Wed Oct 28Game 0022600138

Rockets at Bucks

Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026 · Tip 8:00 PM ET

Final HOU 132 – MIL 100 Miss
Experimental

STRYKE live inference is NOT READY; every live pregame run is labelled experimental

Forecast made 3 h 29 m before tip, data cut off Oct 28, 4:30 PM ET, scheduled pregame run.

01Win probability
HOU47.3%
52.7%MIL
Expected score
113.9–115.1
HOU–MIL, mean of 10,000 games
Margin
MIL +1.2
Mean, MIL minus HOU. 80%: HOU +20 to MIL +22
Total
229.0
80% 204–255; 95% 191–269
Overtime
2.4%
Simulation error on the win probability ±0.5 percentage points; 99.9 possessions a team
02Distributions over 10,000 simulated games
HOU pointsMedian 114
95% · 89 to 140 80% · 98 to 131 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Final 132
MIL pointsMedian 115
95% · 90 to 141 80% · 98 to 132 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Final 100
MarginMedian MIL +2
95% · HOU +31 to MIL +34 80% · HOU +20 to MIL +22 −40 −20 0 +20 +40 ← HOU wins by · MIL wins by → Final HOU +32
TotalMedian 229
95% · 191 to 269 80% · 204 to 255 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 Final 232

One bar per point; height = share of simulated games. Shaded bands and brackets mark the middle 80% and 95% of games; the white line is the final.

03Margin through the game
MIL minus HOU, regulationMedian · 80% · 90% of games
HOU 30 HOU 20 HOU 10 0 MIL 10 MIL 20 MIL 30 Q1Q2Q3Q4 MIL ahead HOU ahead
HOU 30 HOU 20 HOU 10 0 MIL 10 MIL 20 MIL 30 Q1Q2Q3Q4 MIL ahead HOU ahead
Every 30 seconds of game time. The line is the median margin of the simulated games at that moment, the bands hold the middle 80% and 90%.
04By quarter
Period HOU mean MIL mean Margin mean Total mean MIL leads after Games
Q1 28.3 28.6 MIL by 0.3 57.0 48.8% 10,000
Q2 28.4 28.7 MIL by 0.3 57.2 50.8% 10,000
Q3 28.4 28.6 MIL by 0.2 57.0 51.2% 10,000
Q4 28.5 28.7 MIL by 0.3 57.2 51.4% 10,000
OT1 12.2 12.4 MIL by 0.1 24.6 45.2% 241
OT2 10.8 13.2 MIL by 2.4 24.0 63.0% 27
OT3 13.3 8.3 HOU by 5.0 21.7 0.0% 3

Points scored within each period. Overtime rows cover only the simulated games that reached them.

05Players

Median and 80% interval over all 10,000 simulated games, with the full distribution as a strip (80% bright). A game in which the player does not play counts as 0; Plays is the share of games with court time. Q1–Q4 are mean minutes.

Rebounds and assists not modelled

The kernel resolves offensive rebounds as team continuations and ends the possession on a defensive rebound; neither rebounds nor assists are attributed to players.

HOU Houston Rockets

Player MinPtsFGA3PA3PMFTAFTM Plays Starts Dressed Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Kevin Durant 35 27–41 20 11–30 16 10–22 5 2–9 2 0–4 4 1–9 3 0–7 99% 98% 99% 9.4 8.2 9.3 7.2
Amen Thompson 33 25–39 17 9–27 12 7–18 1 0–3 0 0–1 3 0–8 3 0–6 99% 98% 99% 8.8 7.7 8.6 6.8
Jabari Smith Jr. 33 24–39 14 6–23 11 6–16 5 2–9 2 0–4 2 0–7 2 0–5 99% 98% 99% 8.8 7.7 8.5 6.7
Fred VanVleet 30 21–37 10 3–17 8 4–13 4 1–7 1 0–3 2 0–5 2 0–4 97% 95% 97% 7.9 7.1 7.7 6.0
Reed Sheppard 25 14–33 12 3–22 10 4–16 6 2–10 2 0–4 2 0–6 2 0–5 96% 32% 97% 5.8 6.3 5.7 5.9
Tari Eason 24 15–32 10 3–18 8 3–13 3 1–6 1 0–3 2 0–6 2 0–5 98% 26% 99% 5.6 6.3 5.5 5.9
Clint Capela 17 1–26 6 0–12 4 0–9 0 0–1 0 0–0 0 0–4 0 0–3 90% 7% 99% 3.3 4.3 3.5 4.5
Bogdan Bogdanović 15 0–25 5 0–12 4 0–9 2 0–6 1 0–2 0 0–4 0 0–3 86% 6% 99% 2.8 3.7 3.1 4.2
Jae'Sean Tate 12 0–23 4 0–12 3 0–9 1 0–3 0 0–1 0 0–4 0 0–3 78% 5% 99% 2.3 3.0 2.6 3.7
Alperen Sengun 0 0–31 0 0–20 0 0–16 0 0–2 0 0–1 0 0–5 0 0–4 24% 23% 24% 2.0 1.7 1.9 1.4
Isaiah Crawford 4 0–17 0 0–8 1 0–6 0 0–3 0 0–1 0 0–2 0 0–2 60% 2% 99% 0.8 1.2 1.0 3.1
Oscar Tshiebwe 0 0–24 0 0–12 0 0–9 0 0–1 0 0–0 0 0–3 0 0–2 29% 9% 30% 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5
Bruce Thornton 3 0–16 0 0–9 0 0–6 0 0–3 0 0–1 0 0–2 0 0–2 57% 1% 98% 0.8 1.1 0.9 2.8
12 more HOU players play in under 5% of simulated games
  • Marcus Smart 2.1%
  • Steven Adams 2.0%
  • Aaron Holiday 0.1%
  • Sean Pedulla 0.2%
  • Josh Okogie 0.1%
  • Jeff Green 0.0%
  • Julian Phillips 0.0%
  • JD Davison 0.1%
  • Dorian Finney-Smith 0.0%
  • Tristen Newton 0.0%
  • Cameron Matthews 0.0%
  • Quadir Copeland 0.0%

MIL Milwaukee Bucks

Player MinPtsFGA3PA3PMFTAFTM Plays Starts Dressed Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Ryan Rollins 27 17–35 13 5–22 10 5–16 4 1–8 1 0–3 2 0–6 2 0–5 98% 91% 100% 7.4 6.3 7.2 5.3
Tyler Herro 26 17–34 16 7–26 13 6–19 6 2–10 2 0–4 3 0–8 2 0–6 98% 88% 99% 7.2 6.2 7.0 5.1
Kyle Kuzma 26 17–34 11 4–19 9 4–13 3 1–6 1 0–3 2 0–6 2 0–5 98% 90% 99% 7.2 6.2 7.0 5.0
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 27 13–35 14 4–23 11 4–17 2 0–5 1 0–2 3 0–7 2 0–5 95% 69% 99% 6.6 6.3 6.7 5.6
Myles Turner 24 13–31 9 2–17 7 3–12 4 1–7 1 0–3 2 0–5 1 0–4 98% 86% 99% 6.7 5.4 6.3 4.2
AJ Green 22 0–31 7 0–16 6 0–11 5 0–10 2 0–4 0 0–4 0 0–4 85% 15% 99% 4.2 5.1 4.5 5.3
Ousmane Dieng 20 4–29 6 0–14 5 0–10 2 0–5 1 0–2 1 0–4 0 0–3 91% 12% 99% 4.4 4.9 4.5 4.9
Kel'el Ware 16 0–26 9 0–19 7 0–13 2 0–5 1 0–2 2 0–5 1 0–4 87% 7% 99% 3.6 4.0 3.5 4.1
Kasparas Jakučionis 15 0–25 5 0–13 4 0–9 2 0–6 1 0–3 0 0–4 0 0–3 84% 5% 99% 3.3 3.6 3.2 3.8
Jericho Sims 13 0–24 4 0–11 3 0–7 0 0–1 0 0–0 0 0–3 0 0–3 78% 14% 99% 2.6 3.0 2.8 3.6
Gary Trent Jr. 8 0–23 3 0–12 3 0–9 2 0–6 0 0–3 0 0–3 0 0–2 69% 11% 100% 2.0 2.4 2.2 3.0
Brayden Burries 8 0–21 2 0–11 2 0–8 1 0–4 0 0–2 0 0–3 0 0–2 68% 3% 99% 1.7 2.3 1.9 3.1
Caris LeVert 4 0–19 0 0–10 1 0–7 0 0–4 0 0–1 0 0–2 0 0–2 59% 3% 99% 1.1 1.7 1.3 2.6
Nate Ament 2 0–17 0 0–9 0 0–6 0 0–3 0 0–1 0 0–2 0 0–2 54% 2% 99% 0.9 1.3 1.1 2.2
Bogoljub Marković 0 0–11 0 0–6 0 0–4 0 0–2 0 0–1 0 0–2 0 0–1 37% 1% 98% 0.4 0.6 0.4 1.6
14 more MIL players play in under 5% of simulated games
  • Kevin Porter Jr. 3.3%
  • Pete Nance 3.0%
  • Cormac Ryan 2.9%
  • Kam Jones 0.4%
  • Taurean Prince 0.2%
  • Giannis G. Antetokounmpo 0.1%
  • Johni Broome 0.2%
  • Andre Jackson Jr. 0.1%
  • Gary Harris 0.1%
  • Bobby Portis Jr. 0.1%
  • Thanasis Antetokounmpo 0.1%
  • Jake Stephens 0.1%
  • Cam Thomas 0.1%
  • Alex Antetokounmpo never on court

Left out of the simulation at the cutoff: John Butler Jr. (MIL).

06Simulated play-by-play

Three of the 10,000 simulated games, possession by possession: shots by zone, free throws, turnovers and substitutions. The clock is the time left in the period when the possession starts; the score is after it; the last column is the share of simulated games MIL goes on to win from that point.

Simulated game 2,969 of 10,000 · the stored game closest to the median margin and total

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HOU34302424112
MIL32351532114
Quarter 1 HOU 34, MIL 32 in the period
  1. HOUStarters: Kevin Durant, Fred VanVleet, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson
  2. MILStarters: Kyle Kuzma, Tyler Herro, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  3. 12:00 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 0 – MIL 0 53%
  4. 11:54 HOU Sengun turnover HOU 0 – MIL 0 52%
  5. 11:23 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 0 – MIL 3 60%
  6. 11:21 HOU VanVleet makes layup (restricted area) HOU 2 – MIL 3 55%
  7. 11:06 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 2 – MIL 3 55%
  8. 11:06 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 4 – MIL 3 50%
  9. 10:29 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Rollins misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 4 – MIL 5 54%
  10. 10:28 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 4 – MIL 5 54%
  11. 10:18 MIL Kuzma makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made HOU 4 – MIL 8 62%
  12. 10:05 HOU Smith Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 6 – MIL 8 59%
  13. 9:53 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 6 – MIL 8 59%
  14. 9:45 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 9 – MIL 8 49%
  15. 9:36 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 9 – MIL 8 50%
  16. 9:24 HOU Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 9 – MIL 8 50%
  17. 9:08 MIL Herro turnover HOU 9 – MIL 8 50%
  18. 8:59 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; VanVleet turnover HOU 9 – MIL 8 50%
  19. 8:46 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 9 – MIL 10 55%
  20. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  21. 8:17 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 11 – MIL 10 51%
  22. 7:59 MIL Herro makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 11 – MIL 12 54%
  23. 7:47 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw missed HOU 13 – MIL 12 50%
  24. 7:30 MIL Dieng makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 13 – MIL 14 54%
  25. MILSubstitution: in Myles Turner; out Ryan Rollins
  26. 7:19 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 13 – MIL 14 54%
  27. 7:12 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 13 – MIL 17 59%
  28. 6:59 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 13 – MIL 17 59%
  29. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Tyler Herro
  30. 6:40 MIL Ware makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 13 – MIL 19 65%
  31. 6:28 HOU Durant 1 of 2 free throws HOU 14 – MIL 19 64%
  32. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Jericho Sims
  33. 6:13 MIL Dieng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 14 – MIL 19 64%
  34. 5:42 HOU Thompson 2 of 2 free throws HOU 16 – MIL 19 61%
  35. 5:24 MIL Ware 1 of 2 free throws HOU 16 – MIL 20 62%
  36. 5:14 HOU Smith Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 18 – MIL 20 56%
  37. 5:01 MIL Turner makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 18 – MIL 23 62%
  38. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Alperen Sengun
  39. MILSubstitution: in Gary Trent Jr.; out Kyle Kuzma
  40. 4:42 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Durant makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 21 – MIL 23 60%
  41. 4:22 MIL Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 21 – MIL 23 60%
  42. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Amen Thompson
  43. 4:03 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 23 – MIL 23 57%
  44. HOUSubstitution: in Isaiah Crawford; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  45. MILSubstitution: in Kasparas Jakučionis; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  46. 3:45 MIL Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Trent Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 23 – MIL 23 57%
  47. 3:38 HOU Crawford 1 of 2 free throws HOU 24 – MIL 23 48%
  48. HOUSubstitution: in Clint Capela; out Fred VanVleet
  49. 3:19 MIL Turner turnover HOU 24 – MIL 23 48%
  50. 3:18 HOU Durant makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 27 – MIL 23 43%
  51. 3:08 MIL Trent Jr. makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made HOU 27 – MIL 26 47%
  52. 2:49 HOU Capela makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 29 – MIL 26 44%
  53. 2:38 MIL Trent Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Ware makes layup (restricted area) HOU 29 – MIL 28 51%
  54. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr.; out Kevin Durant
  55. 2:28 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 29 – MIL 28 51%
  56. 2:16 MIL Dieng misses layup (restricted area) HOU 29 – MIL 28 51%
  57. 2:08 HOU Capela makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 31 – MIL 28 44%
  58. 1:58 MIL Trent Jr. 2 of 2 free throws HOU 31 – MIL 30 50%
  59. 1:55 HOU Capela makes layup (restricted area) HOU 33 – MIL 30 44%
  60. 1:53 MIL Trent Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 33 – MIL 30 44%
  61. 1:40 HOU Crawford misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 33 – MIL 30 45%
  62. 1:25 MIL Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 33 – MIL 30 44%
  63. 0:58 HOU Crawford 1 of 2 free throws HOU 34 – MIL 30 41%
  64. 0:46 MIL Ware makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 34 – MIL 32 47%
  65. 0:35 HOU Capela misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Capela misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 34 – MIL 32 46%
  66. 0:28 MIL Trent Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Trent Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 34 – MIL 32 46%
  67. 0:19 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Capela misses layup (restricted area) HOU 34 – MIL 32 46%
  68. 0:09 MIL Jakučionis misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 34 – MIL 32 46%
  69. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Clint Capela
  70. 0:04 HOU Crawford misses layup (restricted area) HOU 34 – MIL 32 50%
Quarter 2 HOU 30, MIL 35 in the period · score after HOU 64 – MIL 67
  1. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Fred VanVleet; out Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Isaiah Crawford
  2. MILSubstitution: in Jericho Sims, AJ Green; out Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng
  3. 12:00 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 37 – MIL 32 37%
  4. 11:57 MIL Sims makes layup (restricted area) HOU 37 – MIL 34 45%
  5. 11:28 HOU Capela makes layup (restricted area) HOU 39 – MIL 34 38%
  6. 11:14 MIL Jakučionis makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 39 – MIL 37 47%
  7. 10:56 HOU VanVleet misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 39 – MIL 37 47%
  8. 10:37 MIL Sims turnover HOU 39 – MIL 37 50%
  9. 10:30 HOU Eason misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 39 – MIL 37 50%
  10. 10:10 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) HOU 39 – MIL 39 51%
  11. 9:54 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 39 – MIL 39 51%
  12. 9:37 MIL AJ Green makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 39 – MIL 42 66%
  13. 9:25 HOU Durant turnover HOU 39 – MIL 42 66%
  14. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Kasparas Jakučionis
  15. 9:11 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 39 – MIL 44 68%
  16. 8:53 HOU VanVleet makes layup (restricted area) HOU 41 – MIL 44 62%
  17. 8:35 MIL Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Trent Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 41 – MIL 44 59%
  18. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro; out Gary Trent Jr.
  19. 8:24 HOU Smith Jr. 2 of 2 free throws HOU 43 – MIL 44 57%
  20. HOUSubstitution: in Alperen Sengun; out Tari Eason
  21. 7:47 MIL Sims makes layup (restricted area) HOU 43 – MIL 46 63%
  22. 7:11 HOU VanVleet 2 of 2 free throws HOU 45 – MIL 46 56%
  23. 7:00 MIL Herro makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 45 – MIL 48 60%
  24. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma, Ousmane Dieng; out Jericho Sims, Kel'el Ware
  25. 6:49 HOU VanVleet makes layup (restricted area) HOU 47 – MIL 48 56%
  26. 6:42 MIL Herro misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. 2 of 2 free throws HOU 47 – MIL 50 57%
  27. 6:23 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 49 – MIL 50 59%
  28. 6:17 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 49 – MIL 50 59%
  29. 6:10 HOU Durant makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 52 – MIL 50 45%
  30. 6:09 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) HOU 52 – MIL 52 56%
  31. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Clint Capela
  32. 5:55 HOU Durant makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), and one: free throw made HOU 55 – MIL 52 43%
  33. MILSubstitution: in Ryan Rollins; out AJ Green
  34. 5:40 MIL Herro turnover HOU 55 – MIL 52 43%
  35. 5:27 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 55 – MIL 52 43%
  36. 5:12 MIL Herro 2 of 2 free throws HOU 55 – MIL 54 49%
  37. 5:11 HOU Durant 2 of 3 free throws HOU 57 – MIL 54 45%
  38. 4:53 MIL Dieng makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), and one: free throw missed HOU 57 – MIL 56 47%
  39. 4:46 HOU Sengun misses layup (restricted area) HOU 57 – MIL 56 47%
  40. 4:36 MIL Kuzma makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 57 – MIL 58 58%
  41. 4:16 HOU VanVleet makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 60 – MIL 58 50%
  42. 3:58 MIL Kuzma 1 of 2 free throws HOU 60 – MIL 59 50%
  43. 3:52 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 60 – MIL 59 49%
  44. MILSubstitution: in Jericho Sims; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  45. 3:20 MIL Rollins misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 60 – MIL 59 48%
  46. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Fred VanVleet
  47. 2:59 HOU Thompson turnover HOU 60 – MIL 59 48%
  48. 2:44 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 60 – MIL 59 51%
  49. 2:24 HOU Sheppard turnover HOU 60 – MIL 59 51%
  50. 2:01 MIL Rollins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 60 – MIL 62 61%
  51. 1:51 HOU Sengun turnover HOU 60 – MIL 62 61%
  52. 1:41 MIL Herro turnover HOU 60 – MIL 62 61%
  53. 1:36 HOU Durant turnover HOU 60 – MIL 62 57%
  54. 1:25 MIL Sims makes layup (restricted area) HOU 60 – MIL 64 64%
  55. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Ousmane Dieng
  56. 1:07 HOU Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 62 – MIL 64 57%
  57. 0:46 MIL AJ Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 62 – MIL 67 62%
  58. 0:39 HOU Thompson makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 64 – MIL 67 62%
  59. 0:24 MIL Kuzma turnover HOU 64 – MIL 67 62%
  60. 0:17 HOU Thompson misses layup (restricted area) HOU 64 – MIL 67 60%
Quarter 3 HOU 24, MIL 15 in the period · score after HOU 88 – MIL 82
  1. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Reed Sheppard
  2. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out AJ Green
  3. 12:00 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 64 – MIL 67 60%
  4. 11:39 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 64 – MIL 67 60%
  5. 11:24 HOU Thompson turnover HOU 64 – MIL 67 60%
  6. 11:04 MIL Herro makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 64 – MIL 69 64%
  7. 10:52 HOU Sengun turnover HOU 64 – MIL 69 64%
  8. 10:34 MIL Herro misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 64 – MIL 69 68%
  9. 10:09 HOU Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 64 – MIL 69 67%
  10. 9:57 MIL Sims makes layup (restricted area) HOU 64 – MIL 71 71%
  11. 9:38 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 66 – MIL 71 67%
  12. 9:24 MIL Rollins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 66 – MIL 71 67%
  13. 9:20 HOU Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; VanVleet turnover HOU 66 – MIL 71 67%
  14. 9:06 MIL Sims makes layup (restricted area) HOU 66 – MIL 73 73%
  15. 8:39 HOU VanVleet turnover HOU 66 – MIL 73 75%
  16. 8:25 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 66 – MIL 73 75%
  17. 8:06 HOU Smith Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), and one: free throw made HOU 69 – MIL 73 64%
  18. 7:52 MIL Kuzma turnover HOU 69 – MIL 73 64%
  19. 7:50 HOU Sengun makes layup (restricted area) HOU 71 – MIL 73 59%
  20. 7:29 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 71 – MIL 73 59%
  21. MILSubstitution: in Gary Trent Jr.; out Ryan Rollins
  22. 7:14 HOU Sengun misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Thompson turnover HOU 71 – MIL 73 59%
  23. 7:04 MIL Kuzma misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Sims misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. 2 of 2 free throws HOU 71 – MIL 75 68%
  24. 6:58 HOU Smith Jr. 1 of 2 free throws HOU 72 – MIL 75 63%
  25. 6:45 MIL Trent Jr. turnover HOU 72 – MIL 75 63%
  26. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Kyle Kuzma
  27. 6:38 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 74 – MIL 75 56%
  28. 6:25 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 74 – MIL 75 56%
  29. HOUSubstitution: in Bruce Thornton; out Amen Thompson
  30. MILSubstitution: in Myles Turner; out Jericho Sims
  31. 6:14 HOU VanVleet makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 76 – MIL 75 48%
  32. 6:03 MIL Trent Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Herro misses layup (restricted area) HOU 76 – MIL 75 46%
  33. 5:50 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 78 – MIL 75 40%
  34. HOUSubstitution: in Clint Capela; out Alperen Sengun
  35. 5:48 MIL Turner misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 78 – MIL 75 40%
  36. 5:31 HOU Smith Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Capela turnover HOU 78 – MIL 75 42%
  37. 5:01 MIL Jaquez Jr. turnover HOU 78 – MIL 75 39%
  38. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  39. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  40. 4:26 HOU Thornton misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 78 – MIL 75 39%
  41. 4:04 MIL Trent Jr. turnover HOU 78 – MIL 75 39%
  42. 3:54 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Thornton makes layup (restricted area) HOU 80 – MIL 75 33%
  43. 3:53 MIL Trent Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 80 – MIL 77 39%
  44. 3:33 HOU Capela misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; VanVleet makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 82 – MIL 77 33%
  45. 3:31 MIL Ware makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 82 – MIL 80 47%
  46. 3:27 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 84 – MIL 80 36%
  47. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Fred VanVleet
  48. 3:15 MIL Dieng turnover HOU 84 – MIL 80 38%
  49. 2:52 HOU Capela makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 86 – MIL 80 27%
  50. 2:41 MIL Trent Jr. turnover HOU 86 – MIL 80 27%
  51. 2:40 HOU Thornton misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 86 – MIL 80 27%
  52. 2:27 MIL Dieng misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 86 – MIL 80 27%
  53. 2:08 HOU Thompson turnover HOU 86 – MIL 80 25%
  54. 1:54 MIL Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 86 – MIL 80 25%
  55. 1:33 HOU Sheppard misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 86 – MIL 80 28%
  56. 1:11 MIL Turner 1 of 2 free throws HOU 86 – MIL 81 31%
  57. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr.; out Kevin Durant
  58. 0:34 HOU Thornton makes layup (restricted area) HOU 88 – MIL 81 25%
  59. 0:15 MIL Dieng 1 of 2 free throws HOU 88 – MIL 82 23%
  60. 0:10 HOU Sheppard misses layup (restricted area) HOU 88 – MIL 82 28%
Quarter 4 HOU 24, MIL 32 in the period · score after HOU 112 – MIL 114
  1. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Clint Capela
  2. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, AJ Green; out Myles Turner, Gary Trent Jr., Ousmane Dieng
  3. 12:00 MIL Rollins makes layup (restricted area) HOU 88 – MIL 84 31%
  4. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Ryan Rollins
  5. 11:45 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 88 – MIL 84 31%
  6. 11:32 MIL Herro 2 of 2 free throws HOU 88 – MIL 86 42%
  7. 11:09 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 90 – MIL 86 31%
  8. 10:52 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 90 – MIL 86 31%
  9. 10:46 HOU Thornton makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 93 – MIL 86 25%
  10. 10:44 MIL AJ Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 93 – MIL 86 25%
  11. 10:33 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 96 – MIL 86 13%
  12. 10:18 MIL Kuzma makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 96 – MIL 88 17%
  13. 10:05 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 98 – MIL 88 12%
  14. 9:54 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; AJ Green makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 98 – MIL 91 24%
  15. 9:43 HOU Eason turnover HOU 98 – MIL 91 24%
  16. 9:32 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) HOU 98 – MIL 93 30%
  17. 9:16 HOU Thompson turnover HOU 98 – MIL 93 23%
  18. 8:57 MIL Jaquez Jr. turnover HOU 98 – MIL 93 23%
  19. 8:52 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 101 – MIL 93 16%
  20. HOUSubstitution: in Alperen Sengun; out Amen Thompson
  21. 8:36 MIL Ware makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 101 – MIL 95 20%
  22. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Tari Eason
  23. 8:25 HOU Sheppard turnover HOU 101 – MIL 95 20%
  24. 8:11 MIL Kuzma 1 of 2 free throws HOU 101 – MIL 96 22%
  25. MILSubstitution: in Jericho Sims; out AJ Green
  26. 8:09 HOU Sengun turnover HOU 101 – MIL 96 22%
  27. 8:03 MIL Sims makes layup (restricted area) HOU 101 – MIL 98 34%
  28. MILSubstitution: in Kasparas Jakučionis; out Kel'el Ware
  29. 7:46 HOU VanVleet misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Sengun makes layup (restricted area) HOU 103 – MIL 98 25%
  30. 7:36 MIL Herro turnover HOU 103 – MIL 98 23%
  31. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Reed Sheppard
  32. 7:21 HOU Thompson misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; VanVleet misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 103 – MIL 98 19%
  33. 6:57 MIL Sims misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 103 – MIL 98 14%
  34. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Tyler Herro
  35. 6:19 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 103 – MIL 98 14%
  36. 6:04 MIL Kuzma makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 103 – MIL 101 33%
  37. 5:44 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 105 – MIL 101 24%
  38. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant; out Bruce Thornton
  39. 5:10 MIL Kuzma misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 105 – MIL 101 26%
  40. 4:52 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 107 – MIL 101 12%
  41. 4:32 MIL Jakučionis makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 107 – MIL 104 25%
  42. 4:05 HOU VanVleet 1 of 2 free throws HOU 108 – MIL 104 24%
  43. 3:32 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Sims makes layup (restricted area) HOU 108 – MIL 106 37%
  44. 3:13 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 108 – MIL 106 37%
  45. 3:01 MIL AJ Green 2 of 2 free throws HOU 108 – MIL 108 55%
  46. 2:56 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 110 – MIL 108 28%
  47. 2:55 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 110 – MIL 110 55%
  48. HOUSubstitution: in Isaiah Crawford; out Alperen Sengun
  49. 2:48 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 112 – MIL 110 28%
  50. HOUSubstitution: in Clint Capela; out Isaiah Crawford
  51. 2:33 MIL Jaquez Jr. 2 of 2 free throws HOU 112 – MIL 112 47%
  52. MILSubstitution: in Ryan Rollins; out Jericho Sims
  53. 2:02 HOU Smith Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; VanVleet turnover HOU 112 – MIL 112 50%
  54. 1:57 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 112 – MIL 112 50%
  55. 1:46 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 112 – MIL 112 50%
  56. 1:44 MIL Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 112 – MIL 112 50%
  57. 1:31 HOU Smith Jr. turnover HOU 112 – MIL 112 54%
  58. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  59. 1:26 MIL Kuzma misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 112 – MIL 112 54%
  60. 1:14 HOU Sheppard turnover HOU 112 – MIL 112 54%
  61. 1:01 MIL Kuzma misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 112 – MIL 112 54%
  62. 1:01 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Sheppard turnover HOU 112 – MIL 112 49%
  63. 0:55 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) HOU 112 – MIL 114 79%
  64. 0:23 HOU Capela misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 112 – MIL 114 79%
  65. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Amen Thompson
  66. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro; out Kasparas Jakučionis
  67. 0:06 MIL Kuzma misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 112 – MIL 114 100%

Simulated game 140 of 10,000 · the widest MIL win of all 10,000

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HOU20222436102
MIL60374339179
Quarter 1 HOU 20, MIL 60 in the period
  1. HOUStarters: Kevin Durant, Fred VanVleet, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson
  2. MILStarters: Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Tyler Herro, Ryan Rollins, Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  3. 12:00 MIL Turner misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Turner turnover HOU 0 – MIL 0 53%
  4. 11:59 HOU Thompson makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 2 – MIL 0
  5. 11:41 MIL Rollins misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 2 – MIL 0 50%
  6. 11:22 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) HOU 4 – MIL 0 47%
  7. 11:08 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 4 – MIL 3 51%
  8. 10:57 HOU Thompson misses layup (restricted area) HOU 4 – MIL 3 50%
  9. 10:30 MIL Kuzma makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 4 – MIL 6 58%
  10. 10:12 HOU Smith Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 4 – MIL 6 58%
  11. 10:01 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 4 – MIL 9 61%
  12. 9:48 HOU Durant turnover HOU 4 – MIL 9 61%
  13. 9:47 MIL Rollins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 4 – MIL 12 72%
  14. 9:39 HOU Eason misses layup (restricted area) HOU 4 – MIL 12 77%
  15. 9:26 MIL Turner makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 4 – MIL 15 78%
  16. 9:24 HOU Thompson misses layup (restricted area) HOU 4 – MIL 15 78%
  17. 9:05 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 4 – MIL 17 71%
  18. 8:48 HOU VanVleet 1 of 2 free throws HOU 5 – MIL 17 80%
  19. 8:42 MIL Herro turnover HOU 5 – MIL 17 80%
  20. 8:31 HOU Durant turnover HOU 5 – MIL 17 79%
  21. 8:27 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 5 – MIL 17 79%
  22. 8:17 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 7 – MIL 17 74%
  23. 7:58 MIL Kuzma makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 7 – MIL 20 88%
  24. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  25. 7:53 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 7 – MIL 20 88%
  26. 7:38 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 7 – MIL 23 67%
  27. 7:28 HOU Thompson 0 of 2 free throws HOU 7 – MIL 23 67%
  28. HOUSubstitution: in Jae'Sean Tate; out Fred VanVleet
  29. 7:10 MIL Kuzma makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 7 – MIL 26 100%
  30. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Tyler Herro
  31. 7:04 HOU Eason makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 10 – MIL 26 82%
  32. 6:46 MIL Ware misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Ware makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made HOU 10 – MIL 29 67%
  33. 6:12 HOU Thompson misses layup (restricted area) HOU 10 – MIL 29 67%
  34. 6:11 MIL Turner misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 10 – MIL 29 83%
  35. 5:53 HOU Eason makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 13 – MIL 29 91%
  36. 5:38 MIL Rollins makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 13 – MIL 32 83%
  37. 5:35 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 13 – MIL 32 88%
  38. 5:14 MIL Dieng makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 13 – MIL 35 100%
  39. MILSubstitution: in Kasparas Jakučionis; out Kel'el Ware
  40. 4:58 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw missed HOU 15 – MIL 35 100%
  41. 4:52 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) HOU 15 – MIL 37 100%
  42. HOUSubstitution: in Bogdan Bogdanović; out Amen Thompson
  43. 4:18 HOU Bogdanović misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 15 – MIL 37 100%
  44. 4:16 MIL Turner misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Turner misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Rollins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 15 – MIL 40
  45. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Tari Eason
  46. 3:58 HOU Durant turnover HOU 15 – MIL 40
  47. 3:52 MIL Rollins makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 15 – MIL 42
  48. 3:48 HOU Tate turnover HOU 15 – MIL 42
  49. 3:34 MIL Jakučionis misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Dieng misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Turner makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 15 – MIL 45
  50. 2:59 HOU Bogdanović misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 15 – MIL 45
  51. 2:56 MIL Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 15 – MIL 45
  52. 2:53 HOU Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 15 – MIL 45
  53. 2:44 MIL Rollins 2 of 2 free throws HOU 15 – MIL 47
  54. 2:38 HOU Tate turnover HOU 15 – MIL 47
  55. 2:33 MIL Turner misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Dieng misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Dieng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 15 – MIL 47 100%
  56. 2:20 HOU Bogdanović makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 18 – MIL 47
  57. MILSubstitution: in Caris LeVert; out Myles Turner
  58. 2:04 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Dieng makes layup (restricted area) HOU 18 – MIL 49
  59. 1:58 HOU Tate misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 18 – MIL 49
  60. 1:44 MIL Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 18 – MIL 49
  61. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  62. 1:34 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 18 – MIL 49 100%
  63. 1:23 MIL Rollins makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 18 – MIL 51 100%
  64. 1:11 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 20 – MIL 51 100%
  65. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Kyle Kuzma
  66. 0:57 MIL AJ Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 20 – MIL 54 100%
  67. 0:53 HOU Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 20 – MIL 54 100%
  68. 0:40 MIL LeVert makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 20 – MIL 57 100%
  69. 0:23 HOU VanVleet turnover HOU 20 – MIL 57 100%
  70. 0:07 MIL Jakučionis makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 20 – MIL 60 100%
Quarter 2 HOU 22, MIL 37 in the period · score after HOU 42 – MIL 97
  1. HOUSubstitution: in Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Isaiah Crawford; out Kevin Durant, Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson
  2. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware; out Ryan Rollins, Ousmane Dieng
  3. 12:00 HOU Capela misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Bogdanović misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 20 – MIL 60 100%
  4. 11:39 MIL AJ Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Jakučionis turnover HOU 20 – MIL 60 100%
  5. 11:30 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Bogdanović misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 20 – MIL 60 100%
  6. 11:12 MIL Ware makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 20 – MIL 63 100%
  7. 10:46 HOU Bogdanović misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 20 – MIL 63 100%
  8. 10:38 MIL Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Jakučionis makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 20 – MIL 65 100%
  9. 10:31 HOU Smith Jr. 1 of 2 free throws HOU 21 – MIL 65 100%
  10. 10:17 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) HOU 21 – MIL 67 100%
  11. 10:05 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 23 – MIL 67 100%
  12. 9:53 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 23 – MIL 70 100%
  13. 9:43 HOU Crawford turnover HOU 23 – MIL 70 100%
  14. 9:39 MIL Herro 1 of 2 free throws HOU 23 – MIL 71 100%
  15. 9:25 HOU Capela turnover HOU 23 – MIL 71 100%
  16. 9:09 MIL Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 23 – MIL 74 100%
  17. 8:53 HOU Bogdanović turnover HOU 23 – MIL 74 100%
  18. 8:38 MIL Jakučionis turnover HOU 23 – MIL 74 100%
  19. 8:28 HOU Crawford makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 26 – MIL 74 100%
  20. 8:17 MIL Herro misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Jakučionis makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw missed HOU 26 – MIL 76 100%
  21. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Fred VanVleet
  22. 8:04 HOU Smith Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 26 – MIL 76 100%
  23. 7:56 MIL Jakučionis misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Herro makes layup (restricted area) HOU 26 – MIL 78 100%
  24. 7:46 HOU Capela misses layup (restricted area) HOU 26 – MIL 78 100%
  25. 7:29 MIL Herro makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 26 – MIL 80 100%
  26. 7:08 HOU Thompson turnover HOU 26 – MIL 80 100%
  27. HOUSubstitution: in Jae'Sean Tate; out Clint Capela
  28. 6:51 MIL Jakučionis makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made HOU 26 – MIL 83 100%
  29. 6:44 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 26 – MIL 83 100%
  30. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  31. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Tyler Herro
  32. 6:31 MIL Ware misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 26 – MIL 83 100%
  33. 6:20 HOU Bogdanović makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 29 – MIL 83 100%
  34. 6:14 MIL LeVert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 29 – MIL 83 100%
  35. 6:09 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 29 – MIL 83 100%
  36. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Bogdan Bogdanović
  37. 5:51 MIL Ware turnover HOU 29 – MIL 83 100%
  38. 5:35 HOU VanVleet misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 29 – MIL 83 100%
  39. 5:17 MIL Jakučionis 2 of 2 free throws HOU 29 – MIL 85 100%
  40. 4:53 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 29 – MIL 85 100%
  41. 4:41 MIL Ware makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 29 – MIL 87 100%
  42. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant; out Isaiah Crawford
  43. MILSubstitution: in Ryan Rollins; out Caris LeVert
  44. 4:17 HOU Tate 2 of 2 free throws HOU 31 – MIL 87 100%
  45. 4:17 MIL Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 31 – MIL 87 100%
  46. HOUSubstitution: in Isaiah Crawford; out Amen Thompson
  47. 4:04 HOU Durant turnover HOU 31 – MIL 87 100%
  48. 3:46 MIL Jakučionis misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 31 – MIL 87 100%
  49. 3:30 HOU Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Eason misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 31 – MIL 87 100%
  50. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr.; out Jae'Sean Tate
  51. MILSubstitution: in Myles Turner; out Kasparas Jakučionis
  52. 3:13 MIL Rollins misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; AJ Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 31 – MIL 90 100%
  53. 3:03 HOU Durant makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 33 – MIL 90 100%
  54. 2:45 MIL AJ Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 33 – MIL 93 100%
  55. 2:34 HOU Crawford makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 36 – MIL 93 100%
  56. 2:20 MIL Turner misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 36 – MIL 93 100%
  57. HOUSubstitution: in Bruce Thornton; out Tari Eason
  58. 1:56 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 36 – MIL 93 100%
  59. 1:38 MIL AJ Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 36 – MIL 93 100%
  60. 1:20 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 39 – MIL 93 100%
  61. 1:18 MIL Turner makes layup (restricted area) HOU 39 – MIL 95 100%
  62. 1:05 HOU Thornton misses layup (restricted area) HOU 39 – MIL 95 100%
  63. 0:50 MIL Dieng makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 39 – MIL 97 100%
  64. 0:36 HOU VanVleet turnover HOU 39 – MIL 97 98%
  65. 0:25 MIL Dieng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Ware turnover HOU 39 – MIL 97 98%
  66. 0:09 HOU Thornton makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 42 – MIL 97 98%
Quarter 3 HOU 24, MIL 43 in the period · score after HOU 66 – MIL 140
  1. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason, Amen Thompson; out Isaiah Crawford, Bruce Thornton
  2. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Ousmane Dieng, AJ Green, Kel'el Ware
  3. 12:00 HOU Durant turnover HOU 42 – MIL 97 98%
  4. 11:48 MIL Rollins makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 42 – MIL 99 98%
  5. 11:14 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Eason turnover HOU 42 – MIL 99 98%
  6. 11:10 MIL Turner makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 42 – MIL 102 98%
  7. 11:06 HOU VanVleet misses layup (restricted area) HOU 42 – MIL 102 98%
  8. 11:02 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 42 – MIL 102 99%
  9. 10:52 HOU Durant misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Eason makes layup (restricted area) HOU 44 – MIL 102 99%
  10. 10:40 MIL Herro misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 44 – MIL 105 100%
  11. 10:22 HOU Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 44 – MIL 105 100%
  12. 10:00 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Herro makes layup (restricted area) HOU 44 – MIL 107 100%
  13. 9:43 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 44 – MIL 107 100%
  14. 9:09 MIL Rollins makes layup (restricted area) HOU 44 – MIL 109 100%
  15. 9:04 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 44 – MIL 109 100%
  16. 8:56 MIL Kuzma makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 44 – MIL 111 100%
  17. 8:35 HOU Smith Jr. misses layup (restricted area) HOU 44 – MIL 111 100%
  18. 8:11 MIL Rollins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 44 – MIL 111 100%
  19. MILSubstitution: in Nate Ament; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  20. 7:40 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) HOU 46 – MIL 111 100%
  21. 7:25 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made HOU 46 – MIL 114 100%
  22. 7:22 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Durant turnover HOU 46 – MIL 114 100%
  23. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Kyle Kuzma
  24. 7:11 MIL Herro makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 46 – MIL 116 100%
  25. 7:01 HOU Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 46 – MIL 116 100%
  26. 6:49 MIL Herro makes layup (restricted area) HOU 46 – MIL 118 99%
  27. MILSubstitution: in Kasparas Jakučionis; out Tyler Herro
  28. 6:29 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 46 – MIL 118 99%
  29. 6:18 MIL Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 46 – MIL 118 99%
  30. 6:03 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 48 – MIL 118 100%
  31. HOUSubstitution: in Bogdan Bogdanović; out Amen Thompson
  32. 5:53 MIL Ament 2 of 2 free throws HOU 48 – MIL 120 100%
  33. HOUSubstitution: in Jae'Sean Tate; out Kevin Durant
  34. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Ryan Rollins
  35. 5:46 HOU VanVleet misses layup (restricted area) HOU 48 – MIL 120 100%
  36. 5:37 MIL AJ Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 48 – MIL 123 100%
  37. 5:28 HOU Bogdanović misses layup (restricted area) HOU 48 – MIL 123 100%
  38. 5:17 MIL AJ Green misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Turner makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 48 – MIL 126 100%
  39. HOUSubstitution: in Isaiah Crawford; out Fred VanVleet
  40. 4:59 HOU Eason makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 50 – MIL 126 100%
  41. 4:46 MIL Ament misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 50 – MIL 126 100%
  42. 4:21 HOU Eason makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 53 – MIL 126 100%
  43. 4:13 MIL Ament makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 53 – MIL 129 100%
  44. 4:02 HOU Smith Jr. 1 of 2 free throws HOU 54 – MIL 129 100%
  45. 3:45 MIL Turner misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 54 – MIL 129 100%
  46. 3:32 HOU Bogdanović misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 54 – MIL 129 100%
  47. 3:20 MIL Ament misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; AJ Green turnover HOU 54 – MIL 129 100%
  48. 3:11 HOU Tate makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 57 – MIL 129 100%
  49. MILSubstitution: in Caris LeVert; out Myles Turner
  50. 2:55 MIL AJ Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 57 – MIL 132 100%
  51. 2:46 HOU Bogdanović misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Eason makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made HOU 60 – MIL 132 100%
  52. HOUSubstitution: in Clint Capela; out Tari Eason
  53. 2:31 MIL AJ Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; AJ Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 60 – MIL 132 100%
  54. 2:24 HOU Capela makes layup (restricted area) HOU 62 – MIL 132 100%
  55. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  56. 2:13 MIL Ament makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 62 – MIL 134 100%
  57. 2:12 HOU Bogdanović turnover HOU 62 – MIL 134 100%
  58. 2:06 MIL Jakučionis misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 62 – MIL 134 100%
  59. 1:44 HOU Crawford misses layup (restricted area) HOU 62 – MIL 134 100%
  60. 1:33 MIL Ament makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw missed HOU 62 – MIL 136 100%
  61. 1:28 HOU Crawford makes layup (restricted area) HOU 64 – MIL 136 100%
  62. 1:11 MIL LeVert 1 of 2 free throws HOU 64 – MIL 137 100%
  63. 0:55 HOU Bogdanović misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Crawford turnover HOU 64 – MIL 137 100%
  64. 0:40 MIL Ament makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 64 – MIL 140 100%
  65. 0:28 HOU Eason makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 66 – MIL 140 100%
  66. 0:26 MIL Jakučionis turnover HOU 66 – MIL 140 100%
Quarter 4 HOU 36, MIL 39 in the period · score after HOU 102 – MIL 179
  1. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr., Bruce Thornton; out Jae'Sean Tate, Tari Eason
  2. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Ousmane Dieng; out Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakučionis, Nate Ament
  3. 12:00 MIL Kuzma turnover HOU 66 – MIL 140 100%
  4. 11:26 HOU Thornton misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 66 – MIL 140 100%
  5. 11:16 MIL AJ Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 66 – MIL 140 100%
  6. 11:07 HOU Capela makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 68 – MIL 140 100%
  7. 11:05 MIL Dieng misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Kuzma turnover HOU 68 – MIL 140 100%
  8. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Ousmane Dieng
  9. 10:46 HOU Crawford makes layup (restricted area) HOU 70 – MIL 140 100%
  10. 10:27 MIL Ware misses layup (restricted area) HOU 70 – MIL 140 100%
  11. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Clint Capela
  12. 10:12 HOU Thornton misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Bogdanović misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 70 – MIL 140 100%
  13. 10:01 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) HOU 70 – MIL 142 100%
  14. 9:52 HOU Thornton makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made HOU 73 – MIL 142 100%
  15. 9:34 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made HOU 73 – MIL 145 100%
  16. 9:14 HOU Thornton turnover HOU 73 – MIL 145 100%
  17. 9:07 MIL LeVert makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 73 – MIL 148 100%
  18. HOUSubstitution: in Jae'Sean Tate; out Fred VanVleet
  19. MILSubstitution: in Nate Ament; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  20. 8:34 HOU Crawford misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Thornton makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 75 – MIL 148 100%
  21. 8:22 MIL AJ Green makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 75 – MIL 151 100%
  22. 8:07 HOU Thornton misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 75 – MIL 151 100%
  23. 7:55 MIL Kuzma 2 of 2 free throws HOU 75 – MIL 153 100%
  24. 7:49 HOU Tate turnover HOU 75 – MIL 153 100%
  25. 7:42 MIL Kuzma 1 of 2 free throws HOU 75 – MIL 154 100%
  26. 7:27 HOU Bogdanović makes layup (restricted area) HOU 77 – MIL 154 100%
  27. 7:11 MIL Ament makes layup (restricted area) HOU 77 – MIL 156 100%
  28. HOUSubstitution: in Clint Capela; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  29. 7:00 HOU Thornton makes layup (restricted area) HOU 79 – MIL 156 100%
  30. 6:46 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) HOU 79 – MIL 158 100%
  31. 6:45 HOU Capela misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 79 – MIL 158 100%
  32. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Isaiah Crawford
  33. MILSubstitution: in Ryan Rollins; out AJ Green
  34. 6:25 MIL LeVert makes layup (restricted area) HOU 79 – MIL 160 100%
  35. 6:11 HOU Eason misses layup (restricted area) HOU 79 – MIL 160 100%
  36. 5:58 MIL Ament misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 79 – MIL 160 100%
  37. 5:46 HOU Bogdanović makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 82 – MIL 160 100%
  38. 5:40 MIL Ware misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; LeVert makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 82 – MIL 163 100%
  39. 5:35 HOU Capela makes layup (restricted area) HOU 84 – MIL 163 100%
  40. 5:22 MIL Rollins misses layup (restricted area) HOU 84 – MIL 163 100%
  41. MILSubstitution: in Brayden Burries; out Kyle Kuzma
  42. 5:11 HOU Thornton misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Eason misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 84 – MIL 163 100%
  43. 5:03 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) HOU 84 – MIL 165 100%
  44. 5:03 HOU Tate makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 87 – MIL 165 100%
  45. 4:48 MIL Ware 3 of 3 free throws HOU 87 – MIL 168 100%
  46. 4:40 HOU Bogdanović misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 87 – MIL 168 100%
  47. 4:11 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) HOU 87 – MIL 170 100%
  48. 3:55 HOU Bogdanović misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 87 – MIL 170 100%
  49. 3:45 MIL Ament misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Burries makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 87 – MIL 173 100%
  50. 3:29 HOU Tate misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 87 – MIL 173 100%
  51. 3:26 MIL Ware 1 of 2 free throws HOU 87 – MIL 174 100%
  52. 3:10 HOU Thornton makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 90 – MIL 174 100%
  53. 3:05 MIL Ware turnover HOU 90 – MIL 174 100%
  54. 3:00 HOU Tate turnover HOU 90 – MIL 174 100%
  55. 2:51 MIL Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 90 – MIL 174 100%
  56. 2:37 HOU Tate makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 93 – MIL 174 100%
  57. HOUSubstitution: in Isaiah Crawford; out Tari Eason
  58. 2:26 MIL Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 93 – MIL 174 100%
  59. 2:12 HOU Bogdanović makes layup (restricted area) HOU 95 – MIL 174 100%
  60. 1:53 MIL LeVert turnover HOU 95 – MIL 174 100%
  61. 1:40 HOU Thornton makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made HOU 98 – MIL 174 100%
  62. 1:26 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) HOU 98 – MIL 176 100%
  63. 1:20 HOU Bogdanović misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Crawford misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Capela misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Tate 2 of 2 free throws HOU 100 – MIL 176 100%
  64. MILSubstitution: in Bogoljub Marković; out Ryan Rollins
  65. 0:52 MIL Ware makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 100 – MIL 179 100%
  66. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Bogdan Bogdanović
  67. 0:36 HOU Thornton makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 102 – MIL 179 100%
  68. 0:17 MIL Burries misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 102 – MIL 179 100%
  69. 0:06 HOU Capela misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 102 – MIL 179 100%

Simulated game 9,860 of 10,000 · the widest HOU win of all 10,000

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HOU45224736150
MIL2121262391
Quarter 1 HOU 45, MIL 21 in the period
  1. HOUStarters: Kevin Durant, Fred VanVleet, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson
  2. MILStarters: Kyle Kuzma, Tyler Herro, Ryan Rollins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bogoljub Marković
  3. 12:00 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Durant makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw missed HOU 2 – MIL 0
  4. 11:38 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 2 – MIL 2 52%
  5. 11:18 HOU Thompson makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 4 – MIL 2 50%
  6. 11:11 MIL Marković turnover HOU 4 – MIL 2 49%
  7. 10:54 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 7 – MIL 2 42%
  8. 10:37 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 7 – MIL 4 47%
  9. 10:24 HOU Thompson turnover HOU 7 – MIL 4 47%
  10. 10:06 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 7 – MIL 4 47%
  11. 9:48 HOU Eason makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 9 – MIL 4 46%
  12. 9:41 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area) HOU 9 – MIL 4 46%
  13. 9:40 HOU VanVleet makes layup (restricted area) HOU 11 – MIL 4 29%
  14. 9:20 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 11 – MIL 4 29%
  15. 9:07 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 11 – MIL 4 29%
  16. 9:07 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Marković misses layup (restricted area) HOU 11 – MIL 4 36%
  17. 9:00 HOU VanVleet misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 11 – MIL 4 36%
  18. MILSubstitution: in Kasparas Jakučionis; out Bogoljub Marković
  19. 8:44 MIL Rollins misses layup (restricted area) HOU 11 – MIL 4 41%
  20. 8:23 HOU Eason misses layup (restricted area) HOU 11 – MIL 4 41%
  21. 8:08 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 11 – MIL 6 48%
  22. 7:56 HOU Durant makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 14 – MIL 6 35%
  23. 7:34 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 14 – MIL 6 32%
  24. HOUSubstitution: in Bogdan Bogdanović; out Amen Thompson
  25. 7:21 HOU VanVleet makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 17 – MIL 6 29%
  26. 7:15 MIL Rollins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 17 – MIL 9 32%
  27. 7:08 HOU Bogdanović makes layup (restricted area) HOU 19 – MIL 9 29%
  28. 6:50 MIL Jaquez Jr. turnover HOU 19 – MIL 9 29%
  29. 6:41 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 19 – MIL 9 31%
  30. 6:26 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 19 – MIL 12 39%
  31. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  32. 6:19 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 19 – MIL 12 39%
  33. 6:06 MIL Ware turnover HOU 19 – MIL 12 38%
  34. 5:56 HOU VanVleet 1 of 2 free throws HOU 20 – MIL 12 31%
  35. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Tari Eason
  36. 5:32 MIL Rollins 1 of 2 free throws HOU 20 – MIL 13 33%
  37. 5:20 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 22 – MIL 13 32%
  38. 5:09 MIL Kuzma turnover HOU 22 – MIL 13 34%
  39. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  40. 5:00 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 24 – MIL 13 26%
  41. MILSubstitution: in Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Ryan Rollins
  42. 4:39 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 24 – MIL 13 24%
  43. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Tyler Herro
  44. 4:04 HOU Bogdanović makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made HOU 27 – MIL 13 29%
  45. 3:54 MIL Jakučionis turnover HOU 27 – MIL 13 29%
  46. MILSubstitution: in Brayden Burries; out Kyle Kuzma
  47. 3:44 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Durant makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 30 – MIL 13 29%
  48. 3:38 MIL Burries 1 of 2 free throws HOU 30 – MIL 14 23%
  49. 3:26 HOU Bogdanović misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Durant turnover HOU 30 – MIL 14 23%
  50. 3:05 MIL Ware turnover HOU 30 – MIL 14 15%
  51. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr.; out Kevin Durant
  52. 2:48 HOU Bogdanović misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 30 – MIL 14 15%
  53. 2:46 MIL AJ Green misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 30 – MIL 14 15%
  54. HOUSubstitution: in Bruce Thornton; out Fred VanVleet
  55. 2:39 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Bogdanović makes layup (restricted area) HOU 32 – MIL 14 39%
  56. 2:30 MIL Jakučionis makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 32 – MIL 17 15%
  57. 2:22 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 34 – MIL 17 9%
  58. 2:15 MIL Ware misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 34 – MIL 17 12%
  59. 1:59 HOU Bogdanović makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 37 – MIL 17 17%
  60. 1:49 MIL Ware turnover HOU 37 – MIL 17 17%
  61. 1:31 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 40 – MIL 17 33%
  62. 1:22 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) HOU 40 – MIL 19 11%
  63. 1:04 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 42 – MIL 19 13%
  64. 0:46 MIL Burries makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw missed HOU 42 – MIL 21 13%
  65. MILSubstitution: in Gary Trent Jr.; out Kasparas Jakučionis
  66. 0:25 HOU Bogdanović makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 45 – MIL 21 25%
  67. 0:14 MIL Trent Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 45 – MIL 21 25%
  68. 0:02 HOU Thompson turnover HOU 45 – MIL 21 29%
Quarter 2 HOU 22, MIL 21 in the period · score after HOU 67 – MIL 42
  1. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Reed Sheppard
  2. MILSubstitution: in Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng; out AJ Green, Kel'el Ware
  3. 12:00 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 45 – MIL 23 0%
  4. 11:47 HOU Thornton misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Thompson makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 47 – MIL 23 29%
  5. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant; out Bogdan Bogdanović
  6. 11:35 MIL Trent Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 47 – MIL 23 0%
  7. 11:14 HOU VanVleet misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 47 – MIL 23 13%
  8. 10:55 MIL Burries makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 47 – MIL 25 6%
  9. MILSubstitution: in Ryan Rollins; out Myles Turner
  10. 10:35 HOU Thompson turnover HOU 47 – MIL 25 0%
  11. 10:19 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area) HOU 47 – MIL 25 0%
  12. 10:02 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 49 – MIL 25 11%
  13. 9:54 MIL Trent Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 49 – MIL 25 11%
  14. 9:47 HOU Thornton misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 49 – MIL 25 0%
  15. 9:24 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 49 – MIL 25 0%
  16. 9:13 HOU Thompson 1 of 2 free throws HOU 50 – MIL 25 13%
  17. 8:50 MIL Trent Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 50 – MIL 28 0%
  18. 8:39 HOU Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 50 – MIL 28 0%
  19. 8:35 MIL Dieng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 50 – MIL 28 10%
  20. 8:21 HOU Durant makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), and one: free throw made HOU 53 – MIL 28 11%
  21. 8:13 MIL Jaquez Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 53 – MIL 28 15%
  22. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  23. 7:35 HOU Durant 2 of 2 free throws HOU 55 – MIL 28 11%
  24. 6:59 MIL Trent Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 55 – MIL 31 9%
  25. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  26. 6:43 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 57 – MIL 31 10%
  27. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr.; out Fred VanVleet
  28. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro; out Ousmane Dieng
  29. 6:21 MIL Trent Jr. turnover HOU 57 – MIL 31 10%
  30. 6:11 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 57 – MIL 31 0%
  31. 5:42 MIL Trent Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 57 – MIL 31 0%
  32. 5:23 HOU Eason misses layup (restricted area) HOU 57 – MIL 31 0%
  33. 4:50 MIL Ware misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 57 – MIL 31 0%
  34. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma; out Gary Trent Jr.
  35. 4:27 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Durant 1 of 2 free throws HOU 58 – MIL 31 15%
  36. 4:18 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 58 – MIL 34 21%
  37. 4:09 HOU Thornton misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 58 – MIL 34 11%
  38. MILSubstitution: in Myles Turner, Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Ryan Rollins, Brayden Burries
  39. 4:00 MIL Ware 2 of 2 free throws HOU 58 – MIL 36 18%
  40. 3:42 HOU Durant makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 60 – MIL 36 10%
  41. 3:24 MIL Kuzma misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 60 – MIL 36 10%
  42. 3:03 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 60 – MIL 36 7%
  43. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Kel'el Ware
  44. 2:53 MIL Kuzma misses layup (restricted area) HOU 60 – MIL 36 7%
  45. 2:42 HOU Thompson turnover HOU 60 – MIL 36 7%
  46. 2:37 MIL Turner misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 60 – MIL 36 4%
  47. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Kyle Kuzma
  48. 2:26 HOU Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 60 – MIL 36 4%
  49. 2:03 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 60 – MIL 39 4%
  50. 1:47 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Thompson misses layup (restricted area) HOU 60 – MIL 39 7%
  51. 1:29 MIL Turner misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 60 – MIL 39 7%
  52. 1:14 HOU Eason makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made HOU 63 – MIL 39 6%
  53. 1:10 MIL Dieng misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 63 – MIL 39 6%
  54. 1:04 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 65 – MIL 39 0%
  55. 0:36 MIL AJ Green makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 65 – MIL 42 2%
  56. 0:12 HOU Smith Jr. 2 of 2 free throws HOU 67 – MIL 42 0%
Quarter 3 HOU 47, MIL 26 in the period · score after HOU 114 – MIL 68
  1. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Bruce Thornton
  2. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins; out Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng, AJ Green
  3. 12:00 MIL Trent Jr. 2 of 2 free throws HOU 67 – MIL 44 2%
  4. 11:44 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 70 – MIL 44 12%
  5. 11:27 MIL Kuzma 0 of 2 free throws HOU 70 – MIL 44 12%
  6. 11:06 HOU VanVleet makes layup (restricted area) HOU 72 – MIL 44 5%
  7. 10:46 MIL Rollins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Rollins 2 of 2 free throws HOU 72 – MIL 46 0%
  8. 10:40 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 75 – MIL 46 0%
  9. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Gary Trent Jr.
  10. 10:17 MIL Herro makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 75 – MIL 49 4%
  11. 10:06 HOU Eason misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 75 – MIL 49 4%
  12. 9:54 MIL Ware turnover HOU 75 – MIL 49 4%
  13. 9:47 HOU VanVleet makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 77 – MIL 49 5%
  14. 9:34 MIL Herro misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 77 – MIL 49 0%
  15. 9:15 HOU Eason turnover HOU 77 – MIL 49 0%
  16. 9:03 MIL Herro misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 77 – MIL 49 0%
  17. 9:00 HOU Durant makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 79 – MIL 49 0%
  18. 8:43 MIL Ware 2 of 2 free throws HOU 79 – MIL 51 0%
  19. 8:36 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) HOU 81 – MIL 51 0%
  20. 8:24 MIL Herro 0 of 2 free throws HOU 81 – MIL 51 0%
  21. 8:17 HOU Eason makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 83 – MIL 51 0%
  22. 8:07 MIL Herro misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 83 – MIL 51 0%
  23. 7:45 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 85 – MIL 51 0%
  24. 7:44 MIL Jaquez Jr. turnover HOU 85 – MIL 51 0%
  25. 7:44 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 85 – MIL 51 0%
  26. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  27. 7:27 MIL Rollins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 85 – MIL 54 0%
  28. HOUSubstitution: in Bogdan Bogdanović; out Fred VanVleet
  29. 7:04 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Durant 3 of 3 free throws HOU 88 – MIL 54 0%
  30. 6:42 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 88 – MIL 54 0%
  31. 6:24 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 90 – MIL 54 0%
  32. 6:09 MIL Rollins makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 90 – MIL 56 0%
  33. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Tari Eason
  34. 5:52 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) HOU 92 – MIL 56 0%
  35. 5:34 MIL Kuzma misses layup (restricted area) HOU 92 – MIL 56 0%
  36. 5:17 HOU Durant 2 of 2 free throws HOU 94 – MIL 56 0%
  37. 5:07 MIL Herro makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 94 – MIL 58 0%
  38. 4:56 HOU Smith Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 96 – MIL 58 0%
  39. HOUSubstitution: in Clint Capela; out Amen Thompson
  40. 4:42 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 96 – MIL 58 0%
  41. 4:42 HOU Capela misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 96 – MIL 58 0%
  42. 4:35 MIL Ware makes layup (restricted area) HOU 96 – MIL 60 0%
  43. 4:21 HOU Capela turnover HOU 96 – MIL 60 0%
  44. 4:12 MIL Ware misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 96 – MIL 60 0%
  45. 4:10 HOU Bogdanović misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Sheppard 1 of 2 free throws HOU 97 – MIL 60 0%
  46. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  47. MILSubstitution: in Gary Trent Jr.; out Tyler Herro
  48. 3:51 MIL Rollins misses layup (restricted area) HOU 97 – MIL 60 0%
  49. MILSubstitution: in Brayden Burries; out AJ Green
  50. 3:37 HOU Durant makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 100 – MIL 60 0%
  51. 3:19 MIL Rollins 1 of 2 free throws HOU 100 – MIL 61 0%
  52. 2:55 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 103 – MIL 61 0%
  53. 2:42 MIL Ware makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), and one: free throw missed HOU 103 – MIL 63 0%
  54. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Kevin Durant
  55. MILSubstitution: in Ousmane Dieng; out Ryan Rollins
  56. 2:05 HOU Eason 1 of 2 free throws HOU 104 – MIL 63 0%
  57. 1:57 MIL Trent Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 104 – MIL 63 0%
  58. 1:49 HOU Eason makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 107 – MIL 63 0%
  59. 1:31 MIL Ware 2 of 2 free throws HOU 107 – MIL 65 0%
  60. 1:21 HOU Capela makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 109 – MIL 65 0%
  61. 1:20 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) HOU 109 – MIL 67 0%
  62. 0:59 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 112 – MIL 67 0%
  63. 0:42 MIL Burries 1 of 2 free throws HOU 112 – MIL 68 0%
  64. 0:26 HOU Thompson 2 of 2 free throws HOU 114 – MIL 68 0%
  65. 0:16 MIL Burries turnover HOU 114 – MIL 68 0%
  66. 0:04 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 114 – MIL 68 0%
Quarter 4 HOU 36, MIL 23 in the period · score after HOU 150 – MIL 91
  1. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant, Bruce Thornton; out Clint Capela, Tari Eason
  2. MILSubstitution: in Tyler Herro, Ryan Rollins, Jaime Jaquez Jr.; out Kyle Kuzma, Kel'el Ware, Brayden Burries
  3. 12:00 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 114 – MIL 68 0%
  4. 11:45 MIL Dieng misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 114 – MIL 68 0%
  5. 11:19 HOU Sheppard misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Thompson misses layup (restricted area) HOU 114 – MIL 68 0%
  6. HOUSubstitution: in Isaiah Crawford; out Reed Sheppard
  7. 11:13 MIL Jaquez Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 114 – MIL 70 0%
  8. 10:53 HOU Crawford misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Thornton misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Thompson misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Crawford misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 114 – MIL 70 0%
  9. 10:39 MIL Trent Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 114 – MIL 72 0%
  10. 10:24 HOU Crawford misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 114 – MIL 72 0%
  11. 10:14 MIL Rollins misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Jaquez Jr. misses layup (restricted area) HOU 114 – MIL 72 0%
  12. 9:55 HOU Crawford makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 116 – MIL 72 0%
  13. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Amen Thompson
  14. 9:46 MIL Rollins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 116 – MIL 72 0%
  15. 9:33 HOU Durant makes layup (restricted area) HOU 118 – MIL 72 0%
  16. MILSubstitution: in Kyle Kuzma; out Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  17. 9:05 MIL Dieng turnover HOU 118 – MIL 72 0%
  18. 8:49 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 120 – MIL 72 0%
  19. 8:33 MIL Trent Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 120 – MIL 72 0%
  20. 8:25 HOU Thornton misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 120 – MIL 72 0%
  21. MILSubstitution: in Jericho Sims; out Ousmane Dieng
  22. 8:08 MIL Herro misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 120 – MIL 72 0%
  23. 7:53 HOU Durant turnover HOU 120 – MIL 72 0%
  24. HOUSubstitution: in Clint Capela; out Kevin Durant
  25. 7:42 MIL Kuzma misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) HOU 120 – MIL 72 0%
  26. 7:06 HOU Thornton misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Thornton makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 123 – MIL 72 0%
  27. 6:44 MIL Kuzma turnover HOU 123 – MIL 72 0%
  28. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Bogdan Bogdanović
  29. MILSubstitution: in Kel'el Ware; out Tyler Herro
  30. 6:39 HOU Crawford makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 125 – MIL 72 0%
  31. 6:35 MIL Rollins turnover HOU 125 – MIL 72 0%
  32. MILSubstitution: in Brayden Burries; out Ryan Rollins
  33. 6:27 HOU Capela misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Crawford makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 128 – MIL 72 0%
  34. 6:14 MIL Ware 1 of 2 free throws HOU 128 – MIL 73 0%
  35. 5:56 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) HOU 130 – MIL 73 0%
  36. 5:50 MIL Burries makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 130 – MIL 75 0%
  37. 5:35 HOU Capela makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw missed HOU 132 – MIL 75 0%
  38. 5:15 MIL Burries makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 132 – MIL 77 0%
  39. 5:10 HOU Thornton makes layup (restricted area) HOU 134 – MIL 77 0%
  40. 4:56 MIL Kuzma turnover HOU 134 – MIL 77 0%
  41. 4:45 HOU Capela misses layup (restricted area) HOU 134 – MIL 77 0%
  42. 4:38 MIL Kuzma makes layup (restricted area) HOU 134 – MIL 79 0%
  43. 4:28 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 134 – MIL 79 0%
  44. 4:10 MIL Trent Jr. turnover HOU 134 – MIL 79 0%
  45. 3:58 HOU Eason makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 137 – MIL 79 0%
  46. HOUSubstitution: in Bogdan Bogdanović; out Clint Capela
  47. 3:44 MIL Burries makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 137 – MIL 82 0%
  48. 3:35 HOU Crawford misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) HOU 137 – MIL 82 0%
  49. 3:19 MIL Sims makes layup (restricted area) HOU 137 – MIL 84 0%
  50. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Fred VanVleet
  51. MILSubstitution: in Myles Turner; out Kel'el Ware
  52. 2:58 HOU Eason makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 139 – MIL 84 0%
  53. 2:50 MIL Burries makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 139 – MIL 87 0%
  54. 2:38 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 141 – MIL 87 0%
  55. 2:22 MIL Trent Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) HOU 141 – MIL 87 0%
  56. 2:01 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) HOU 143 – MIL 87 0%
  57. 1:59 MIL Sims turnover HOU 143 – MIL 87 0%
  58. 1:48 HOU Eason misses layup (restricted area) HOU 143 – MIL 87 0%
  59. 1:34 MIL Turner misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 143 – MIL 87 0%
  60. HOUSubstitution: in Clint Capela; out Tari Eason
  61. 1:20 HOU Thompson 1 of 2 free throws HOU 144 – MIL 87 0%
  62. 1:11 MIL Burries makes layup (restricted area) HOU 144 – MIL 89 0%
  63. 0:52 HOU Capela turnover HOU 144 – MIL 89 0%
  64. MILSubstitution: in AJ Green; out Kyle Kuzma
  65. 0:43 MIL Burries turnover HOU 144 – MIL 89 0%
  66. 0:31 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Thornton makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 147 – MIL 89 0%
  67. 0:08 MIL Burries makes 2-pt shot (paint) HOU 147 – MIL 91 0%
  68. 0:05 HOU Bogdanović misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Thornton makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) HOU 150 – MIL 91 0%
07Run
Run
mcs-20261028-203107-e43c6
Created
Oct 28, 4:31 PM ET
Data cutoff
Oct 28, 4:30 PM ET
Simulated games
10,000
Seed
8250482619666079598
Kernel
machine-kernel-0.3.0
Contract
machine-results/0.13
Code
9f7b307aeb1f
Classification
experimental

Each run records its inputs, model versions and seed, so the same forecast can be reproduced.