Mon Oct 26Game 0022600125

Hawks at Rockets

Monday, Oct 26, 2026 · Tip 8:30 PM ET

Final ATL 110 – HOU 120 Hit
Experimental

STRYKE live inference is NOT READY; every live pregame run is labelled experimental

Forecast made 0 m before tip, data cut off Oct 26, 8:30 PM ET.

01Win probability
ATL48.1%
51.9%HOU
Expected score
115.2–116.0
ATL–HOU, mean of 10,000 games
Margin
HOU +0.7
Mean, HOU minus ATL. 80%: ATL +20 to HOU +22
Total
231.2
80% 206–257; 95% 193–271
Overtime
2.2%
Simulation error on the win probability ±0.5 percentage points; 100.4 possessions a team
02Distributions over 10,000 simulated games
ATL pointsMedian 115
95% · 90 to 141 80% · 98.9 to 132 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Final 110
HOU pointsMedian 116
95% · 91 to 142 80% · 99 to 133 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Final 120
MarginMedian HOU +1
95% · ATL +32 to HOU +34 80% · ATL +20 to HOU +22 −50 −40 −30 −20 −10 0 +10 +20 +30 +40 +50 ← ATL wins by · HOU wins by → Final HOU +10
TotalMedian 231
95% · 193 to 271 80% · 206 to 257 180 200 220 240 260 280 Final 230

One bar per point; height = share of simulated games. Shaded bands and brackets mark the middle 80% and 95% of games; the white line is the final.

03Margin through the game
HOU minus ATL, regulationMedian · 80% · 90% of games
ATL 30 ATL 20 ATL 10 0 HOU 10 HOU 20 HOU 30 Q1Q2Q3Q4 HOU ahead ATL ahead
ATL 30 ATL 20 ATL 10 0 HOU 10 HOU 20 HOU 30 Q1Q2Q3Q4 HOU ahead ATL ahead
Every 30 seconds of game time. The line is the median margin of the simulated games at that moment, the bands hold the middle 80% and 90%.
04By quarter
Period ATL mean HOU mean Margin mean Total mean HOU leads after Games
Q1 28.7 28.9 HOU by 0.2 57.6 48.3% 10,000
Q2 28.8 29.0 HOU by 0.1 57.8 49.1% 10,000
Q3 28.7 28.9 HOU by 0.2 57.6 50.1% 10,000
Q4 28.7 28.9 HOU by 0.2 57.6 50.8% 10,000
OT1 12.2 12.3 HOU by 0.1 24.5 45.6% 217
OT2 12.1 12.1 HOU by 0.1 24.2 50.0% 16
OT3 14.0 16.0 HOU by 2.0 30.0 100.0% 1

Points scored within each period. Overtime rows cover only the simulated games that reached them.

05Players

Per-player distributions start with MACHINE contract 0.13 (2026-10-28); this run predates them. The simulated rotation is shown instead.

Rebounds and assists not modelled

ATL Atlanta Hawks

Player Dressed Starts Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Fouls Foul out
Jalen Johnson 98% 94% 30.3 8.4 7.3 8.2 6.4 0.10 1.7 0.7%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 98% 94% 29.1 8.1 7.0 7.9 6.1 0.09 2.0 1.5%
Onyeka Okongwu 97% 94% 28.4 8.0 6.8 7.7 5.9 0.09 2.7 5.9%
CJ McCollum 98% 93% 27.9 7.7 6.9 7.5 5.7 0.09 2.1 1.9%
Dyson Daniels 98% 93% 27.9 7.7 6.9 7.5 5.7 0.08 2.1 2.0%
Luguentz Dort 98% 9% 19.3 4.4 5.2 4.5 5.1 0.04 1.7 1.2%
Jock Landale 98% 5% 18.6 4.3 5.1 4.3 4.9 0.03 2.1 2.6%
Aaron Wiggins 98% 6% 16.7 3.8 4.5 3.8 4.5 0.03 1.1 0.2%
Kingston Flemings 98% 2% 15.3 3.5 4.1 3.5 4.2 0.02 1.7 1.9%
Corey Kispert 98% 4% 8.2 1.4 2.1 1.7 2.9 0.01 0.6 0.1%
Asa Newell 98% 4% 7.4 1.2 1.9 1.5 2.8 0.01 0.6 0.1%
Dorian Finney-Smith 96% 1% 5.1 0.6 1.0 0.8 2.7 0.00 0.2 0.0%
Zuby Ejiofor 96% 1% 4.7 0.6 0.9 0.7 2.6 0.00 0.8 1.0%
Keshon Gilbert 4% 0% 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.00 0.0 0.0%
15 more ATL players average under half a minute
  • Jalen Wilson dressed 2%
  • RayJ Dennis dressed 1%
  • Jonathan Kuminga dressed 0%
  • Zaccharie Risacher dressed 0%
  • Mouhamed Gueye dressed 0%
  • Buddy Hield dressed 0%
  • Henri Veesaar dressed 0%
  • Gabe Vincent dressed 0%
  • Isaac McKneely dressed 0%
  • Tony Bradley dressed 0%
  • Kobe Johnson dressed 0%
  • Christian Koloko dressed 0%
  • Keaton Wallace dressed 0%
  • Caleb Houstan dressed 0%
  • Cameron Corhen dressed 0%

HOU Houston Rockets

Player Dressed Starts Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Fouls Foul out
Kevin Durant 97% 94% 31.9 9.0 7.5 8.9 6.6 0.10 1.3 0.4%
Amen Thompson 97% 93% 30.0 8.3 7.2 8.1 6.3 0.10 1.8 1.1%
Jabari Smith Jr. 98% 93% 29.7 8.3 7.1 8.1 6.2 0.10 2.3 3.1%
Alperen Sengun 97% 92% 27.6 7.9 6.7 7.5 5.6 0.08 2.9 8.0%
Reed Sheppard 96% 68% 23.6 6.4 6.0 6.2 5.0 0.05 1.6 0.8%
Tari Eason 98% 7% 18.8 4.2 5.1 4.3 5.1 0.04 1.6 1.1%
Marcus Smart 98% 13% 18.2 4.2 4.9 4.2 4.8 0.03 1.5 0.9%
Oscar Tshiebwe 85% 8% 13.2 3.0 3.6 3.0 3.6 0.02 1.0 0.3%
Clint Capela 98% 2% 10.0 1.8 2.7 2.1 3.4 0.01 1.0 0.6%
Fred VanVleet 39% 22% 9.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.2 0.03 0.9 1.2%
Jae'Sean Tate 98% 2% 7.1 1.2 1.9 1.4 2.6 0.01 0.6 0.2%
Bogdan Bogdanović 97% 2% 6.6 1.0 1.7 1.3 2.5 0.01 0.5 0.1%
Steven Adams 39% 3% 5.8 1.3 1.6 1.3 1.5 0.01 0.4 0.0%
Isaiah Crawford 97% 1% 4.0 0.5 0.8 0.6 2.2 0.00 0.2 0.0%
Bruce Thornton 96% 0% 4.0 0.5 0.8 0.6 2.2 0.00 0.7 0.9%
10 more HOU players average under half a minute
  • Julian Phillips dressed 1%
  • Sean Pedulla dressed 1%
  • Jeff Green dressed 0%
  • Cameron Matthews dressed 0%
  • Josh Okogie dressed 0%
  • Aaron Holiday dressed 0%
  • Tristen Newton dressed 0%
  • Quadir Copeland dressed 0%
  • JD Davison dressed 0%
  • Dorian Finney-Smith dressed 0%
06Simulated play-by-play

Three of the 10,000 simulated games, possession by possession: shots by zone, free throws, turnovers and substitutions. The clock is the time left in the period when the possession starts; the score is after it; the last column is the share of simulated games HOU goes on to win from that point.

Simulated game 8,125 of 10,000 · the stored game closest to the median margin and total

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ATL34342427119
HOU35303224121
Quarter 1 ATL 34, HOU 35 in the period
  1. ATLStarters: CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Dyson Daniels
  2. HOUStarters: Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard
  3. 12:00 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 0 – HOU 0 52%
  4. 12:00 HOU Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 0 – HOU 0 52%
  5. 11:49 ATL Jalen Johnson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 2 – HOU 0
  6. 11:36 HOU Thompson turnover ATL 2 – HOU 0 50%
  7. 11:12 ATL Alexander-Walker makes layup (restricted area) ATL 4 – HOU 0 47%
  8. 10:57 HOU Sengun misses layup (restricted area) ATL 4 – HOU 0 47%
  9. 10:47 ATL Jalen Johnson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 6 – HOU 0 42%
  10. 10:40 HOU Durant makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 6 – HOU 3 46%
  11. 10:29 ATL Daniels misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Alexander-Walker makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 9 – HOU 3 40%
  12. 10:08 HOU Sengun misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Sheppard misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 9 – HOU 6 46%
  13. 10:01 ATL McCollum makes layup (restricted area) ATL 11 – HOU 6 45%
  14. 9:55 HOU Sheppard makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 11 – HOU 8 45%
  15. 9:30 ATL Jalen Johnson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 13 – HOU 8 40%
  16. 9:17 HOU Smith Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), and one: free throw made ATL 13 – HOU 11 46%
  17. 8:45 ATL Okongwu turnover ATL 13 – HOU 11 46%
  18. 8:37 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 13 – HOU 13 55%
  19. 8:29 ATL Alexander-Walker turnover ATL 13 – HOU 13 55%
  20. 8:18 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 13 – HOU 16 57%
  21. 8:17 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 13 – HOU 16 57%
  22. 8:13 HOU Sengun misses layup (restricted area) ATL 13 – HOU 16 57%
  23. 8:01 ATL Alexander-Walker turnover ATL 13 – HOU 16 59%
  24. 7:41 HOU Smith Jr. turnover ATL 13 – HOU 16 59%
  25. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Reed Sheppard
  26. 7:35 ATL Okongwu 2 of 2 free throws ATL 15 – HOU 16 54%
  27. 7:17 HOU Durant 2 of 2 free throws ATL 15 – HOU 18 61%
  28. 7:11 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 15 – HOU 18 60%
  29. 6:50 HOU Smith Jr. misses layup (restricted area) ATL 15 – HOU 18 60%
  30. 6:38 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 15 – HOU 18 60%
  31. 6:31 HOU Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 15 – HOU 18 62%
  32. 6:29 ATL Jalen Johnson 1 of 2 free throws ATL 16 – HOU 18 57%
  33. 6:26 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 16 – HOU 18 57%
  34. 6:07 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 16 – HOU 18 54%
  35. 5:51 HOU Smith Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 16 – HOU 18 54%
  36. 5:47 ATL Daniels makes layup (restricted area) ATL 18 – HOU 18 56%
  37. ATLSubstitution: in Kingston Flemings; out Dyson Daniels
  38. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Alperen Sengun
  39. 5:33 HOU Eason misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Smith Jr. turnover ATL 18 – HOU 18 52%
  40. HOUSubstitution: in Marcus Smart; out Amen Thompson
  41. 5:19 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 18 – HOU 18 51%
  42. ATLSubstitution: in Luguentz Dort; out Jalen Johnson
  43. 5:00 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) ATL 18 – HOU 20 55%
  44. 4:47 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 18 – HOU 20 55%
  45. 4:32 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 18 – HOU 20 56%
  46. HOUSubstitution: in Bogdan Bogdanović; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  47. 4:10 ATL Alexander-Walker makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 20 – HOU 20 51%
  48. 3:32 HOU VanVleet makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 20 – HOU 23 56%
  49. 3:21 ATL Alexander-Walker makes layup (restricted area) ATL 22 – HOU 23 51%
  50. 3:01 HOU Eason misses layup (restricted area) ATL 22 – HOU 23 51%
  51. 3:01 ATL Flemings misses layup (restricted area) ATL 22 – HOU 23 54%
  52. 2:57 HOU Smart misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 22 – HOU 23 54%
  53. ATLSubstitution: in Jock Landale, Aaron Wiggins; out CJ McCollum, Onyeka Okongwu
  54. 2:36 ATL Dort misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 22 – HOU 23 51%
  55. 2:30 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) ATL 22 – HOU 25 57%
  56. 2:26 ATL Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) ATL 24 – HOU 25 51%
  57. 2:19 HOU Durant makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made ATL 24 – HOU 28 64%
  58. 2:07 ATL Alexander-Walker makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 26 – HOU 28 57%
  59. HOUSubstitution: in Jae'Sean Tate; out Kevin Durant
  60. 1:30 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) ATL 26 – HOU 30 62%
  61. 1:14 ATL Flemings makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 28 – HOU 30 52%
  62. 0:54 HOU Smart 3 of 3 free throws ATL 28 – HOU 33 64%
  63. 0:53 ATL Alexander-Walker makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 31 – HOU 33 57%
  64. 0:27 HOU Eason 2 of 2 free throws ATL 31 – HOU 35 62%
  65. 0:18 ATL Dort makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 34 – HOU 35 50%
Quarter 2 ATL 34, HOU 30 in the period · score after ATL 68 – HOU 65
  1. ATLSubstitution: in CJ McCollum, Asa Newell; out Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Luguentz Dort
  2. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Bogdan Bogdanović
  3. 12:00 HOU Tate misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; VanVleet turnover ATL 34 – HOU 35 50%
  4. 11:56 ATL McCollum misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 34 – HOU 35 50%
  5. 11:53 HOU VanVleet 2 of 2 free throws ATL 34 – HOU 37 61%
  6. 11:44 ATL Landale makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 37 – HOU 37 52%
  7. 11:32 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 37 – HOU 39 59%
  8. 11:19 ATL Newell misses layup (restricted area) ATL 37 – HOU 39 59%
  9. ATLSubstitution: in Jalen Johnson; out Kingston Flemings
  10. 11:01 HOU Smart 1 of 2 free throws ATL 37 – HOU 40 59%
  11. 10:58 ATL McCollum misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 37 – HOU 40 59%
  12. 10:46 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 37 – HOU 42 64%
  13. 10:31 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 37 – HOU 42 64%
  14. HOUSubstitution: in Alperen Sengun; out Fred VanVleet
  15. 10:16 HOU Sengun misses layup (restricted area) ATL 37 – HOU 42 66%
  16. 9:58 ATL Landale turnover ATL 37 – HOU 42 66%
  17. 9:48 HOU Eason makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 37 – HOU 44 67%
  18. ATLSubstitution: in Kingston Flemings; out Jock Landale
  19. 9:34 ATL Wiggins misses layup (restricted area) ATL 37 – HOU 44 74%
  20. 9:23 HOU Smart 1 of 2 free throws ATL 37 – HOU 45 75%
  21. 9:22 ATL McCollum misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 37 – HOU 45 75%
  22. 9:03 HOU Smart turnover ATL 37 – HOU 45 77%
  23. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Tari Eason
  24. 8:43 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 37 – HOU 45 77%
  25. 8:33 HOU Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 37 – HOU 45 77%
  26. ATLSubstitution: in Dyson Daniels; out Aaron Wiggins
  27. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason; out Marcus Smart, Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson
  28. 8:15 ATL McCollum misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 37 – HOU 45 77%
  29. 8:14 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 37 – HOU 45 77%
  30. 8:10 ATL Jalen Johnson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 39 – HOU 45 72%
  31. 7:58 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 39 – HOU 45 68%
  32. 7:21 ATL Newell makes layup (restricted area) ATL 41 – HOU 45 61%
  33. ATLSubstitution: in Nickeil Alexander-Walker; out Asa Newell
  34. 7:11 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 41 – HOU 45 62%
  35. 6:51 ATL Alexander-Walker misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Jalen Johnson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; McCollum makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 43 – HOU 45 53%
  36. 6:38 HOU Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Smith Jr. turnover ATL 43 – HOU 45 59%
  37. 6:29 ATL Flemings 2 of 2 free throws ATL 45 – HOU 45 48%
  38. 6:18 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 45 – HOU 45 48%
  39. 6:05 ATL McCollum makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 48 – HOU 45 42%
  40. 5:55 HOU Durant makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 48 – HOU 48 52%
  41. 5:45 ATL McCollum makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 51 – HOU 48 41%
  42. 5:24 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) ATL 51 – HOU 50 48%
  43. ATLSubstitution: in Onyeka Okongwu; out CJ McCollum
  44. 4:55 ATL Alexander-Walker 1 of 2 free throws ATL 52 – HOU 50 41%
  45. HOUSubstitution: in Marcus Smart; out Tari Eason
  46. 4:38 HOU Durant makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 52 – HOU 52 53%
  47. ATLSubstitution: in Jock Landale; out Jalen Johnson
  48. 4:00 ATL Daniels makes layup (restricted area) ATL 54 – HOU 52 43%
  49. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  50. 3:41 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Sheppard makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw missed ATL 54 – HOU 54 48%
  51. ATLSubstitution: in Aaron Wiggins; out Kingston Flemings
  52. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr.; out Reed Sheppard
  53. 3:20 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 54 – HOU 54 48%
  54. 3:04 HOU VanVleet makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 54 – HOU 57 61%
  55. 2:47 ATL Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 54 – HOU 57 60%
  56. 2:23 HOU Smith Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 54 – HOU 57 60%
  57. 2:10 ATL Alexander-Walker makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 57 – HOU 57 54%
  58. 1:50 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 57 – HOU 59 58%
  59. 1:39 ATL Wiggins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Wiggins makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 60 – HOU 59 47%
  60. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Alperen Sengun
  61. 1:33 HOU Smart misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Smith Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; VanVleet 2 of 2 free throws ATL 60 – HOU 61 56%
  62. 1:32 ATL Okongwu makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 62 – HOU 61 53%
  63. 1:21 HOU Smith Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 62 – HOU 61 53%
  64. 1:05 ATL Okongwu 2 of 2 free throws ATL 64 – HOU 61 46%
  65. 1:02 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) ATL 64 – HOU 63 50%
  66. 0:41 ATL Landale misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 64 – HOU 63 49%
  67. 0:30 HOU Durant turnover ATL 64 – HOU 63 49%
  68. 0:20 ATL Daniels makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 67 – HOU 63 37%
  69. 0:13 HOU VanVleet makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 67 – HOU 65 50%
  70. 0:04 ATL Wiggins 1 of 2 free throws ATL 68 – HOU 65 42%
Quarter 3 ATL 24, HOU 32 in the period · score after ATL 92 – HOU 97
  1. ATLSubstitution: in CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson; out Jock Landale, Aaron Wiggins
  2. HOUSubstitution: in Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard; out Marcus Smart, Fred VanVleet
  3. 12:00 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner), and one: free throw made ATL 68 – HOU 69 55%
  4. 11:51 ATL Daniels turnover ATL 68 – HOU 69 55%
  5. 11:32 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 68 – HOU 69 52%
  6. 11:23 ATL McCollum makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 70 – HOU 69 48%
  7. 11:14 HOU Smith Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Sengun misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 70 – HOU 69 49%
  8. 10:52 ATL Daniels makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made ATL 73 – HOU 69 39%
  9. 10:39 HOU Sengun 1 of 2 free throws ATL 73 – HOU 70 39%
  10. 10:13 ATL Alexander-Walker misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Alexander-Walker makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 76 – HOU 70 36%
  11. 9:53 HOU Durant misses layup (restricted area) ATL 76 – HOU 70 36%
  12. 9:42 ATL McCollum misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 76 – HOU 70 36%
  13. 9:30 HOU Sheppard makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 76 – HOU 72 40%
  14. 9:08 ATL Alexander-Walker misses layup (restricted area) ATL 76 – HOU 72 37%
  15. 8:57 HOU Sengun turnover ATL 76 – HOU 72 37%
  16. 8:50 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 76 – HOU 72 37%
  17. 8:33 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 76 – HOU 75 48%
  18. ATLSubstitution: in Luguentz Dort; out Onyeka Okongwu
  19. 8:22 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Dort misses layup (restricted area) ATL 76 – HOU 75 48%
  20. 8:21 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 76 – HOU 78 58%
  21. 8:10 ATL McCollum misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Daniels makes layup (restricted area) ATL 78 – HOU 78 53%
  22. 8:03 HOU Sheppard turnover ATL 78 – HOU 78 51%
  23. 7:42 ATL McCollum 1 of 2 free throws ATL 79 – HOU 78 48%
  24. 7:33 HOU Sheppard misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Sengun turnover ATL 79 – HOU 78 48%
  25. 7:33 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 79 – HOU 78 47%
  26. 7:23 HOU Thompson makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 79 – HOU 80 56%
  27. 7:05 ATL Jalen Johnson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 81 – HOU 80 49%
  28. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  29. 6:44 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 81 – HOU 82 55%
  30. ATLSubstitution: in Dorian Finney-Smith; out Dyson Daniels
  31. 6:11 ATL Jalen Johnson turnover ATL 81 – HOU 82 58%
  32. 5:32 HOU Durant turnover ATL 81 – HOU 82 54%
  33. 5:20 ATL Finney-Smith makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 84 – HOU 82 47%
  34. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Reed Sheppard
  35. 4:42 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 84 – HOU 84 53%
  36. ATLSubstitution: in Jock Landale; out Luguentz Dort
  37. 4:36 ATL Finney-Smith misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 84 – HOU 84 49%
  38. 4:15 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 84 – HOU 84 51%
  39. HOUSubstitution: in Bogdan Bogdanović; out Amen Thompson
  40. 3:57 ATL Landale makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 86 – HOU 84 44%
  41. 3:52 HOU Sengun makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made ATL 86 – HOU 87 54%
  42. HOUSubstitution: in Marcus Smart; out Alperen Sengun
  43. 3:42 ATL McCollum 2 of 2 free throws ATL 88 – HOU 87 49%
  44. 3:41 HOU Bogdanović 2 of 2 free throws ATL 88 – HOU 89 54%
  45. 3:38 ATL Jalen Johnson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 90 – HOU 89 46%
  46. 3:26 HOU VanVleet 2 of 2 free throws ATL 90 – HOU 91 58%
  47. 3:03 ATL Landale misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Finney-Smith makes layup (restricted area) ATL 92 – HOU 91 48%
  48. 2:49 HOU Bogdanović turnover ATL 92 – HOU 91 48%
  49. ATLSubstitution: in Onyeka Okongwu; out Nickeil Alexander-Walker
  50. 2:36 ATL Okongwu turnover ATL 92 – HOU 91 49%
  51. 2:23 HOU Eason misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 92 – HOU 91 49%
  52. ATLSubstitution: in Dyson Daniels; out Jalen Johnson
  53. 1:47 ATL McCollum turnover ATL 92 – HOU 91 47%
  54. 1:16 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) ATL 92 – HOU 93 51%
  55. 1:05 ATL Landale misses layup (restricted area) ATL 92 – HOU 93 52%
  56. 0:55 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 92 – HOU 95 65%
  57. 0:45 ATL Daniels turnover ATL 92 – HOU 95 66%
  58. ATLSubstitution: in Kingston Flemings; out CJ McCollum
  59. 0:07 HOU Eason makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 92 – HOU 97 72%
Quarter 4 ATL 27, HOU 24 in the period · score after ATL 119 – HOU 121
  1. ATLSubstitution: in Nickeil Alexander-Walker; out Dorian Finney-Smith
  2. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard; out Kevin Durant, Bogdan Bogdanović
  3. 12:00 ATL Daniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Landale misses layup (restricted area) ATL 92 – HOU 97 72%
  4. 11:41 HOU Smart makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 92 – HOU 100 81%
  5. 11:32 ATL Flemings misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 92 – HOU 100 81%
  6. 11:19 HOU Eason turnover ATL 92 – HOU 100 81%
  7. 11:16 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 92 – HOU 100 81%
  8. 11:04 HOU Sheppard makes layup (restricted area) ATL 92 – HOU 102 87%
  9. 10:50 ATL Landale misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 92 – HOU 102 87%
  10. 10:43 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; VanVleet makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 92 – HOU 105 95%
  11. 10:36 ATL Daniels misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Daniels makes layup (restricted area) ATL 94 – HOU 105 89%
  12. HOUSubstitution: in Steven Adams; out Fred VanVleet
  13. 10:23 HOU Eason misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 94 – HOU 105 89%
  14. HOUSubstitution: in Alperen Sengun; out Marcus Smart
  15. 10:04 ATL Landale 2 of 2 free throws ATL 96 – HOU 105 86%
  16. 9:59 HOU Adams makes layup (restricted area) ATL 96 – HOU 107 90%
  17. 9:42 ATL Alexander-Walker misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Daniels misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Daniels turnover ATL 96 – HOU 107 90%
  18. 9:32 HOU Smith Jr. turnover ATL 96 – HOU 107 94%
  19. ATLSubstitution: in Luguentz Dort; out Jock Landale
  20. 8:55 ATL Flemings makes layup (restricted area) ATL 98 – HOU 107 91%
  21. 8:46 HOU Eason turnover ATL 98 – HOU 107 91%
  22. 8:43 ATL Flemings makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 100 – HOU 107 83%
  23. ATLSubstitution: in CJ McCollum; out Luguentz Dort
  24. 8:07 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) ATL 100 – HOU 109 90%
  25. 8:03 ATL Alexander-Walker makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 102 – HOU 109 82%
  26. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant; out Reed Sheppard
  27. 7:46 HOU Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 102 – HOU 109 82%
  28. 7:39 ATL McCollum turnover ATL 102 – HOU 109 85%
  29. ATLSubstitution: in Aaron Wiggins; out Nickeil Alexander-Walker
  30. 7:20 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 102 – HOU 109 85%
  31. 7:09 ATL Flemings turnover ATL 102 – HOU 109 84%
  32. 6:51 HOU Smith Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 102 – HOU 109 84%
  33. 6:49 ATL Okongwu misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 102 – HOU 109 84%
  34. 6:31 HOU Sengun turnover ATL 102 – HOU 109 86%
  35. 6:16 ATL McCollum misses layup (restricted area) ATL 102 – HOU 109 86%
  36. ATLSubstitution: in Jalen Johnson; out Kingston Flemings
  37. 6:08 HOU Smith Jr. misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 102 – HOU 109 91%
  38. 5:59 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Jalen Johnson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 104 – HOU 109 77%
  39. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Steven Adams
  40. 5:41 HOU Smith Jr. 1 of 2 free throws ATL 104 – HOU 110 84%
  41. 5:35 ATL Jalen Johnson 2 of 2 free throws ATL 106 – HOU 110 76%
  42. 5:33 HOU Durant turnover ATL 106 – HOU 110 70%
  43. 5:30 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 106 – HOU 110 77%
  44. ATLSubstitution: in Luguentz Dort; out Onyeka Okongwu
  45. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Tari Eason
  46. 5:00 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 106 – HOU 110 77%
  47. 4:54 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Dort 1 of 2 free throws ATL 107 – HOU 110 73%
  48. 4:47 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 107 – HOU 110 71%
  49. ATLSubstitution: in Nickeil Alexander-Walker; out Aaron Wiggins
  50. 4:25 ATL Jalen Johnson turnover ATL 107 – HOU 110 71%
  51. 4:10 HOU Sengun 1 of 2 free throws ATL 107 – HOU 111 80%
  52. 4:06 ATL Dort misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 107 – HOU 111 80%
  53. 3:56 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 107 – HOU 113 87%
  54. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  55. 3:45 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 107 – HOU 113 89%
  56. 3:24 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 107 – HOU 113 89%
  57. 3:12 ATL McCollum makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 110 – HOU 113 73%
  58. 3:05 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 110 – HOU 115 86%
  59. ATLSubstitution: in Jock Landale; out Luguentz Dort
  60. 2:46 ATL Daniels makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw missed ATL 112 – HOU 115 76%
  61. 2:35 HOU Durant 2 of 2 free throws ATL 112 – HOU 117 88%
  62. 2:17 ATL Landale misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Daniels makes layup (restricted area) ATL 114 – HOU 117 84%
  63. ATLSubstitution: in Luguentz Dort; out Jock Landale
  64. 2:00 HOU VanVleet misses layup (restricted area) ATL 114 – HOU 117 84%
  65. 1:50 ATL McCollum makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 117 – HOU 117 51%
  66. 1:29 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 117 – HOU 117 51%
  67. 1:16 ATL Daniels 2 of 2 free throws ATL 119 – HOU 117 30%
  68. 1:15 HOU Durant makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 119 – HOU 119 51%
  69. 1:01 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 119 – HOU 119 55%
  70. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr.; out Reed Sheppard
  71. 0:40 HOU Sengun makes layup (restricted area) ATL 119 – HOU 121 77%
  72. 0:28 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 119 – HOU 121 77%
  73. 0:11 HOU Thompson turnover ATL 119 – HOU 121 77%
  74. 0:08 ATL Daniels turnover ATL 119 – HOU 121 77%
  75. ATLSubstitution: in Onyeka Okongwu; out Dyson Daniels
  76. 0:02 HOU Smith Jr. misses layup (restricted area) ATL 119 – HOU 121 100%

Simulated game 5,900 of 10,000 · the widest HOU win of all 10,000

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ATL1426281482
HOU39373637149
Quarter 1 ATL 14, HOU 39 in the period
  1. ATLStarters: CJ McCollum, Jock Landale, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels
  2. HOUStarters: Kevin Durant, Fred VanVleet, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson
  3. 12:00 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 0 – HOU 0 52%
  4. 11:46 ATL Alexander-Walker 1 of 2 free throws ATL 1 – HOU 0 49%
  5. 11:30 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 1 – HOU 2 54%
  6. 10:51 ATL Alexander-Walker turnover ATL 1 – HOU 2 54%
  7. 10:44 HOU Thompson 2 of 2 free throws ATL 1 – HOU 4 56%
  8. 10:41 ATL Alexander-Walker turnover ATL 1 – HOU 4 56%
  9. 10:40 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made ATL 1 – HOU 7 63%
  10. 10:31 ATL Landale makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 4 – HOU 7 59%
  11. 10:21 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 4 – HOU 7 59%
  12. 10:08 ATL Alexander-Walker makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 6 – HOU 7 55%
  13. 9:56 HOU Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 6 – HOU 7 55%
  14. 9:38 ATL Daniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 6 – HOU 7 54%
  15. 9:20 HOU Durant turnover ATL 6 – HOU 7 54%
  16. 9:05 ATL Alexander-Walker turnover ATL 6 – HOU 7 56%
  17. 8:50 HOU Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 6 – HOU 7 54%
  18. 8:19 ATL Okongwu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 6 – HOU 7 54%
  19. 8:03 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 6 – HOU 7 54%
  20. ATLSubstitution: in Jalen Johnson, Kingston Flemings; out CJ McCollum, Jock Landale
  21. 7:48 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 6 – HOU 7 54%
  22. 7:48 HOU VanVleet misses layup (restricted area) ATL 6 – HOU 7 54%
  23. 7:42 ATL Daniels turnover ATL 6 – HOU 7 54%
  24. 7:04 HOU Smith Jr. turnover ATL 6 – HOU 7 54%
  25. 6:58 ATL Okongwu misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 6 – HOU 7 54%
  26. 6:43 HOU Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; VanVleet makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 6 – HOU 10 63%
  27. 6:24 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 6 – HOU 10 63%
  28. 6:17 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 6 – HOU 12 64%
  29. 5:56 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 6 – HOU 12 64%
  30. ATLSubstitution: in CJ McCollum; out Nickeil Alexander-Walker
  31. 5:46 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 6 – HOU 14 70%
  32. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Amen Thompson
  33. 5:33 ATL Daniels turnover ATL 6 – HOU 14 68%
  34. 5:17 HOU Durant 2 of 2 free throws ATL 6 – HOU 16 75%
  35. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Fred VanVleet
  36. 5:06 ATL Jalen Johnson misses layup (restricted area) ATL 6 – HOU 16 76%
  37. 4:47 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 6 – HOU 18 84%
  38. HOUSubstitution: in Oscar Tshiebwe; out Kevin Durant
  39. 4:32 ATL Flemings 2 of 2 free throws ATL 8 – HOU 18 78%
  40. 4:22 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) ATL 8 – HOU 20 84%
  41. 4:07 ATL Daniels makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 10 – HOU 20 75%
  42. 3:54 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 10 – HOU 23 77%
  43. ATLSubstitution: in Jock Landale; out Dyson Daniels
  44. 3:28 ATL Jalen Johnson turnover ATL 10 – HOU 23 77%
  45. 3:19 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 10 – HOU 26 81%
  46. 2:46 ATL Landale 2 of 2 free throws ATL 12 – HOU 26 88%
  47. 2:45 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Sheppard makes layup (restricted area) ATL 12 – HOU 28 81%
  48. HOUSubstitution: in Jae'Sean Tate; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  49. 2:31 ATL McCollum makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 14 – HOU 28 87%
  50. ATLSubstitution: in Nickeil Alexander-Walker; out Jalen Johnson
  51. 2:19 HOU Eason makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 14 – HOU 31 82%
  52. 2:00 ATL Alexander-Walker turnover ATL 14 – HOU 31 82%
  53. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Alperen Sengun
  54. 1:53 HOU Eason makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 14 – HOU 34 90%
  55. 1:40 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 14 – HOU 34 82%
  56. 1:20 HOU Sheppard makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 14 – HOU 36 100%
  57. 0:57 ATL Flemings misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Okongwu misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 14 – HOU 36 100%
  58. 0:47 HOU Eason makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 14 – HOU 39 100%
  59. 0:34 ATL McCollum misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 14 – HOU 39 100%
  60. 0:25 HOU Tate misses layup (restricted area) ATL 14 – HOU 39 100%
  61. 0:12 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 14 – HOU 39 100%
Quarter 2 ATL 26, HOU 37 in the period · score after ATL 40 – HOU 76
  1. ATLSubstitution: in Corey Kispert; out Onyeka Okongwu
  2. 12:00 ATL Flemings turnover ATL 14 – HOU 39 100%
  3. 12:00 HOU Sheppard makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 14 – HOU 41
  4. 11:57 ATL Landale misses layup (restricted area) ATL 14 – HOU 41
  5. 11:42 HOU Thompson turnover ATL 14 – HOU 41 100%
  6. 11:29 ATL Alexander-Walker turnover ATL 14 – HOU 41 100%
  7. 11:16 HOU Tate makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 14 – HOU 44
  8. 11:01 ATL McCollum makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 16 – HOU 44 100%
  9. 10:39 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Eason misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Tate misses layup (restricted area) ATL 16 – HOU 44 100%
  10. 10:39 ATL McCollum misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 16 – HOU 44 100%
  11. 10:28 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Sheppard makes layup (restricted area) ATL 16 – HOU 46 50%
  12. 10:10 ATL Kispert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Alexander-Walker turnover ATL 16 – HOU 46 100%
  13. 9:56 HOU Thompson 1 of 2 free throws ATL 16 – HOU 47 100%
  14. 9:46 ATL McCollum misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Alexander-Walker 2 of 2 free throws ATL 18 – HOU 47 75%
  15. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr.; out Jae'Sean Tate
  16. 9:28 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 18 – HOU 50 100%
  17. 9:16 ATL McCollum turnover ATL 18 – HOU 50 100%
  18. 9:02 HOU Tshiebwe 1 of 2 free throws ATL 18 – HOU 51 100%
  19. 8:55 ATL Landale turnover ATL 18 – HOU 51 100%
  20. 8:36 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 18 – HOU 53 100%
  21. ATLSubstitution: in Aaron Wiggins; out CJ McCollum
  22. 8:23 ATL Landale misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) ATL 20 – HOU 53 100%
  23. 8:09 HOU Tshiebwe makes layup (restricted area) ATL 20 – HOU 55 100%
  24. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Oscar Tshiebwe
  25. 7:58 ATL Alexander-Walker makes layup (restricted area) ATL 22 – HOU 55 100%
  26. 7:39 HOU Smith Jr. 2 of 2 free throws ATL 22 – HOU 57 100%
  27. ATLSubstitution: in Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Dyson Daniels; out Jock Landale, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Kingston Flemings
  28. 7:00 ATL Okongwu makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 24 – HOU 57 100%
  29. 6:53 HOU Thompson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 24 – HOU 59 100%
  30. 6:45 ATL Daniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 24 – HOU 59 100%
  31. 6:39 HOU Thompson 1 of 2 free throws ATL 24 – HOU 60 100%
  32. 6:33 ATL Daniels misses layup (restricted area) ATL 24 – HOU 60 100%
  33. 6:29 HOU Smith Jr. 1 of 2 free throws ATL 24 – HOU 61 100%
  34. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant; out Tari Eason
  35. 6:13 ATL Okongwu 2 of 2 free throws ATL 26 – HOU 61 100%
  36. 5:55 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 26 – HOU 61 100%
  37. ATLSubstitution: in Kingston Flemings; out Jalen Johnson
  38. 5:42 ATL Wiggins makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 28 – HOU 61 100%
  39. 5:35 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 28 – HOU 64 100%
  40. 5:24 ATL Flemings misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 28 – HOU 64 100%
  41. 5:07 HOU Sheppard makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 28 – HOU 66 100%
  42. 4:56 ATL Kispert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 28 – HOU 66 100%
  43. 4:48 HOU Sheppard turnover ATL 28 – HOU 66 100%
  44. 4:46 ATL Flemings misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 28 – HOU 66 100%
  45. 4:40 HOU Durant makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 28 – HOU 68 100%
  46. 4:27 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 28 – HOU 68 100%
  47. 4:21 HOU Sheppard turnover ATL 28 – HOU 68 100%
  48. 4:12 ATL Daniels 2 of 2 free throws ATL 30 – HOU 68 100%
  49. 3:46 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 30 – HOU 68 100%
  50. 3:37 ATL Daniels turnover ATL 30 – HOU 68 100%
  51. 3:23 HOU VanVleet makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 30 – HOU 70 100%
  52. HOUSubstitution: in Marcus Smart; out Amen Thompson
  53. 2:52 ATL Wiggins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 33 – HOU 70 100%
  54. 2:37 HOU Sheppard makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 33 – HOU 72 100%
  55. 2:31 ATL Okongwu makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 35 – HOU 72 100%
  56. 2:12 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 35 – HOU 72 100%
  57. 1:58 ATL Flemings turnover ATL 35 – HOU 72 100%
  58. HOUSubstitution: in Jae'Sean Tate; out Reed Sheppard
  59. 1:44 HOU Smart misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 35 – HOU 72 100%
  60. 1:10 ATL Okongwu makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 38 – HOU 72 100%
  61. ATLSubstitution: in CJ McCollum; out Dyson Daniels
  62. 0:51 HOU VanVleet makes layup (restricted area) ATL 38 – HOU 74 100%
  63. 0:42 ATL McCollum misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; McCollum misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 38 – HOU 74 100%
  64. 0:30 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 38 – HOU 76 100%
  65. 0:16 ATL Flemings 2 of 2 free throws ATL 40 – HOU 76 100%
Quarter 3 ATL 28, HOU 36 in the period · score after ATL 68 – HOU 112
  1. ATLSubstitution: in Jock Landale, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels; out Corey Kispert, Aaron Wiggins, Kingston Flemings
  2. HOUSubstitution: in Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson; out Marcus Smart, Jae'Sean Tate
  3. 12:00 ATL Daniels turnover ATL 40 – HOU 76 100%
  4. 11:53 HOU Sengun 2 of 2 free throws ATL 40 – HOU 78 100%
  5. 11:41 ATL Daniels makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 42 – HOU 78 100%
  6. 11:15 HOU Sengun makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw missed ATL 42 – HOU 80 100%
  7. 11:02 ATL Daniels makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 45 – HOU 80 100%
  8. 10:44 HOU Thompson misses layup (restricted area) ATL 45 – HOU 80 100%
  9. 10:06 ATL Landale makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 48 – HOU 80 100%
  10. 9:57 HOU VanVleet makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 48 – HOU 83 100%
  11. 9:30 ATL Landale misses layup (restricted area) ATL 48 – HOU 83 100%
  12. 8:52 HOU Sengun turnover ATL 48 – HOU 83 100%
  13. 8:36 ATL Okongwu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 48 – HOU 83 100%
  14. 8:25 HOU Durant makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 48 – HOU 85 100%
  15. 8:20 ATL Landale 2 of 2 free throws ATL 50 – HOU 85 100%
  16. 8:14 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 50 – HOU 87 100%
  17. 8:00 ATL Landale makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 52 – HOU 87 100%
  18. 7:54 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 52 – HOU 90 100%
  19. 7:42 ATL McCollum makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 54 – HOU 90 100%
  20. 7:32 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 54 – HOU 92 100%
  21. 7:20 ATL Daniels makes layup (restricted area) ATL 56 – HOU 92 100%
  22. 7:07 HOU VanVleet makes layup (restricted area) ATL 56 – HOU 94 100%
  23. 6:59 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Daniels makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 58 – HOU 94 100%
  24. 6:45 HOU Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Thompson misses layup (restricted area) ATL 58 – HOU 94 100%
  25. 6:43 ATL Daniels 2 of 3 free throws ATL 60 – HOU 94 100%
  26. 6:27 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 60 – HOU 94 100%
  27. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Kevin Durant
  28. 6:12 ATL Okongwu makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 63 – HOU 94 100%
  29. 5:58 HOU Smith Jr. makes layup (restricted area) ATL 63 – HOU 96 100%
  30. 5:52 ATL Okongwu misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Alexander-Walker misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 63 – HOU 96 100%
  31. 5:43 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 63 – HOU 98 100%
  32. 5:31 ATL Okongwu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 63 – HOU 98 99%
  33. ATLSubstitution: in Kingston Flemings; out Onyeka Okongwu
  34. 5:13 HOU Thompson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 63 – HOU 100 100%
  35. ATLSubstitution: in Corey Kispert, Aaron Wiggins; out Jock Landale, Nickeil Alexander-Walker
  36. 4:55 ATL McCollum misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 63 – HOU 100 100%
  37. 4:39 HOU VanVleet misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 63 – HOU 100 100%
  38. ATLSubstitution: in Zuby Ejiofor; out CJ McCollum
  39. 4:25 ATL Kispert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 63 – HOU 100 100%
  40. 4:23 HOU VanVleet makes layup (restricted area) ATL 63 – HOU 102 100%
  41. 4:10 ATL Wiggins turnover ATL 63 – HOU 102 100%
  42. 4:08 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Sengun misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Sengun turnover ATL 63 – HOU 102 100%
  43. 3:54 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Flemings misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 63 – HOU 102 100%
  44. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Amen Thompson
  45. 3:44 HOU Sheppard 1 of 2 free throws ATL 63 – HOU 103 100%
  46. HOUSubstitution: in Marcus Smart; out Alperen Sengun
  47. 3:36 ATL Kispert makes layup (restricted area) ATL 65 – HOU 103 100%
  48. 3:23 HOU Sheppard misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; VanVleet 2 of 2 free throws ATL 65 – HOU 105 100%
  49. HOUSubstitution: in Isaiah Crawford; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  50. 3:10 ATL Kispert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 65 – HOU 105 100%
  51. 2:56 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Crawford makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 65 – HOU 108 100%
  52. 2:43 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 65 – HOU 108 100%
  53. 2:20 HOU Smart misses layup (restricted area) ATL 65 – HOU 108 100%
  54. 2:04 ATL Flemings makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 68 – HOU 108 100%
  55. HOUSubstitution: in Oscar Tshiebwe; out Fred VanVleet
  56. 1:51 HOU Smart misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Tshiebwe makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 68 – HOU 110 100%
  57. 1:44 ATL Ejiofor misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 68 – HOU 110 100%
  58. 1:29 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 68 – HOU 110 100%
  59. 1:19 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 68 – HOU 110 100%
  60. 1:05 HOU Smart turnover ATL 68 – HOU 110 100%
  61. ATLSubstitution: in Jalen Johnson; out Dyson Daniels
  62. 0:49 ATL Wiggins misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 68 – HOU 110 100%
  63. 0:44 HOU Eason misses layup (restricted area) ATL 68 – HOU 110 100%
  64. 0:26 ATL Wiggins turnover ATL 68 – HOU 110 100%
  65. 0:10 HOU Crawford makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 68 – HOU 112 100%
  66. 0:05 ATL Flemings misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Flemings misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Flemings turnover ATL 68 – HOU 112 100%
Quarter 4 ATL 14, HOU 37 in the period · score after ATL 82 – HOU 149
  1. ATLSubstitution: in Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu; out Corey Kispert, Zuby Ejiofor
  2. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant, Jae'Sean Tate; out Marcus Smart, Reed Sheppard
  3. 12:00 HOU Crawford makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 68 – HOU 114 100%
  4. 11:38 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 68 – HOU 114 100%
  5. ATLSubstitution: in Dorian Finney-Smith; out Jalen Johnson
  6. 11:20 HOU Eason makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made ATL 68 – HOU 117 100%
  7. 10:59 ATL Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 68 – HOU 117 100%
  8. 10:48 HOU Tate 1 of 2 free throws ATL 68 – HOU 118 100%
  9. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Tari Eason
  10. 10:31 ATL Flemings makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 70 – HOU 118 100%
  11. 10:22 HOU Sheppard makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 70 – HOU 120 100%
  12. 10:09 ATL Okongwu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Wiggins turnover ATL 70 – HOU 120 100%
  13. 10:09 HOU Tshiebwe 1 of 2 free throws ATL 70 – HOU 121 100%
  14. 10:02 ATL Okongwu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 70 – HOU 121 100%
  15. 9:55 HOU Sheppard makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 70 – HOU 123 100%
  16. 9:37 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 70 – HOU 123 100%
  17. 9:32 HOU Crawford makes layup (restricted area) ATL 70 – HOU 125 100%
  18. 9:19 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 70 – HOU 125 100%
  19. 9:14 HOU Sheppard misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 70 – HOU 125 100%
  20. HOUSubstitution: in Marcus Smart; out Kevin Durant
  21. 8:43 ATL Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 70 – HOU 125 100%
  22. 8:25 HOU Tshiebwe 1 of 2 free throws ATL 70 – HOU 126 100%
  23. 8:11 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 70 – HOU 126 100%
  24. 8:06 HOU Tshiebwe misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Smart misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 70 – HOU 126 100%
  25. 7:54 ATL Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 70 – HOU 126 100%
  26. ATLSubstitution: in Corey Kispert, Zuby Ejiofor; out Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Aaron Wiggins
  27. 7:31 HOU Smart makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 70 – HOU 129 100%
  28. 7:15 ATL Flemings misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Kispert makes layup (restricted area) ATL 72 – HOU 129 100%
  29. 6:58 HOU Smart turnover ATL 72 – HOU 129 100%
  30. 6:47 ATL Kispert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 72 – HOU 129 100%
  31. ATLSubstitution: in Jock Landale; out Onyeka Okongwu
  32. 6:18 HOU Smart makes layup (restricted area) ATL 72 – HOU 131 100%
  33. ATLSubstitution: in Jalen Johnson; out Zuby Ejiofor
  34. 5:43 ATL Finney-Smith misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Kispert 2 of 2 free throws ATL 74 – HOU 131 100%
  35. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Oscar Tshiebwe
  36. 5:25 HOU Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 74 – HOU 131 100%
  37. 5:13 ATL Finney-Smith misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 74 – HOU 131 100%
  38. 4:58 HOU Crawford makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 74 – HOU 133 100%
  39. 4:57 ATL Flemings misses layup (restricted area) ATL 74 – HOU 133 100%
  40. 4:45 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 74 – HOU 136 100%
  41. 4:19 ATL Finney-Smith makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 77 – HOU 136 100%
  42. 4:08 HOU Sheppard turnover ATL 77 – HOU 136 100%
  43. 3:47 ATL Flemings misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 77 – HOU 136 100%
  44. 3:28 HOU Thompson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 77 – HOU 138 100%
  45. 3:14 ATL Flemings makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 80 – HOU 138 100%
  46. 2:49 HOU Tate makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 80 – HOU 141 100%
  47. 2:32 ATL Finney-Smith makes layup (restricted area) ATL 82 – HOU 141 100%
  48. 2:09 HOU Sheppard 1 of 2 free throws ATL 82 – HOU 142 100%
  49. 2:01 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 82 – HOU 142 100%
  50. ATLSubstitution: in Zuby Ejiofor; out Jock Landale
  51. 1:49 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 82 – HOU 144 100%
  52. 1:35 ATL Ejiofor misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 82 – HOU 144 100%
  53. ATLSubstitution: in Onyeka Okongwu; out Corey Kispert
  54. 0:57 HOU Smart makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 82 – HOU 146 100%
  55. 0:47 ATL Okongwu turnover ATL 82 – HOU 146 100%
  56. 0:32 HOU Smart misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 82 – HOU 146 100%
  57. 0:27 ATL Okongwu misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 82 – HOU 146 100%
  58. ATLSubstitution: in Aaron Wiggins; out Jalen Johnson
  59. 0:04 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 82 – HOU 149 100%

Simulated game 1,710 of 10,000 · the widest ATL win of all 10,000

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ATL37353530137
HOU2718141776
Quarter 1 ATL 37, HOU 27 in the period
  1. ATLStarters: CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson, Dyson Daniels
  2. HOUStarters: Kevin Durant, Fred VanVleet, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard
  3. 12:00 ATL McCollum misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 0 – HOU 0 52%
  4. 11:52 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 0 – HOU 0 52%
  5. 11:39 ATL McCollum misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 0 – HOU 0 52%
  6. 11:27 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 0 – HOU 0 52%
  7. 11:12 ATL McCollum makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 3 – HOU 0 47%
  8. 11:09 HOU Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 3 – HOU 0 44%
  9. 10:48 ATL McCollum misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; McCollum misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 3 – HOU 0 44%
  10. 10:31 HOU Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 3 – HOU 0 46%
  11. 10:12 ATL Jalen Johnson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 5 – HOU 0 45%
  12. 9:54 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 5 – HOU 0 45%
  13. 9:44 ATL McCollum misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 5 – HOU 0 40%
  14. 9:23 HOU Sheppard misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 5 – HOU 0 40%
  15. 9:13 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 5 – HOU 0 41%
  16. 9:00 HOU Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 5 – HOU 0 41%
  17. 8:54 ATL Daniels makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 8 – HOU 0 30%
  18. 8:41 HOU VanVleet turnover ATL 8 – HOU 0 33%
  19. 8:01 ATL Alexander-Walker turnover ATL 8 – HOU 0 33%
  20. 8:01 HOU Sengun 2 of 2 free throws ATL 8 – HOU 2 39%
  21. 7:51 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Jalen Johnson makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made ATL 11 – HOU 2 29%
  22. 7:39 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 11 – HOU 2 26%
  23. 7:29 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 11 – HOU 2 26%
  24. 7:06 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 11 – HOU 4 36%
  25. 6:43 ATL Okongwu makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 13 – HOU 4 27%
  26. 6:33 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 13 – HOU 7 38%
  27. 6:15 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Okongwu makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 15 – HOU 7 37%
  28. 5:57 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 15 – HOU 10 42%
  29. ATLSubstitution: in Luguentz Dort; out Jalen Johnson
  30. 5:17 ATL McCollum makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 18 – HOU 10 30%
  31. 5:09 HOU Sengun 0 of 2 free throws ATL 18 – HOU 10 34%
  32. ATLSubstitution: in Kingston Flemings; out Onyeka Okongwu
  33. HOUSubstitution: in Steven Adams, Marcus Smart, Tari Eason; out Fred VanVleet, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard
  34. 4:37 ATL McCollum makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 21 – HOU 10 22%
  35. ATLSubstitution: in Jock Landale; out Dyson Daniels
  36. 4:25 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) ATL 21 – HOU 12 30%
  37. 4:13 ATL Alexander-Walker makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 24 – HOU 12 26%
  38. 3:36 HOU Adams makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 24 – HOU 15 31%
  39. 3:17 ATL McCollum makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 27 – HOU 15 21%
  40. 3:15 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 27 – HOU 17 26%
  41. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Kevin Durant
  42. 2:56 ATL McCollum makes layup (restricted area) ATL 29 – HOU 17 21%
  43. 2:37 HOU Thompson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 29 – HOU 19 29%
  44. ATLSubstitution: in Aaron Wiggins; out Nickeil Alexander-Walker
  45. 2:24 ATL Landale makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 32 – HOU 19 18%
  46. 2:04 HOU Sengun misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Smart 2 of 2 free throws ATL 32 – HOU 21 26%
  47. ATLSubstitution: in Onyeka Okongwu; out CJ McCollum
  48. HOUSubstitution: in Jae'Sean Tate; out Alperen Sengun
  49. 1:24 ATL Wiggins makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 34 – HOU 21 23%
  50. 1:21 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) ATL 34 – HOU 23 26%
  51. 1:15 ATL Wiggins 1 of 2 free throws ATL 35 – HOU 23 28%
  52. 1:04 HOU Tate misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Adams makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw missed ATL 35 – HOU 25 30%
  53. 0:55 ATL Dort misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 35 – HOU 25 30%
  54. 0:53 HOU Smart turnover ATL 35 – HOU 25 30%
  55. 0:51 ATL Okongwu makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 37 – HOU 25 23%
  56. 0:40 HOU Adams makes layup (restricted area) ATL 37 – HOU 27 28%
  57. 0:28 ATL Okongwu misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Dort misses layup (restricted area) ATL 37 – HOU 27 28%
  58. 0:11 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 37 – HOU 27 28%
Quarter 2 ATL 35, HOU 18 in the period · score after ATL 72 – HOU 45
  1. 12:00 HOU Smart 1 of 2 free throws ATL 37 – HOU 28 25%
  2. 11:44 ATL Landale misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 37 – HOU 28 25%
  3. 11:42 HOU Tate misses layup (restricted area) ATL 37 – HOU 28 31%
  4. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant; out Tari Eason
  5. 11:24 ATL Okongwu makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 39 – HOU 28 34%
  6. 11:19 HOU Smart misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Adams 2 of 2 free throws ATL 39 – HOU 30 31%
  7. 11:09 ATL Flemings makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 42 – HOU 30 27%
  8. 10:49 HOU Tate misses layup (restricted area) ATL 42 – HOU 30 27%
  9. 10:39 ATL Dort makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 45 – HOU 30 13%
  10. 10:26 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Thompson makes layup (restricted area) ATL 45 – HOU 32 23%
  11. 10:07 ATL Wiggins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Wiggins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Landale makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 48 – HOU 32 13%
  12. 9:46 HOU Smart turnover ATL 48 – HOU 32 13%
  13. 9:36 ATL Okongwu misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Dort makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 51 – HOU 32 4%
  14. 8:58 HOU Adams misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 51 – HOU 32 4%
  15. 8:45 ATL Wiggins makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 53 – HOU 32 6%
  16. HOUSubstitution: in Alperen Sengun; out Jae'Sean Tate
  17. 8:29 HOU Thompson misses layup (restricted area) ATL 53 – HOU 32 6%
  18. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr.; out Kevin Durant
  19. 8:18 ATL Landale makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 56 – HOU 32 20%
  20. 7:55 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 56 – HOU 32 7%
  21. ATLSubstitution: in Jalen Johnson; out Luguentz Dort
  22. 7:21 ATL Okongwu turnover ATL 56 – HOU 32 7%
  23. ATLSubstitution: in Dyson Daniels; out Kingston Flemings
  24. 7:08 HOU Sengun makes layup (restricted area) ATL 56 – HOU 34 13%
  25. ATLSubstitution: in Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Luguentz Dort; out Onyeka Okongwu, Aaron Wiggins
  26. 6:55 ATL Daniels 1 of 2 free throws ATL 57 – HOU 34 7%
  27. HOUSubstitution: in Reed Sheppard; out Steven Adams
  28. 6:36 HOU Sengun misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 57 – HOU 34 6%
  29. 6:18 ATL Jalen Johnson turnover ATL 57 – HOU 34 6%
  30. 6:16 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Smith Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 57 – HOU 34 6%
  31. HOUSubstitution: in Fred VanVleet; out Marcus Smart
  32. 6:03 ATL Landale misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 57 – HOU 34 5%
  33. 5:52 HOU Sengun makes layup (restricted area) ATL 57 – HOU 36 9%
  34. 5:39 ATL Dort makes layup (restricted area) ATL 59 – HOU 36 5%
  35. ATLSubstitution: in CJ McCollum; out Jock Landale
  36. 5:21 HOU VanVleet makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 59 – HOU 38 11%
  37. 5:07 ATL Jalen Johnson 2 of 3 free throws ATL 61 – HOU 38 0%
  38. HOUSubstitution: in Marcus Smart; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  39. 4:27 HOU Smart turnover ATL 61 – HOU 38 0%
  40. 4:12 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 61 – HOU 38 0%
  41. 4:08 HOU Sengun turnover ATL 61 – HOU 38 4%
  42. 3:59 ATL Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Daniels misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 61 – HOU 38 4%
  43. ATLSubstitution: in Dorian Finney-Smith; out Luguentz Dort
  44. 3:37 HOU Thompson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 61 – HOU 40 8%
  45. 3:27 ATL McCollum turnover ATL 61 – HOU 40 8%
  46. 3:14 HOU Thompson misses layup (restricted area) ATL 61 – HOU 40 3%
  47. 3:00 ATL Jalen Johnson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 64 – HOU 40 0%
  48. 2:45 HOU VanVleet misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 64 – HOU 40 0%
  49. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant; out Amen Thompson
  50. 2:37 ATL Alexander-Walker 1 of 2 free throws ATL 65 – HOU 40 7%
  51. 2:21 HOU Sengun turnover ATL 65 – HOU 40 7%
  52. 2:15 ATL Alexander-Walker turnover ATL 65 – HOU 40 4%
  53. 1:58 HOU Sheppard makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 65 – HOU 43 6%
  54. 1:45 ATL Alexander-Walker makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 68 – HOU 43 6%
  55. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Alperen Sengun
  56. 1:29 HOU Sheppard misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 68 – HOU 43 0%
  57. 0:57 ATL Finney-Smith 2 of 2 free throws ATL 70 – HOU 43 6%
  58. 0:45 HOU Eason misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 70 – HOU 43 0%
  59. HOUSubstitution: in Alperen Sengun; out Reed Sheppard
  60. 0:28 ATL Finney-Smith 2 of 3 free throws ATL 72 – HOU 43 0%
  61. 0:09 HOU Sengun 2 of 2 free throws ATL 72 – HOU 45 0%
Quarter 3 ATL 35, HOU 14 in the period · score after ATL 107 – HOU 59
  1. ATLSubstitution: in Onyeka Okongwu; out Dorian Finney-Smith
  2. HOUSubstitution: in Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard; out Marcus Smart, Tari Eason
  3. 12:00 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 72 – HOU 45 0%
  4. 11:40 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Okongwu turnover ATL 72 – HOU 45 4%
  5. 11:28 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 72 – HOU 45 4%
  6. 11:15 ATL Okongwu makes layup (restricted area) ATL 74 – HOU 45 0%
  7. 11:01 HOU Sengun turnover ATL 74 – HOU 45 0%
  8. 10:49 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 74 – HOU 45 0%
  9. 10:42 HOU Sengun makes layup (restricted area) ATL 74 – HOU 47 0%
  10. 10:29 ATL Jalen Johnson makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 76 – HOU 47 0%
  11. 10:06 HOU Sheppard misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 76 – HOU 47 0%
  12. 9:45 ATL Jalen Johnson turnover ATL 76 – HOU 47 0%
  13. 9:40 HOU Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 76 – HOU 47 0%
  14. 9:38 ATL Daniels misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 76 – HOU 47 0%
  15. 9:36 HOU Smith Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 76 – HOU 50 3%
  16. 9:34 ATL Daniels misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Alexander-Walker makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 79 – HOU 50 0%
  17. 9:16 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 79 – HOU 50 0%
  18. 9:03 ATL Jalen Johnson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 82 – HOU 50 0%
  19. 8:49 HOU Sengun turnover ATL 82 – HOU 50 0%
  20. 8:32 ATL Okongwu misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Jalen Johnson misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 82 – HOU 50 0%
  21. 8:21 HOU Sheppard misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 82 – HOU 50 0%
  22. 8:06 ATL Jalen Johnson misses layup (restricted area) ATL 82 – HOU 50 0%
  23. 7:37 HOU Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Durant misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 82 – HOU 50 0%
  24. 7:20 ATL Jalen Johnson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 84 – HOU 50 0%
  25. 7:10 HOU Durant makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 84 – HOU 52 0%
  26. 6:58 ATL McCollum misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Jalen Johnson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 86 – HOU 52 0%
  27. 6:44 HOU Sengun misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 86 – HOU 52 0%
  28. ATLSubstitution: in Kingston Flemings; out Dyson Daniels
  29. 6:29 ATL Flemings makes layup (restricted area) ATL 88 – HOU 52 0%
  30. 6:16 HOU VanVleet misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 88 – HOU 52 0%
  31. 6:05 ATL Okongwu misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 88 – HOU 52 0%
  32. ATLSubstitution: in Jock Landale, Aaron Wiggins; out CJ McCollum, Onyeka Okongwu
  33. 5:46 HOU Sengun makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 88 – HOU 55 0%
  34. HOUSubstitution: in Amen Thompson; out Reed Sheppard
  35. 5:28 ATL Alexander-Walker makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made ATL 91 – HOU 55 0%
  36. HOUSubstitution: in Jae'Sean Tate; out Alperen Sengun
  37. 5:08 HOU Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 91 – HOU 55 0%
  38. 4:56 ATL Jalen Johnson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 93 – HOU 55 0%
  39. 4:41 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Smith Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Durant turnover ATL 93 – HOU 55 0%
  40. 4:24 ATL Flemings misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 93 – HOU 55 0%
  41. HOUSubstitution: in Steven Adams; out Jae'Sean Tate
  42. 4:05 HOU Adams misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 93 – HOU 55 0%
  43. ATLSubstitution: in CJ McCollum; out Jalen Johnson
  44. 3:55 ATL Landale makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 96 – HOU 55 0%
  45. 3:45 HOU Smith Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 96 – HOU 57 0%
  46. 3:25 ATL Alexander-Walker makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 98 – HOU 57 0%
  47. 3:10 HOU Thompson makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 98 – HOU 59 0%
  48. 2:52 ATL Alexander-Walker misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 98 – HOU 59 0%
  49. 2:31 HOU VanVleet turnover ATL 98 – HOU 59 0%
  50. ATLSubstitution: in Corey Kispert; out Jock Landale
  51. HOUSubstitution: in Tari Eason; out Jabari Smith Jr.
  52. 2:11 ATL McCollum 2 of 2 free throws ATL 100 – HOU 59 0%
  53. HOUSubstitution: in Marcus Smart; out Kevin Durant
  54. 1:54 HOU Smart turnover ATL 100 – HOU 59 0%
  55. 1:46 ATL Kispert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 100 – HOU 59 0%
  56. 1:27 HOU VanVleet misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 100 – HOU 59 0%
  57. 1:08 ATL Flemings makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 103 – HOU 59 0%
  58. 0:50 HOU Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 103 – HOU 59 0%
  59. ATLSubstitution: in Luguentz Dort; out Nickeil Alexander-Walker
  60. 0:23 ATL Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Wiggins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Flemings misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Wiggins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break), and one: free throw made ATL 107 – HOU 59 0%
Quarter 4 ATL 30, HOU 17 in the period · score after ATL 137 – HOU 76
  1. ATLSubstitution: in Jock Landale; out CJ McCollum
  2. HOUSubstitution: in Kevin Durant, Jae'Sean Tate; out Marcus Smart, Fred VanVleet
  3. 12:00 ATL Dort turnover ATL 107 – HOU 59 0%
  4. 12:00 HOU Adams misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 107 – HOU 59 0%
  5. 11:55 ATL Flemings makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 110 – HOU 59 0%
  6. 11:45 HOU Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 110 – HOU 62 0%
  7. 11:43 ATL Kispert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 110 – HOU 62 0%
  8. 11:33 HOU Durant misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Eason 2 of 2 free throws ATL 110 – HOU 64 0%
  9. 11:24 ATL Flemings makes layup (restricted area) ATL 112 – HOU 64 0%
  10. 11:05 HOU Tate makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 112 – HOU 66 0%
  11. 10:43 ATL Wiggins misses layup (restricted area) ATL 112 – HOU 66 0%
  12. 10:40 HOU Durant misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) ATL 112 – HOU 66 0%
  13. HOUSubstitution: in Bogdan Bogdanović; out Amen Thompson
  14. 10:22 ATL Dort makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 115 – HOU 66 0%
  15. 10:08 HOU Bogdanović misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 115 – HOU 66 0%
  16. 9:45 ATL Landale misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Flemings makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made ATL 118 – HOU 66 0%
  17. 9:23 HOU Eason turnover ATL 118 – HOU 66 0%
  18. 9:13 ATL Landale turnover ATL 118 – HOU 66 0%
  19. 9:06 HOU Adams misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Durant turnover ATL 118 – HOU 66 0%
  20. HOUSubstitution: in Alperen Sengun; out Steven Adams
  21. 8:49 ATL Flemings turnover ATL 118 – HOU 66 0%
  22. 8:39 HOU Eason makes layup (restricted area) ATL 118 – HOU 68 0%
  23. 8:21 ATL Kispert makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 120 – HOU 68 0%
  24. 8:10 HOU Eason misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 120 – HOU 68 0%
  25. 7:31 ATL Landale misses layup (restricted area) ATL 120 – HOU 68 0%
  26. HOUSubstitution: in Clint Capela; out Bogdan Bogdanović
  27. 7:08 HOU Eason turnover ATL 120 – HOU 68 0%
  28. ATLSubstitution: in Dorian Finney-Smith; out Kingston Flemings
  29. 6:55 ATL Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) ATL 122 – HOU 68 0%
  30. 6:35 HOU Eason misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 122 – HOU 68 0%
  31. 6:33 ATL Kispert 2 of 2 free throws ATL 124 – HOU 68 0%
  32. HOUSubstitution: in Marcus Smart; out Kevin Durant
  33. 6:14 HOU Smart misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Tate misses layup (restricted area) ATL 124 – HOU 68 0%
  34. 6:03 ATL Landale 2 of 2 free throws ATL 126 – HOU 68 0%
  35. 5:59 HOU Tate 1 of 2 free throws ATL 126 – HOU 69 0%
  36. 5:42 ATL Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 126 – HOU 69 0%
  37. 5:28 HOU Tate misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 126 – HOU 69 0%
  38. 5:13 ATL Dort makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 129 – HOU 69 0%
  39. 5:01 HOU Sengun makes 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 129 – HOU 71 0%
  40. 4:45 ATL Kispert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 129 – HOU 71 0%
  41. 4:38 HOU Eason turnover ATL 129 – HOU 71 0%
  42. 4:17 ATL Landale misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 129 – HOU 71 0%
  43. 4:02 HOU Smart makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 129 – HOU 74 0%
  44. 3:21 ATL Kispert misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Finney-Smith misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 129 – HOU 74 0%
  45. 3:07 HOU Capela makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) ATL 129 – HOU 76 0%
  46. ATLSubstitution: in Kingston Flemings; out Luguentz Dort
  47. HOUSubstitution: in Steven Adams; out Alperen Sengun
  48. 2:41 ATL Kispert makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 132 – HOU 76 0%
  49. 2:26 HOU Tate misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) ATL 132 – HOU 76 0%
  50. 2:06 ATL Kispert turnover ATL 132 – HOU 76 0%
  51. 1:58 HOU Eason misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 132 – HOU 76 0%
  52. 1:46 ATL Flemings makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) ATL 135 – HOU 76 0%
  53. 1:17 HOU Adams misses 2-pt shot (paint) ATL 135 – HOU 76 0%
  54. ATLSubstitution: in Zuby Ejiofor; out Kingston Flemings
  55. 0:47 ATL Landale 2 of 2 free throws ATL 137 – HOU 76 0%
  56. 0:29 HOU Smart turnover ATL 137 – HOU 76 0%
  57. 0:26 ATL Wiggins turnover ATL 137 – HOU 76 0%
07Run
Run
mcs-20261026-170624-96afd
Created
Oct 26, 1:06 PM ET
Data cutoff
Oct 26, 8:30 PM ET
Simulated games
10,000
Seed
3972276691894238399
Kernel
machine-kernel-0.3.0
Contract
machine-results/0.12
Code
87f7069c9b7c
Classification
experimental

Each run records its inputs, model versions and seed, so the same forecast can be reproduced.