 – WAS 44 3%
  50. 2:08 MIL Sims misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 73 – WAS 44 0%
  51. 2:00 WAS Gill makes layup (restricted area) MIL 73 – WAS 46 0%
  52. 1:46 MIL Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 76 – WAS 46 2%
  53. WASSubstitution: in Justin Champagnie, Bilal Coulibaly, Carlton Carrington; out Anthony Davis, Anthony Gill, Will Riley
  54. 1:31 WAS Ayton misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 76 – WAS 46 2%
  55. 1:21 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) MIL 78 – WAS 46 2%
  56. 0:58 WAS Young 2 of 2 free throws MIL 78 – WAS 48 2%
  57. MILSubstitution: in Kasparas Jakučionis; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  58. 0:33 MIL Jakučionis turnover MIL 78 – WAS 48 2%
  59. 0:08 WAS Carrington misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 78 – WAS 48 1%
Quarter 3 MIL 30, WAS 13 in the period · score after MIL 108 – WAS 61
  1. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakučionis
  2. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Davis, Anthony Gill, Will Riley; out Trae Young, Justin Champagnie, Bilal Coulibaly
  3. 12:00 WAS Davis misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 78 – WAS 48 1%
  4. 11:52 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 78 – WAS 48 1%
  5. 11:36 WAS Carrington turnover MIL 78 – WAS 48 1%
  6. 11:35 MIL Sims misses layup (restricted area) MIL 78 – WAS 48 1%
  7. 11:27 WAS Riley turnover MIL 78 – WAS 48 1%
  8. 11:11 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 78 – WAS 48 1%
  9. 11:08 WAS Riley 1 of 2 free throws MIL 78 – WAS 49 0%
  10. 10:41 MIL Herro misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 78 – WAS 49 0%
  11. 10:09 WAS Riley misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 78 – WAS 49 0%
  12. 10:02 MIL Jaquez Jr. turnover MIL 78 – WAS 49 5%
  13. 9:25 WAS Carrington misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Davis misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Ayton turnover MIL 78 – WAS 49 5%
  14. 9:16 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 81 – WAS 49 0%
  15. 9:12 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 81 – WAS 51 0%
  16. 8:47 MIL Dieng makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 84 – WAS 51 0%
  17. 8:42 WAS Ayton makes layup (restricted area) MIL 84 – WAS 53 0%
  18. 8:20 MIL Green misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 84 – WAS 53 0%
  19. 8:17 WAS Riley misses layup (restricted area) MIL 84 – WAS 53 0%
  20. 7:49 MIL Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 84 – WAS 53 0%
  21. 7:26 WAS Gill misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 84 – WAS 53 0%
  22. 7:17 MIL Sims misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 84 – WAS 53 0%
  23. 7:15 WAS Carrington misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Riley turnover MIL 84 – WAS 53 0%
  24. MILSubstitution: in Kevin Porter Jr.; out Ousmane Dieng
  25. 6:42 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area) MIL 84 – WAS 53 0%
  26. 6:39 WAS Riley makes layup (restricted area) MIL 84 – WAS 55 0%
  27. 6:11 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 84 – WAS 55 0%
  28. 6:10 WAS Davis makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 84 – WAS 57 0%
  29. 5:59 MIL Porter Jr. turnover MIL 84 – WAS 57 0%
  30. 5:52 WAS Carrington makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) MIL 84 – WAS 59 0%
  31. 5:39 MIL Green 1 of 2 free throws MIL 85 – WAS 59 0%
  32. 5:28 WAS Gill misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 85 – WAS 59 0%
  33. 4:53 MIL Herro 2 of 2 free throws MIL 87 – WAS 59 0%
  34. 4:44 WAS Riley makes layup (restricted area) MIL 87 – WAS 61 0%
  35. 4:44 MIL Porter Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 90 – WAS 61 0%
  36. WASSubstitution: in Trae Young, Justin Champagnie; out Carlton Carrington, Will Riley
  37. 4:37 WAS Champagnie misses layup (restricted area) MIL 90 – WAS 61 0%
  38. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma; out AJ Green
  39. 4:11 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 92 – WAS 61 0%
  40. 4:07 WAS Champagnie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 92 – WAS 61 0%
  41. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Jericho Sims
  42. 4:00 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) MIL 94 – WAS 61 0%
  43. WASSubstitution: in Kyshawn George; out Anthony Gill
  44. 3:42 WAS Davis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 94 – WAS 61 0%
  45. WASSubstitution: in Will Riley; out Deandre Ayton
  46. 3:30 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) MIL 96 – WAS 61 0%
  47. 3:23 WAS Davis turnover MIL 96 – WAS 61 0%
  48. 3:14 MIL Kuzma 2 of 2 free throws MIL 98 – WAS 61 0%
  49. MILSubstitution: in Kasparas Jakučionis; out Tyler Herro
  50. 3:06 WAS Davis turnover MIL 98 – WAS 61 0%
  51. 2:53 MIL Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 98 – WAS 61 0%
  52. 2:45 WAS Champagnie misses layup (restricted area) MIL 98 – WAS 61 0%
  53. 2:23 MIL Kuzma makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 101 – WAS 61 0%
  54. 2:03 WAS Davis turnover MIL 101 – WAS 61 0%
  55. WASSubstitution: in Chris Livingston; out Kyshawn George
  56. 1:51 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), and one: free throw missed MIL 103 – WAS 61 0%
  57. 1:33 WAS Davis turnover MIL 103 – WAS 61 0%
  58. 1:22 MIL Porter Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 106 – WAS 61 0%
  59. 1:20 WAS Davis misses layup (restricted area) MIL 106 – WAS 61 0%
  60. WASSubstitution: in Trevor Keels, Bilal Coulibaly; out Anthony Davis, Trae Young
  61. 0:54 MIL Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 106 – WAS 61 0%
  62. 0:25 WAS Coulibaly misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Champagnie misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 106 – WAS 61 0%
  63. 0:20 MIL Porter Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 108 – WAS 61 0%
Quarter 4 MIL 38, WAS 20 in the period · score after MIL 146 – WAS 81
  1. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro, AJ Green; out Kevin Porter Jr., Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  2. WASSubstitution: in Trae Young, Deandre Ayton; out Trevor Keels, Will Riley
  3. 12:00 MIL Kuzma 2 of 2 free throws MIL 110 – WAS 61 0%
  4. 11:49 WAS Champagnie turnover MIL 110 – WAS 61 0%
  5. 11:44 MIL Herro makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 112 – WAS 61 0%
  6. 11:16 WAS Livingston misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 112 – WAS 61 0%
  7. 10:43 MIL Green makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 114 – WAS 61 0%
  8. 10:39 WAS Coulibaly makes layup (restricted area) MIL 114 – WAS 63 0%
  9. 10:23 MIL Kuzma makes 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 116 – WAS 63 0%
  10. 10:09 WAS Coulibaly misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Coulibaly misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) MIL 116 – WAS 63 0%
  11. 10:03 MIL Ware turnover MIL 116 – WAS 63 0%
  12. 9:59 WAS Champagnie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 116 – WAS 63 0%
  13. 9:45 MIL Jakučionis makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made MIL 119 – WAS 63 0%
  14. 9:38 WAS Young misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 119 – WAS 63 0%
  15. 9:28 MIL Kuzma 2 of 3 free throws MIL 121 – WAS 63 0%
  16. 8:54 WAS Young misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 121 – WAS 63 0%
  17. 8:50 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Jakučionis turnover MIL 121 – WAS 63 0%
  18. 8:48 WAS Champagnie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Livingston misses layup (restricted area) MIL 121 – WAS 63 0%
  19. 8:22 MIL Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 124 – WAS 63 0%
  20. WASSubstitution: in Anthony Gill; out Deandre Ayton
  21. 7:55 WAS Young makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break), and one: free throw made MIL 124 – WAS 67 0%
  22. 7:53 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) MIL 126 – WAS 67 0%
  23. 7:33 WAS Champagnie makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 126 – WAS 69 0%
  24. 7:18 MIL Herro makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made MIL 129 – WAS 69 0%
  25. 6:58 WAS Coulibaly misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 129 – WAS 69 0%
  26. 6:52 MIL Herro makes layup (restricted area) MIL 131 – WAS 69 0%
  27. 6:32 WAS Young misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 131 – WAS 69 0%
  28. MILSubstitution: in Johni Broome, Bogoljub Marković; out Tyler Herro, AJ Green
  29. 6:10 MIL Ware misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Marković makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 134 – WAS 69 0%
  30. 6:05 WAS Champagnie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 134 – WAS 69 0%
  31. 6:03 MIL Kuzma turnover MIL 134 – WAS 69 0%
  32. 5:44 WAS Gill makes layup (restricted area) MIL 134 – WAS 71 0%
  33. 5:22 MIL Broome 2 of 2 free throws MIL 136 – WAS 71 0%
  34. 5:11 WAS Young turnover MIL 136 – WAS 71 0%
  35. 4:59 MIL Kuzma turnover MIL 136 – WAS 71 0%
  36. WASSubstitution: in Trevor Keels; out Anthony Gill
  37. 4:27 WAS Coulibaly makes layup (restricted area) MIL 136 – WAS 73 0%
  38. 4:14 MIL Marković makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 138 – WAS 73 0%
  39. 4:09 WAS Young misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 138 – WAS 73 0%
  40. 3:56 MIL Jakučionis turnover MIL 138 – WAS 73 0%
  41. 3:39 WAS Coulibaly misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Coulibaly 1 of 2 free throws MIL 138 – WAS 74 0%
  42. 3:09 MIL Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Broome makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), and one: free throw made MIL 141 – WAS 74 0%
  43. 2:33 WAS Coulibaly makes layup (restricted area) MIL 141 – WAS 76 0%
  44. 2:15 MIL Marković misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 141 – WAS 76 0%
  45. 1:56 WAS Keels makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 141 – WAS 79 0%
  46. 1:40 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made MIL 144 – WAS 79 0%
  47. 1:17 WAS Champagnie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 144 – WAS 79 0%
  48. WASSubstitution: in Alexandre Sarr; out Chris Livingston
  49. 0:51 MIL Marković misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Broome makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) MIL 146 – WAS 79 0%
  50. 0:50 WAS Coulibaly misses 2-pt shot (paint) MIL 146 – WAS 79 0%
  51. 0:32 MIL Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 146 – WAS 79 0%
  52. 0:13 WAS Coulibaly makes layup (restricted area) MIL 146 – WAS 81 0%
  53. 0:01 MIL Broome misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) MIL 146 – WAS 81 0%
07Run
Run
mcs-20261021-224145-b3608
Created
Oct 21, 6:41 PM ET
Data cutoff
Oct 21, 6:35 PM ET
Simulated games
10,000
Seed
463324986857535206
Kernel
machine-kernel-0.3.0
Contract
machine-results/0.9
Code
789a9e24fded
Classification
experimental

Each run records its inputs, model versions and seed, so the same forecast can be reproduced.