MACHINEPregame forecasts

Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026

Before tip-off MACHINE plays each regular-season game 10,000 times, possession by possession. A game is first run about 12 hours before the tip and rerun when injury or lineup news changes who is expected to play; the newest run before the tip is the forecast shown and graded.

Games12
Forecasts12
Day record3–9
Season record39–25

Hit = the team MACHINE gave more than a 50% chance won. Every forecast is labelled experimental. Season: 64 graded forecasts in 2026-27.

7:00 PM ET Made 55 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game MIA at ATL
MIAHeat
42.0%58.0%
HawksATL
129–117
Miss
Expected score
MIA 117.1 – ATL 120.2
Margin
ATL by 3.2 · 80% MIA +19 to ATL +25
Total
237.3 · 80% 211–264
7:00 PM ET Made 42 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game WAS at CLE
WASWizards
38.1%61.9%
CavaliersCLE
111–121
Hit
Expected score
WAS 116.1 – CLE 121.1
Margin
CLE by 5.0 · 80% WAS +17 to CLE +27
Total
237.2 · 80% 211–264
7:00 PM ET Made 11 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game CHA at DET
CHAHornets
55.8%44.2%
PistonsDET
89–97
Miss
Expected score
CHA 109.6 – DET 107.5
Margin
CHA by 2.1 · 80% CHA +23 to DET +19
Total
217.1 · 80% 193–242
7:00 PM ET Made 55 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game PHI at IND
PHI76ers
44.4%55.6%
PacersIND
114–109
Miss
Expected score
PHI 116.0 – IND 118.4
Margin
IND by 2.4 · 80% PHI +19 to IND +24
Total
234.4 · 80% 209–260
7:30 PM ET Made 1 h 28 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game ORL at TOR
ORLMagic
48.4%51.6%
RaptorsTOR
99–129
Hit
Expected score
ORL 116.9 – TOR 117.7
Margin
TOR by 0.8 · 80% ORL +20 to TOR +23
Total
234.6 · 80% 209–260
8:00 PM ET Made 58 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game NYK at CHI
NYKKnicks
43.2%56.8%
BullsCHI
133–127
Miss
Expected score
NYK 116.6 – CHI 119.4
Margin
CHI by 2.8 · 80% NYK +19 to CHI +24
Total
236.0 · 80% 210–262
8:00 PM ET Made 3 h 29 m before tip Game HOU at MIL
HOURockets
47.3%52.7%
BucksMIL
132–100
Miss
Expected score
HOU 113.9 – MIL 115.1
Margin
MIL by 1.2 · 80% HOU +20 to MIL +22
Total
229.0 · 80% 204–255
8:00 PM ET Made 1 h 10 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game GSW at MIN
GSWWarriors
39.3%60.7%
TimberwolvesMIN
119–114
Miss
Expected score
GSW 113.2 – MIN 117.4
Margin
MIN by 4.3 · 80% GSW +18 to MIN +26
Total
230.6 · 80% 205–257
8:00 PM ET Made 27 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game DEN at NOP
DENNuggets
44.2%55.8%
PelicansNOP
104–91
Miss
Expected score
DEN 116.0 – NOP 118.5
Margin
NOP by 2.5 · 80% DEN +19 to NOP +24
Total
234.4 · 80% 209–260
9:00 PM ET Made 44 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game SAS at UTA
SASSpurs
53.4%46.6%
JazzUTA
117–111 OT
Hit
Expected score
SAS 117.2 – UTA 115.7
Margin
SAS by 1.5 · 80% SAS +23 to UTA +20
Total
232.9 · 80% 207–259
9:30 PM ET Made 42 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game OKC at DAL
OKCThunder
54.6%45.4%
MavericksDAL
96–120
Miss
Expected score
OKC 115.5 – DAL 113.9
Margin
OKC by 1.6 · 80% OKC +23 to DAL +20
Total
229.4 · 80% 204–255
10:30 PM ET Made 20 m before tip · updated after lineup news Game LAL at LAC
LALLakers
47.4%52.6%
ClippersLAC
103–87
Miss
Expected score
LAL 110.9 – LAC 112.0
Margin
LAC by 1.1 · 80% LAL +20 to LAC +22
Total
222.9 · 80% 198–249