Fri Oct 23Game 0022600098

Pistons at Heat

Friday, Oct 23, 2026 · Tip 8:00 PM ET

Final DET 128 – MIA 111 Hit
Experimental

STRYKE live inference is NOT READY; every live pregame run is labelled experimental

Forecast made 43 m before tip, data cut off Oct 23, 7:17 PM ET, rerun after lineup news.

Lineup news behind this run
  • DET Caris LeVert start p10b 2 → 1start mpgc -0.52 → -0.72mpg10 14.8 → 12.8pf rate 0.069 → 0.066
  • MIA Norman Powell start p10b 1 → 2start tier 2 → 3start mpgc -0.25 → 0.07mpg10 17.5 → 20.7tier 2 → 3pf rate 0.092 → 0.089chance to play 0.1% → 0.2%
  • MIA Jaime Jaquez Jr. start s10b 1 → 2start mpgc 0.84 → 0.98mpg10 28.4 → 29.8pf rate 0.06 → 0.059
  • MIA Kel'el Ware start mpgc -0.09 → -0.15mpg10 19.1 → 18.5pf rate 0.076 → 0.078
  • MIA Kasparas Jakučionis start mpgc -0.43 → -0.4mpg10 15.7 → 16pf rate 0.095 → 0.1
  • MIA Tyler Herro start mpgc 0.62 → 0.63mpg10 26.2 → 26.3pf rate 0.06 → 0.055
The earlier run this one replaced
Data cut offMIA winMarginTotal
Oct 23, 7:17 PM ET this run39.8%DET by 4.3240.4
Oct 23, 6:30 PM ET40.3%DET by 4.1240.7
01Win probability
DET60.2%
39.8%MIA
Expected score
122.4–118.1
DET–MIA, mean of 10,000 games
Margin
DET +4.3
Mean, MIA minus DET. 80%: DET +26 to MIA +17
Total
240.4
80% 214–267; 95% 201–282
Overtime
2.2%
Simulation error on the win probability ±0.5 percentage points; 102.6 possessions a team
02Distributions over 10,000 simulated games
DET pointsMedian 122
95% · 97 to 149 80% · 105 to 140 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Final 128
MIA pointsMedian 118
95% · 93 to 145 80% · 101 to 135 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Final 111
MarginMedian DET +4
95% · DET +38 to MIA +28 80% · DET +26 to MIA +17 −50 −40 −30 −20 −10 0 +10 +20 +30 +40 +50 ← DET wins by · MIA wins by → Final DET +17
TotalMedian 240
95% · 201 to 282 80% · 214 to 267 200 220 240 260 280 300 Final 239

One bar per point; height = share of simulated games. Shaded bands and brackets mark the middle 80% and 95% of games; the white line is the final.

03Margin through the game
MIA minus DET, regulationMedian · 80% · 90% of games
DET 40 DET 30 DET 20 DET 10 0 MIA 10 MIA 20 MIA 30 MIA 40 Q1Q2Q3Q4 MIA ahead DET ahead
DET 40 DET 30 DET 20 DET 10 0 MIA 10 MIA 20 MIA 30 MIA 40 Q1Q2Q3Q4 MIA ahead DET ahead
Every 30 seconds of game time. The line is the median margin of the simulated games at that moment, the bands hold the middle 80% and 90%.
04By quarter
Period DET mean MIA mean Margin mean Total mean MIA leads after Games
Q1 30.6 29.4 DET by 1.2 60.0 41.9% 10,000
Q2 30.5 29.5 DET by 1.0 60.1 41.0% 10,000
Q3 30.6 29.6 DET by 0.9 60.2 40.0% 10,000
Q4 30.3 29.2 DET by 1.1 59.6 38.8% 10,000
OT1 13.1 12.2 DET by 0.8 25.3 39.5% 223
OT2 10.7 12.4 MIA by 1.6 23.1 57.1% 14

Points scored within each period. Overtime rows cover only the simulated games that reached them.

05Players

Per-player distributions start with MACHINE contract 0.13 (2026-10-28); this run predates them. The simulated rotation is shown instead.

Rebounds and assists not modelled

DET Detroit Pistons

Player Dressed Starts Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Fouls Foul out
Jalen Duren 97% 94% 28.3 8.1 6.8 7.8 5.7 0.09 2.5 4.3%
Cade Cunningham 98% 92% 26.7 7.5 6.5 7.4 5.3 0.08 2.2 2.4%
Ausar Thompson 98% 92% 26.0 7.4 6.4 7.1 5.1 0.07 2.5 4.4%
Duncan Robinson 98% 91% 25.3 7.2 6.2 7.0 4.9 0.06 2.2 2.8%
John Collins 95% 77% 23.9 6.7 5.9 6.4 4.8 0.07 2.3 3.5%
Daniss Jenkins 98% 18% 20.9 4.6 5.6 5.0 5.6 0.07 1.3 0.4%
Kevin Huerter 98% 12% 20.6 4.8 5.5 4.9 5.4 0.05 1.1 0.2%
Paul Reed 98% 8% 15.4 3.6 4.1 3.5 4.2 0.02 2.0 3.8%
Ronald Holland II 98% 4% 15.4 3.6 4.1 3.4 4.2 0.02 2.2 4.6%
Javonte Green 98% 7% 13.4 2.7 3.5 3.0 4.2 0.02 0.8 0.1%
Isaiah Joe 96% 2% 9.6 1.8 2.6 2.1 3.2 0.01 0.7 0.1%
Chaz Lanier 96% 1% 5.5 0.6 1.1 0.9 2.9 0.01 0.3 0.0%
Tolu Smith 96% 1% 4.8 0.6 0.9 0.8 2.6 0.00 0.7 0.7%
Ebuka Okorie 91% 1% 3.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.7 0.00 0.3 0.0%
13 more DET players average under half a minute
  • Taurean Prince dressed 2%
  • Elijah Harkless dressed 1%
  • Isaac Jones dressed 2%
  • Tobias Harris dressed 0%
  • Isaiah Stewart dressed 0%
  • Caris LeVert dressed 0%
  • J. Bickerstaff dressed 0%
  • Marcus Sasser dressed 0%
  • Ugonna Onyenso dressed 0%
  • John Ukomadu dressed 0%
  • Wendell Moore Jr. dressed 0%
  • Bobi Klintman dressed 0%
  • Brice Williams dressed 0%

MIA Miami Heat

Player Dressed Starts Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Fouls Foul out
Bam Adebayo 97% 95% 30.8 8.6 7.5 8.4 6.3 0.10 1.3 0.2%
Andrew Wiggins 98% 95% 27.7 7.8 6.8 7.5 5.5 0.09 2.4 3.5%
Davion Mitchell 98% 94% 27.4 7.7 6.8 7.4 5.4 0.08 2.2 2.4%
Giannis G. Antetokounmpo 95% 92% 27.3 7.7 6.7 7.4 5.4 0.09 2.1 2.0%
Pelle Larsson 98% 26% 23.4 5.6 6.3 5.7 5.9 0.06 1.9 1.3%
Klay Thompson 95% 51% 21.8 5.8 5.6 5.7 4.7 0.04 1.3 0.3%
Tim Hardaway Jr. 95% 14% 20.7 4.9 5.6 5.0 5.2 0.04 1.3 0.4%
Bobby Portis Jr. 95% 8% 15.9 3.7 4.3 3.7 4.2 0.03 1.0 0.2%
Nick Richards 94% 10% 13.6 3.0 3.6 3.1 3.8 0.02 1.2 0.7%
Simone Fontecchio 98% 8% 10.3 2.0 2.7 2.3 3.3 0.01 1.0 0.5%
Nikola Jović 96% 2% 5.7 0.8 1.2 1.0 2.7 0.01 0.6 0.2%
Dru Smith 97% 2% 5.2 0.7 1.0 0.9 2.5 0.00 0.6 0.3%
Ryan Conwell 91% 1% 4.8 0.6 0.9 0.8 2.4 0.01 0.5 0.3%
Myron Gardner 96% 1% 4.8 0.7 0.9 0.8 2.4 0.00 0.9 2.1%
17 more MIA players average under half a minute
  • Bez Mbeng dressed 2%
  • Keshad Johnson dressed 2%
  • Vladislav Goldin dressed 2%
  • Norman Powell dressed 0%
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. dressed 0%
  • Tyler Herro dressed 0%
  • Kel'el Ware dressed 0%
  • Ezra Ausar dressed 0%
  • J'Vonne Hadley dressed 0%
  • Lester Quinones dressed 0%
  • Gabe Madsen dressed 0%
  • Jahmir Young dressed 0%
  • Kasparas Jakučionis dressed 0%
  • Ian Schieffelin dressed 0%
  • Trevor Keels dressed 0%
  • Kylor Kelley dressed 0%
  • Tre Donaldson dressed 0%
06Simulated play-by-play

Three of the 10,000 simulated games, possession by possession: shots by zone, free throws, turnovers and substitutions. The clock is the time left in the period when the possession starts; the score is after it; the last column is the share of simulated games MIA goes on to win from that point.

Simulated game 3,906 of 10,000 · the stored game closest to the median margin and total

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
DET26322223103
MIA2222322399
Quarter 1 DET 26, MIA 22 in the period
  1. DETStarters: John Collins, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson
  2. MIAStarters: Giannis G. Antetokounmpo, Andrew Wiggins, Nick Richards, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson
  3. 12:00 DET Cunningham makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 2 – MIA 0
  4. 11:51 MIA Mitchell 1 of 2 free throws DET 2 – MIA 1
  5. 11:34 DET Collins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Cunningham makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 5 – MIA 1 27%
  6. 11:29 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 5 – MIA 1 27%
  7. 11:05 DET Ausar Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 5 – MIA 1 35%
  8. 10:41 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 5 – MIA 1 33%
  9. 10:25 DET Collins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 5 – MIA 1 33%
  10. 10:10 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 5 – MIA 3 37%
  11. 9:45 DET Cunningham makes layup (restricted area) DET 7 – MIA 3 32%
  12. 9:40 MIA Larsson makes layup (restricted area) DET 7 – MIA 5 37%
  13. 9:33 DET Duren makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 9 – MIA 5 30%
  14. 9:20 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 9 – MIA 7 35%
  15. 9:02 DET Robinson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 11 – MIA 7 28%
  16. 8:42 MIA Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) DET 11 – MIA 9 36%
  17. 8:33 DET Ausar Thompson makes layup (restricted area) DET 13 – MIA 9 27%
  18. 7:59 MIA Richards misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 13 – MIA 9 27%
  19. 7:38 DET Cunningham turnover DET 13 – MIA 9 27%
  20. 7:35 MIA Wiggins turnover DET 13 – MIA 9 32%
  21. 7:28 DET Duren misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 13 – MIA 9 32%
  22. 7:27 MIA Wiggins makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 13 – MIA 11 36%
  23. 7:04 DET Ausar Thompson makes layup (restricted area) DET 15 – MIA 11 32%
  24. 7:02 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 15 – MIA 13 34%
  25. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Davion Mitchell
  26. 6:43 DET Collins makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 17 – MIA 13 31%
  27. 6:40 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Wiggins 1 of 2 free throws DET 17 – MIA 14 35%
  28. 6:31 DET Collins turnover DET 17 – MIA 14 33%
  29. 6:09 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 17 – MIA 17 43%
  30. DETSubstitution: in Kevin Huerter, Ronald Holland II; out Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson
  31. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo
  32. 5:37 DET Holland II makes layup (restricted area) DET 19 – MIA 17 35%
  33. 5:22 MIA Larsson misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 19 – MIA 17 35%
  34. 5:05 DET Duren 2 of 2 free throws DET 21 – MIA 17 31%
  35. 4:49 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 21 – MIA 17 31%
  36. 4:40 DET Robinson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 21 – MIA 17 33%
  37. 4:19 MIA Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 21 – MIA 17 33%
  38. 4:16 DET Collins 1 of 2 free throws DET 22 – MIA 17 26%
  39. 4:12 MIA Klay Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 22 – MIA 17 28%
  40. DETSubstitution: in Javonte Green; out Jalen Duren
  41. MIASubstitution: in Bam Adebayo; out Andrew Wiggins
  42. 3:46 DET Robinson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 22 – MIA 17 29%
  43. MIASubstitution: in Giannis G. Antetokounmpo; out Nick Richards
  44. 3:27 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 22 – MIA 17 29%
  45. 3:10 DET Holland II turnover DET 22 – MIA 17 28%
  46. 2:57 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 22 – MIA 17 28%
  47. DETSubstitution: in Isaiah Joe, Daniss Jenkins; out John Collins, Duncan Robinson
  48. 2:33 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 22 – MIA 17 25%
  49. 2:17 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 22 – MIA 20 38%
  50. 2:02 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 22 – MIA 20 37%
  51. 1:49 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Antetokounmpo 2 of 2 free throws DET 22 – MIA 22 42%
  52. 1:16 DET Joe 2 of 2 free throws DET 24 – MIA 22 31%
  53. 0:59 MIA Klay Thompson turnover DET 24 – MIA 22 31%
  54. 0:42 DET Holland II makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 26 – MIA 22 34%
  55. 0:21 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 26 – MIA 22 31%
Quarter 2 DET 32, MIA 22 in the period · score after DET 58 – MIA 44
  1. DETSubstitution: in Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson; out Kevin Huerter, Ronald Holland II
  2. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins; out Pelle Larsson
  3. 12:00 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 26 – MIA 22 31%
  4. 11:57 DET Cunningham makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 28 – MIA 22 30%
  5. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell; out Klay Thompson
  6. 11:19 MIA Antetokounmpo 0 of 2 free throws DET 28 – MIA 22 30%
  7. 11:04 DET Ausar Thompson turnover DET 28 – MIA 22 30%
  8. 11:03 MIA Hardaway Jr. turnover DET 28 – MIA 22 30%
  9. 11:00 DET Ausar Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 31 – MIA 22 24%
  10. DETSubstitution: in Ronald Holland II; out Isaiah Joe
  11. 10:43 MIA Adebayo makes layup (restricted area) DET 31 – MIA 24 29%
  12. 10:37 DET Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 31 – MIA 24 28%
  13. 10:15 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 31 – MIA 24 29%
  14. 9:55 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 31 – MIA 24 24%
  15. 9:30 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 31 – MIA 26 32%
  16. 9:03 DET Holland II misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Green turnover DET 31 – MIA 26 29%
  17. 8:58 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 31 – MIA 26 29%
  18. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  19. 8:54 DET Holland II makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 34 – MIA 26 26%
  20. 8:35 MIA Adebayo misses layup (restricted area) DET 34 – MIA 26 24%
  21. DETSubstitution: in Chaz Lanier; out Ronald Holland II
  22. 8:10 DET Cunningham turnover DET 34 – MIA 26 24%
  23. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo
  24. 7:47 MIA Klay Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Adebayo turnover DET 34 – MIA 26 23%
  25. 7:25 DET Cunningham makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made DET 37 – MIA 26 15%
  26. 7:03 MIA Larsson makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 37 – MIA 28 21%
  27. 6:59 DET Ausar Thompson misses layup (restricted area) DET 37 – MIA 28 21%
  28. DETSubstitution: in John Collins; out Javonte Green
  29. 6:46 MIA Adebayo misses layup (restricted area) DET 37 – MIA 28 21%
  30. 6:35 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 37 – MIA 28 21%
  31. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards; out Klay Thompson
  32. 6:28 MIA Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 37 – MIA 28 21%
  33. 6:10 DET Collins makes 3-pt jump shot (corner), and one: free throw made DET 41 – MIA 28 12%
  34. DETSubstitution: in Jalen Duren; out Daniss Jenkins
  35. 5:40 MIA Mitchell misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Richards turnover DET 41 – MIA 28 12%
  36. 5:30 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Duren 1 of 2 free throws DET 42 – MIA 28 8%
  37. 5:17 MIA Richards misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 42 – MIA 28 6%
  38. DETSubstitution: in Javonte Green; out Ausar Thompson
  39. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr., Giannis G. Antetokounmpo; out Andrew Wiggins, Nick Richards
  40. 4:42 DET Collins makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 45 – MIA 28 8%
  41. 4:35 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 45 – MIA 31 10%
  42. 4:25 DET Cunningham turnover DET 45 – MIA 31 10%
  43. 4:03 MIA Adebayo misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 45 – MIA 31 13%
  44. 3:43 DET Lanier 2 of 2 free throws DET 47 – MIA 31 9%
  45. 3:25 MIA Adebayo 2 of 3 free throws DET 47 – MIA 33 9%
  46. 3:22 DET Collins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 47 – MIA 33 9%
  47. 3:14 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 47 – MIA 33 8%
  48. 2:55 DET Collins makes layup (restricted area) DET 49 – MIA 33 8%
  49. 2:50 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 49 – MIA 35 8%
  50. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Davion Mitchell
  51. 2:43 DET Cunningham 2 of 2 free throws DET 51 – MIA 35 6%
  52. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins; out Pelle Larsson
  53. 2:09 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Hardaway Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 51 – MIA 37 9%
  54. 1:48 DET Cunningham makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 54 – MIA 37 3%
  55. 1:41 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 54 – MIA 40 9%
  56. 1:31 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 54 – MIA 40 11%
  57. DETSubstitution: in Daniss Jenkins; out Chaz Lanier
  58. 1:11 MIA Antetokounmpo turnover DET 54 – MIA 40 11%
  59. 1:07 DET Duren misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Collins makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 56 – MIA 40 5%
  60. 0:50 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 56 – MIA 42 12%
  61. 0:30 DET Collins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 58 – MIA 42 4%
  62. 0:13 MIA Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) DET 58 – MIA 44 8%
Quarter 3 DET 22, MIA 32 in the period · score after DET 80 – MIA 76
  1. DETSubstitution: in Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson; out Javonte Green, Daniss Jenkins
  2. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson; out Klay Thompson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bam Adebayo
  3. 12:00 MIA Wiggins turnover DET 58 – MIA 44 8%
  4. 11:54 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Ausar Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Cunningham misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 58 – MIA 44 8%
  5. 11:35 MIA Larsson 2 of 2 free throws DET 58 – MIA 46 13%
  6. 11:21 DET Ausar Thompson makes layup (restricted area) DET 60 – MIA 46 9%
  7. 11:15 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Antetokounmpo makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 60 – MIA 48 14%
  8. DETSubstitution: in Ronald Holland II; out Cade Cunningham
  9. 10:47 DET Ausar Thompson misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 60 – MIA 48 14%
  10. 10:43 MIA Richards makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 60 – MIA 50 16%
  11. 10:22 DET Duren turnover DET 60 – MIA 50 16%
  12. 10:14 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 60 – MIA 50 16%
  13. 10:08 DET Ausar Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 60 – MIA 50 16%
  14. 9:59 MIA Antetokounmpo turnover DET 60 – MIA 50 16%
  15. 9:38 DET Collins makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 62 – MIA 50 15%
  16. 9:27 MIA Antetokounmpo turnover DET 62 – MIA 50 12%
  17. 8:54 DET Collins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 65 – MIA 50 3%
  18. DETSubstitution: in Isaiah Joe; out Ausar Thompson
  19. 8:46 MIA Richards makes layup (restricted area) DET 65 – MIA 52 12%
  20. 8:40 DET Joe misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Robinson turnover DET 65 – MIA 52 12%
  21. 8:34 MIA Larsson misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Antetokounmpo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Mitchell makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 65 – MIA 54 13%
  22. 8:10 DET Duren misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Joe misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Duren misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 65 – MIA 54 13%
  23. 8:09 MIA Larsson makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made DET 65 – MIA 57 15%
  24. MIASubstitution: in Bam Adebayo; out Davion Mitchell
  25. 7:57 DET Joe makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 68 – MIA 57 12%
  26. 7:47 MIA Antetokounmpo misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Richards makes layup (restricted area) DET 68 – MIA 59 17%
  27. 7:33 DET Collins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 68 – MIA 59 15%
  28. MIASubstitution: in Myron Gardner; out Andrew Wiggins
  29. 7:10 MIA Gardner misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Adebayo makes layup (restricted area) DET 68 – MIA 61 23%
  30. 7:00 DET Collins turnover DET 68 – MIA 61 23%
  31. 6:42 MIA Antetokounmpo turnover DET 68 – MIA 61 20%
  32. 6:27 DET Collins 2 of 2 free throws DET 70 – MIA 61 15%
  33. 6:26 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Larsson makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 70 – MIA 63 20%
  34. 6:15 DET Duren 1 of 2 free throws DET 71 – MIA 63 18%
  35. 5:48 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 71 – MIA 65 25%
  36. DETSubstitution: in Kevin Huerter, Javonte Green; out Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren
  37. 5:21 DET Huerter makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 73 – MIA 65 20%
  38. 4:59 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made DET 73 – MIA 68 23%
  39. 4:55 DET Holland II misses layup (restricted area) DET 73 – MIA 68 23%
  40. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo
  41. 4:25 MIA Adebayo makes layup (restricted area) DET 73 – MIA 70 32%
  42. 4:18 DET Collins makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 75 – MIA 70 25%
  43. 3:56 MIA Larsson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 75 – MIA 73 37%
  44. DETSubstitution: in Ebuka Okorie; out Ronald Holland II
  45. 3:35 DET Collins makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made DET 78 – MIA 73 25%
  46. 3:17 MIA Adebayo makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made DET 78 – MIA 76 36%
  47. DETSubstitution: in Daniss Jenkins; out John Collins
  48. 2:49 DET Green misses layup (restricted area) DET 78 – MIA 76 36%
  49. 2:46 MIA Larsson turnover DET 78 – MIA 76 38%
  50. 2:21 DET Green misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 78 – MIA 76 38%
  51. 2:17 MIA Hardaway Jr. turnover DET 78 – MIA 76 38%
  52. 2:05 DET Joe misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 78 – MIA 76 34%
  53. 1:46 MIA Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 78 – MIA 76 37%
  54. 1:21 DET Jenkins misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 78 – MIA 76 37%
  55. DETSubstitution: in Jalen Duren; out Isaiah Joe
  56. 1:17 MIA Larsson misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Richards misses layup (restricted area) DET 78 – MIA 76 37%
  57. 1:12 DET Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 80 – MIA 76 29%
  58. 1:10 MIA Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Gardner misses layup (restricted area) DET 80 – MIA 76 31%
  59. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Nick Richards
  60. 0:44 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 80 – MIA 76 30%
  61. 0:23 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 80 – MIA 76 22%
Quarter 4 DET 23, MIA 23 in the period · score after DET 103 – MIA 99
  1. DETSubstitution: in Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham; out Kevin Huerter, Ebuka Okorie
  2. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell; out Myron Gardner
  3. 12:00 DET Duren misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 80 – MIA 76 22%
  4. MIASubstitution: in Giannis G. Antetokounmpo; out Pelle Larsson
  5. 11:43 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 80 – MIA 76 22%
  6. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  7. 11:31 DET Cunningham makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made DET 83 – MIA 76 18%
  8. 11:18 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Klay Thompson 0 of 2 free throws DET 83 – MIA 76 18%
  9. 11:18 DET Cunningham misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Duren misses layup (restricted area) DET 83 – MIA 76 18%
  10. 11:03 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 83 – MIA 78 31%
  11. 10:31 DET Duren 1 of 2 free throws DET 84 – MIA 78 17%
  12. 10:20 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 84 – MIA 78 17%
  13. 10:18 DET Cunningham misses layup (restricted area) DET 84 – MIA 78 17%
  14. 9:57 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 84 – MIA 78 17%
  15. 9:34 DET Cunningham turnover DET 84 – MIA 78 16%
  16. 9:25 MIA Wiggins makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 84 – MIA 80 22%
  17. 9:03 DET Duren turnover DET 84 – MIA 80 26%
  18. 8:44 MIA Wiggins 2 of 2 free throws DET 84 – MIA 82 35%
  19. 8:26 DET Robinson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 84 – MIA 82 34%
  20. 7:57 MIA Klay Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 84 – MIA 85 49%
  21. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Klay Thompson
  22. 7:38 DET Cunningham misses layup (restricted area) DET 84 – MIA 85 50%
  23. 7:29 MIA Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Antetokounmpo 1 of 2 free throws DET 84 – MIA 86 57%
  24. 7:02 DET Robinson makes layup (restricted area) DET 86 – MIA 86 47%
  25. DETSubstitution: in John Collins; out Duncan Robinson
  26. 6:27 MIA Wiggins makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 86 – MIA 88 53%
  27. 6:14 DET Cunningham misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 86 – MIA 88 52%
  28. 5:57 MIA Mitchell makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 86 – MIA 90 69%
  29. 5:39 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Collins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 86 – MIA 90 71%
  30. 5:27 MIA Antetokounmpo turnover DET 86 – MIA 90 71%
  31. 5:24 DET Collins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Duren makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 88 – MIA 90 61%
  32. 5:21 MIA Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) DET 88 – MIA 92 71%
  33. 5:18 DET Cunningham misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 88 – MIA 92 72%
  34. 4:52 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 88 – MIA 92 72%
  35. 4:45 DET Collins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 88 – MIA 92 72%
  36. 4:34 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 88 – MIA 92 75%
  37. DETSubstitution: in Ebuka Okorie; out Javonte Green
  38. 4:14 DET Cunningham makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 91 – MIA 92 52%
  39. 4:09 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Adebayo makes layup (restricted area) DET 91 – MIA 94 67%
  40. 3:54 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), offensive rebound; Okorie makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 93 – MIA 94 49%
  41. 3:44 MIA Mitchell misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 93 – MIA 94 49%
  42. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Pelle Larsson
  43. 3:22 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 93 – MIA 94 49%
  44. 3:18 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 93 – MIA 94 50%
  45. DETSubstitution: in Duncan Robinson; out Ebuka Okorie
  46. MIASubstitution: in Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson; out Tim Hardaway Jr., Andrew Wiggins
  47. 2:46 DET Duren misses layup (restricted area) DET 93 – MIA 94 50%
  48. DETSubstitution: in Ronald Holland II; out Cade Cunningham
  49. 2:37 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 93 – MIA 96 71%
  50. 2:09 DET Robinson makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 95 – MIA 96 56%
  51. 2:07 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 95 – MIA 96 57%
  52. 1:32 DET Holland II makes layup (restricted area) DET 97 – MIA 96 38%
  53. 1:10 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 97 – MIA 96 38%
  54. 1:10 DET Robinson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 100 – MIA 96 12%
  55. 1:03 MIA Antetokounmpo misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 100 – MIA 96 9%
  56. DETSubstitution: in Javonte Green; out Daniss Jenkins
  57. 0:42 DET Holland II makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 103 – MIA 96 0%
  58. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Simone Fontecchio
  59. 0:30 MIA Adebayo 1 of 2 free throws DET 103 – MIA 97 1%
  60. 0:20 DET Robinson misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Duren misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 103 – MIA 97 1%
  61. 0:17 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 103 – MIA 99 0%

Simulated game 7,304 of 10,000 · the widest MIA win of all 10,000

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
DET2612321787
MIA44363036146
Quarter 1 DET 26, MIA 44 in the period
  1. DETStarters: John Collins, Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson
  2. MIAStarters: Giannis G. Antetokounmpo, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Dru Smith
  3. 12:00 MIA Wiggins makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 0 – MIA 3
  4. 11:38 DET Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 0 – MIA 3 44%
  5. 11:26 MIA Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 0 – MIA 6 29%
  6. 11:01 DET Collins makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 2 – MIA 6 43%
  7. 10:48 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 2 – MIA 6 43%
  8. 10:48 DET Cunningham makes layup (restricted area) DET 4 – MIA 6 42%
  9. 10:32 MIA Wiggins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 4 – MIA 9 51%
  10. 10:10 DET Ausar Thompson turnover DET 4 – MIA 9 49%
  11. 9:51 MIA Dru Smith 2 of 2 free throws DET 4 – MIA 11 58%
  12. 9:41 DET Cunningham misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 4 – MIA 11 60%
  13. 9:03 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 4 – MIA 11 60%
  14. 9:01 DET Cunningham misses layup (restricted area) DET 4 – MIA 11 54%
  15. 8:26 MIA Antetokounmpo makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 4 – MIA 13 59%
  16. 8:01 DET Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 6 – MIA 13 53%
  17. 7:30 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 6 – MIA 15 63%
  18. 7:01 DET Green 1 of 2 free throws DET 7 – MIA 15 62%
  19. DETSubstitution: in Kevin Huerter; out Javonte Green
  20. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo, Andrew Wiggins, Dru Smith
  21. 6:36 MIA Fontecchio 2 of 2 free throws DET 7 – MIA 17 68%
  22. 6:35 DET Cunningham makes layup (restricted area) DET 9 – MIA 17 60%
  23. 6:19 MIA Adebayo turnover DET 9 – MIA 17 58%
  24. 5:59 DET Huerter makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 12 – MIA 17 54%
  25. 5:44 MIA Adebayo makes layup (restricted area) DET 12 – MIA 19 52%
  26. DETSubstitution: in Paul Reed; out Jalen Duren
  27. 5:31 DET Huerter makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made DET 15 – MIA 19 51%
  28. 5:27 MIA Fontecchio 2 of 2 free throws DET 15 – MIA 21 55%
  29. 5:19 DET Reed 1 of 2 free throws DET 16 – MIA 21 54%
  30. 5:08 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 16 – MIA 21 52%
  31. 4:54 DET Ausar Thompson turnover DET 16 – MIA 21 52%
  32. 4:34 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 16 – MIA 24 59%
  33. 4:34 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Ausar Thompson turnover DET 16 – MIA 24 60%
  34. 4:24 MIA Larsson makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made DET 16 – MIA 27 63%
  35. 4:08 DET Reed 2 of 3 free throws DET 18 – MIA 27 62%
  36. 4:01 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 18 – MIA 30 71%
  37. MIASubstitution: in Giannis G. Antetokounmpo; out Davion Mitchell
  38. 3:47 DET Reed misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Cunningham misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Cunningham misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Reed makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 20 – MIA 30 59%
  39. 3:42 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 20 – MIA 32 71%
  40. 3:38 DET Ausar Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 20 – MIA 32 65%
  41. 3:17 MIA Adebayo turnover DET 20 – MIA 32 65%
  42. 3:02 DET Reed makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 23 – MIA 32 62%
  43. 2:41 MIA Fontecchio turnover DET 23 – MIA 32 60%
  44. 2:23 DET Huerter makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 26 – MIA 32 56%
  45. 2:08 MIA Antetokounmpo 2 of 3 free throws DET 26 – MIA 34 64%
  46. DETSubstitution: in Ronald Holland II; out Cade Cunningham
  47. 1:55 DET Huerter misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 26 – MIA 34 58%
  48. DETSubstitution: in Javonte Green; out Ausar Thompson
  49. 1:27 MIA Fontecchio makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 26 – MIA 37 66%
  50. 1:20 DET Huerter turnover DET 26 – MIA 37 66%
  51. 1:09 MIA Larsson makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 26 – MIA 39 76%
  52. 1:05 DET Collins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Reed turnover DET 26 – MIA 39 76%
  53. 1:04 MIA Larsson turnover DET 26 – MIA 39 77%
  54. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins; out Pelle Larsson
  55. 0:53 DET Reed turnover DET 26 – MIA 39 77%
  56. 0:51 MIA Fontecchio makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 26 – MIA 42 78%
  57. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards; out Bam Adebayo
  58. 0:32 DET Collins misses layup (restricted area) DET 26 – MIA 42 79%
  59. DETSubstitution: in Jalen Duren; out Paul Reed
  60. 0:13 MIA Hardaway Jr. 2 of 2 free throws DET 26 – MIA 44 88%
Quarter 2 DET 12, MIA 36 in the period · score after DET 38 – MIA 80
  1. DETSubstitution: in Daniss Jenkins; out John Collins
  2. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  3. 12:00 DET Green turnover DET 26 – MIA 44 88%
  4. 11:51 MIA Klay Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 26 – MIA 47 86%
  5. 11:35 DET Holland II misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Holland II turnover DET 26 – MIA 47 86%
  6. 11:31 MIA Wiggins makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 26 – MIA 49 71%
  7. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Simone Fontecchio
  8. 10:57 DET Green 2 of 2 free throws DET 28 – MIA 49 77%
  9. 10:41 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 28 – MIA 51 100%
  10. 10:21 DET Holland II turnover DET 28 – MIA 51 100%
  11. DETSubstitution: in John Collins; out Ronald Holland II
  12. 10:07 MIA Wiggins makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made DET 28 – MIA 54 100%
  13. 9:38 DET Collins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Duren misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 28 – MIA 54 100%
  14. 9:26 MIA Antetokounmpo makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 28 – MIA 56 100%
  15. 9:19 DET Jenkins makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 30 – MIA 56 100%
  16. 9:14 MIA Richards makes layup (restricted area) DET 30 – MIA 58 100%
  17. 9:09 DET Duren misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 30 – MIA 58 100%
  18. 9:04 MIA Wiggins 1 of 2 free throws DET 30 – MIA 59 100%
  19. 8:57 DET Jenkins misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 30 – MIA 59 100%
  20. 8:53 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 30 – MIA 62 100%
  21. DETSubstitution: in Ronald Holland II; out Kevin Huerter
  22. 8:52 DET Collins turnover DET 30 – MIA 62 100%
  23. 8:34 MIA Wiggins 2 of 2 free throws DET 30 – MIA 64 100%
  24. 8:24 DET Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 32 – MIA 64 100%
  25. 8:20 MIA Klay Thompson turnover DET 32 – MIA 64 100%
  26. 7:54 DET Collins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 32 – MIA 64 100%
  27. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Klay Thompson
  28. 7:23 MIA Antetokounmpo misses layup (restricted area) DET 32 – MIA 64 100%
  29. 7:16 DET Holland II turnover DET 32 – MIA 64 100%
  30. DETSubstitution: in Ausar Thompson; out Javonte Green
  31. 7:07 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 32 – MIA 64 100%
  32. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell, Dru Smith; out Tim Hardaway Jr., Pelle Larsson
  33. 6:32 DET Jenkins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Ausar Thompson makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), and one: free throw missed DET 34 – MIA 64 100%
  34. 6:22 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) DET 34 – MIA 66 100%
  35. DETSubstitution: in Cade Cunningham; out Ausar Thompson
  36. MIASubstitution: in Bam Adebayo; out Nick Richards
  37. 5:51 DET Cunningham misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Duren turnover DET 34 – MIA 66 100%
  38. 5:38 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 34 – MIA 66 100%
  39. 5:37 DET Holland II misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 34 – MIA 66 100%
  40. 5:34 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 34 – MIA 66 100%
  41. 5:26 DET Cunningham turnover DET 34 – MIA 66 100%
  42. 5:10 MIA Mitchell makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 34 – MIA 69 100%
  43. 5:01 DET Collins turnover DET 34 – MIA 69 100%
  44. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards, Simone Fontecchio; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo, Andrew Wiggins
  45. 4:47 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) DET 34 – MIA 71 100%
  46. 4:46 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 34 – MIA 71 100%
  47. MIASubstitution: in Bobby Portis Jr.; out Dru Smith
  48. 4:15 MIA Adebayo makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 34 – MIA 73 100%
  49. DETSubstitution: in Paul Reed; out Jalen Duren
  50. 3:41 DET Cunningham makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 36 – MIA 73 100%
  51. DETSubstitution: in Ausar Thompson; out John Collins
  52. 3:32 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 36 – MIA 73 100%
  53. 3:28 DET Cunningham misses layup (restricted area) DET 36 – MIA 73 100%
  54. 3:24 MIA Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 36 – MIA 73 100%
  55. 3:08 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 36 – MIA 73 100%
  56. 3:05 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 36 – MIA 73 100%
  57. DETSubstitution: in Kevin Huerter; out Daniss Jenkins
  58. 2:48 DET Holland II turnover DET 36 – MIA 73 100%
  59. 2:46 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Portis Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 36 – MIA 75 100%
  60. 2:32 DET Reed turnover DET 36 – MIA 75 100%
  61. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Bobby Portis Jr.
  62. 2:13 MIA Richards makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 36 – MIA 78 100%
  63. 2:06 DET Holland II turnover DET 36 – MIA 78 100%
  64. 1:52 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) DET 36 – MIA 80 100%
  65. 1:34 DET Holland II misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 36 – MIA 80 100%
  66. 1:24 MIA Adebayo turnover DET 36 – MIA 80 100%
  67. 1:16 DET Holland II misses layup (restricted area) DET 36 – MIA 80 100%
  68. 1:04 MIA Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 36 – MIA 80 100%
  69. DETSubstitution: in Tolu Smith; out Ausar Thompson
  70. 0:40 DET Tolu Smith makes layup (restricted area) DET 38 – MIA 80 100%
  71. 0:25 MIA Mitchell turnover DET 38 – MIA 80 100%
  72. 0:24 DET Tolu Smith turnover DET 38 – MIA 80 100%
Quarter 3 DET 32, MIA 30 in the period · score after DET 70 – MIA 110
  1. DETSubstitution: in John Collins, Javonte Green, Jalen Duren; out Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II, Tolu Smith
  2. MIASubstitution: in Giannis G. Antetokounmpo, Andrew Wiggins, Dru Smith; out Nick Richards, Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson
  3. 12:00 DET Green turnover DET 38 – MIA 80 100%
  4. 11:39 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Adebayo makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 38 – MIA 83 100%
  5. 11:33 DET Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 40 – MIA 83 100%
  6. 11:33 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 40 – MIA 83 100%
  7. 11:24 DET Collins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 43 – MIA 83 100%
  8. 11:05 MIA Adebayo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 43 – MIA 83 100%
  9. 10:54 DET Green misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Collins misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 45 – MIA 83 100%
  10. 10:20 MIA Antetokounmpo misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Dru Smith makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 45 – MIA 86 100%
  11. 10:19 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Cunningham misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 45 – MIA 86 100%
  12. 10:19 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 45 – MIA 86 100%
  13. 10:15 DET Duren 2 of 2 free throws DET 47 – MIA 86 100%
  14. 10:01 MIA Dru Smith makes layup (restricted area) DET 47 – MIA 88 100%
  15. 9:48 DET Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 49 – MIA 88 100%
  16. 9:22 MIA Antetokounmpo makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 49 – MIA 90 100%
  17. 9:07 DET Duren misses layup (restricted area) DET 49 – MIA 90 100%
  18. 8:46 MIA Antetokounmpo misses layup (restricted area) DET 49 – MIA 90 100%
  19. 8:26 DET Cunningham misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 49 – MIA 90 100%
  20. 7:59 MIA Antetokounmpo 1 of 2 free throws DET 49 – MIA 91 100%
  21. 7:30 DET Green misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 49 – MIA 91 100%
  22. 7:20 MIA Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) DET 49 – MIA 93 100%
  23. DETSubstitution: in Daniss Jenkins; out Cade Cunningham
  24. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo
  25. 6:55 DET Jenkins makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 51 – MIA 93 100%
  26. 6:40 MIA Wiggins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 51 – MIA 96 100%
  27. 6:13 DET Collins 2 of 2 free throws DET 53 – MIA 96 100%
  28. 5:55 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 53 – MIA 96 100%
  29. 5:54 DET Jenkins misses layup (restricted area) DET 53 – MIA 96 100%
  30. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Dru Smith
  31. 5:45 MIA Adebayo misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) DET 53 – MIA 98 100%
  32. DETSubstitution: in Ronald Holland II; out John Collins
  33. 5:13 DET Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 55 – MIA 98 100%
  34. 5:10 MIA Adebayo misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Adebayo turnover DET 55 – MIA 98 100%
  35. 5:01 DET Holland II misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 55 – MIA 98 100%
  36. 4:40 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 55 – MIA 98 100%
  37. DETSubstitution: in Chaz Lanier; out Javonte Green
  38. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Andrew Wiggins
  39. 4:08 DET Holland II 2 of 2 free throws DET 57 – MIA 98 100%
  40. 3:54 MIA Klay Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 57 – MIA 98 100%
  41. DETSubstitution: in Paul Reed; out Kevin Huerter
  42. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards; out Bam Adebayo
  43. 3:24 DET Reed misses layup (restricted area) DET 57 – MIA 98 100%
  44. 3:08 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Richards makes 3-pt jump shot (corner), and one: free throw made DET 57 – MIA 102 100%
  45. 3:05 DET Holland II misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Reed misses layup (restricted area) DET 57 – MIA 102 100%
  46. 2:48 MIA Richards misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Klay Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Larsson makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 57 – MIA 105 100%
  47. 2:32 DET Lanier turnover DET 57 – MIA 105 100%
  48. 2:22 MIA Larsson misses layup (restricted area) DET 57 – MIA 105 100%
  49. 1:58 DET Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 59 – MIA 105 100%
  50. 1:42 MIA Klay Thompson turnover DET 59 – MIA 105 100%
  51. 1:26 DET Holland II turnover DET 59 – MIA 105 100%
  52. 1:22 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 59 – MIA 105 100%
  53. 1:03 DET Reed misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 59 – MIA 105 100%
  54. 1:03 MIA Klay Thompson makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), and one: free throw made DET 59 – MIA 108 100%
  55. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins; out Davion Mitchell
  56. 0:50 DET Jenkins makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 61 – MIA 108 100%
  57. 0:39 MIA Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Klay Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 61 – MIA 108 100%
  58. DETSubstitution: in Kevin Huerter; out Jalen Duren
  59. 0:27 DET Holland II makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 64 – MIA 108 100%
  60. 0:22 MIA Klay Thompson makes layup (restricted area) DET 64 – MIA 110 100%
  61. 0:17 DET Huerter makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 67 – MIA 110 100%
  62. DETSubstitution: in Tolu Smith; out Daniss Jenkins
  63. 0:03 MIA Klay Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 67 – MIA 110 100%
  64. 0:03 DET Huerter makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made DET 70 – MIA 110 100%
Quarter 4 DET 17, MIA 36 in the period · score after DET 87 – MIA 146
  1. DETSubstitution: in Ausar Thompson, Ebuka Okorie; out Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II
  2. MIASubstitution: in Simone Fontecchio; out Andrew Wiggins
  3. 12:00 MIA Klay Thompson 2 of 2 free throws DET 70 – MIA 112 100%
  4. 11:49 DET Lanier makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 72 – MIA 112 100%
  5. 11:31 MIA Klay Thompson makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 72 – MIA 114 100%
  6. 11:16 DET Ausar Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 72 – MIA 114 100%
  7. 10:48 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made DET 72 – MIA 117 100%
  8. 10:17 DET Okorie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 72 – MIA 117 100%
  9. 10:03 MIA Klay Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 72 – MIA 117 100%
  10. 9:46 DET Huerter misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 72 – MIA 117 100%
  11. MIASubstitution: in Nikola Jović; out Simone Fontecchio
  12. 9:14 MIA Jović turnover DET 72 – MIA 117 100%
  13. 8:52 DET Tolu Smith misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 72 – MIA 117 100%
  14. DETSubstitution: in Daniss Jenkins; out Ausar Thompson
  15. 8:40 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 72 – MIA 120 100%
  16. 8:36 DET Lanier makes layup (restricted area) DET 74 – MIA 120 100%
  17. 8:24 MIA Richards 1 of 2 free throws DET 74 – MIA 121 100%
  18. 7:59 DET Huerter misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Okorie misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 74 – MIA 121 100%
  19. MIASubstitution: in Dru Smith; out Klay Thompson
  20. 7:41 MIA Dru Smith makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 74 – MIA 124 100%
  21. 7:36 DET Okorie misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 74 – MIA 124 100%
  22. 7:25 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 74 – MIA 126 100%
  23. 7:20 DET Lanier makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 77 – MIA 126 100%
  24. DETSubstitution: in Paul Reed; out Daniss Jenkins
  25. 7:05 MIA Jović turnover DET 77 – MIA 126 100%
  26. 6:54 DET Reed turnover DET 77 – MIA 126 100%
  27. 6:35 MIA Dru Smith makes layup (restricted area) DET 77 – MIA 128 100%
  28. 6:24 DET Tolu Smith misses layup (restricted area) DET 77 – MIA 128 100%
  29. 5:50 MIA Jović misses layup (restricted area) DET 77 – MIA 128 100%
  30. 5:26 DET Okorie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 77 – MIA 128 100%
  31. 5:22 MIA Larsson misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 77 – MIA 128 100%
  32. MIASubstitution: in Simone Fontecchio; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  33. 5:08 DET Huerter misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 77 – MIA 128 100%
  34. 4:54 MIA Fontecchio makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 77 – MIA 131 100%
  35. 4:36 DET Reed makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), and one: free throw made DET 80 – MIA 131 100%
  36. 4:32 MIA Richards 1 of 2 free throws DET 80 – MIA 132 100%
  37. 4:16 DET Okorie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 80 – MIA 132 100%
  38. 3:54 MIA Fontecchio 2 of 2 free throws DET 80 – MIA 134 100%
  39. 3:23 DET Lanier misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Okorie misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Huerter makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 83 – MIA 134 100%
  40. 3:21 MIA Jović turnover DET 83 – MIA 134 100%
  41. 3:18 DET Reed misses layup (restricted area) DET 83 – MIA 134 100%
  42. 3:14 MIA Richards makes layup (restricted area) DET 83 – MIA 136 100%
  43. 2:57 DET Reed turnover DET 83 – MIA 136 100%
  44. 2:53 MIA Larsson makes layup (restricted area) DET 83 – MIA 138 100%
  45. 2:16 DET Okorie misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 83 – MIA 138 100%
  46. 2:06 MIA Fontecchio makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw missed DET 83 – MIA 140 100%
  47. 1:39 DET Reed makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 85 – MIA 140 100%
  48. 1:01 MIA Richards makes layup (restricted area) DET 85 – MIA 142 100%
  49. 0:55 DET Lanier makes layup (restricted area) DET 87 – MIA 142 100%
  50. 0:44 MIA Fontecchio 2 of 2 free throws DET 87 – MIA 144 100%
  51. 0:26 DET Huerter turnover DET 87 – MIA 144 100%
  52. 0:11 MIA Jović 2 of 2 free throws DET 87 – MIA 146 100%

Simulated game 7,848 of 10,000 · the widest DET win of all 10,000

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
DET41384340162
MIA2322261788
Quarter 1 DET 41, MIA 23 in the period
  1. DETStarters: John Collins, Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Tolu Smith
  2. MIAStarters: Klay Thompson, Giannis G. Antetokounmpo, Andrew Wiggins, Nick Richards, Davion Mitchell
  3. 12:00 MIA Mitchell 1 of 2 free throws DET 0 – MIA 1
  4. 11:41 DET Duren turnover DET 0 – MIA 1 43%
  5. 11:29 MIA Richards makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 0 – MIA 3 44%
  6. 11:12 DET Duren makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 2 – MIA 3 43%
  7. 10:59 MIA Klay Thompson turnover DET 2 – MIA 3 43%
  8. 10:44 DET Collins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 5 – MIA 3 35%
  9. 10:26 MIA Wiggins turnover DET 5 – MIA 3 35%
  10. 10:25 DET Duren makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 7 – MIA 3 33%
  11. 10:15 MIA Antetokounmpo makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 7 – MIA 5 37%
  12. 9:59 DET Duren makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made DET 10 – MIA 5 29%
  13. 9:46 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 10 – MIA 7 34%
  14. 9:33 DET Collins turnover DET 10 – MIA 7 32%
  15. 9:19 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 10 – MIA 7 32%
  16. 9:10 DET Duren 2 of 2 free throws DET 12 – MIA 7 31%
  17. 8:49 MIA Antetokounmpo misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Antetokounmpo 2 of 2 free throws DET 12 – MIA 9 33%
  18. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Davion Mitchell
  19. 8:29 DET Robinson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 12 – MIA 9 33%
  20. 8:13 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Richards misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 12 – MIA 9 33%
  21. 8:09 DET Collins 2 of 2 free throws DET 14 – MIA 9 27%
  22. 7:45 MIA Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 14 – MIA 11 34%
  23. 7:19 DET Robinson 3 of 3 free throws DET 17 – MIA 11 26%
  24. 7:01 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 17 – MIA 11 28%
  25. DETSubstitution: in Daniss Jenkins; out John Collins
  26. 6:29 DET Jenkins makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 19 – MIA 11 19%
  27. DETSubstitution: in Kevin Huerter; out Jalen Duren
  28. MIASubstitution: in Bobby Portis Jr.; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo
  29. 6:22 MIA Wiggins turnover DET 19 – MIA 11 19%
  30. 6:07 DET Robinson makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 22 – MIA 11 16%
  31. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Klay Thompson
  32. 5:46 MIA Portis Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 22 – MIA 11 16%
  33. 5:43 DET Jenkins misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Huerter makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 24 – MIA 11 17%
  34. 5:23 MIA Richards 1 of 2 free throws DET 24 – MIA 12 14%
  35. 5:21 DET Huerter makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range), and one: free throw made DET 27 – MIA 12 11%
  36. 5:17 MIA Richards misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 27 – MIA 12 11%
  37. 5:03 DET Huerter misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 27 – MIA 12 8%
  38. DETSubstitution: in Ronald Holland II; out Ausar Thompson
  39. 4:57 MIA Richards makes layup (restricted area) DET 27 – MIA 14 14%
  40. 4:20 DET Robinson misses layup (restricted area) DET 27 – MIA 14 14%
  41. DETSubstitution: in Paul Reed; out Duncan Robinson
  42. 4:04 MIA Richards misses layup (restricted area) DET 27 – MIA 14 14%
  43. MIASubstitution: in Giannis G. Antetokounmpo; out Andrew Wiggins
  44. 3:38 DET Jenkins misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 27 – MIA 14 14%
  45. 3:33 MIA Portis Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Portis Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 27 – MIA 14 11%
  46. 3:28 DET Tolu Smith makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 30 – MIA 14 11%
  47. MIASubstitution: in Nikola Jović; out Nick Richards
  48. 3:06 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 30 – MIA 14 6%
  49. 2:59 DET Reed 2 of 2 free throws DET 32 – MIA 14 6%
  50. DETSubstitution: in Chaz Lanier; out Tolu Smith
  51. 2:29 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 32 – MIA 14 6%
  52. 2:22 DET Holland II misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Huerter misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 32 – MIA 14 6%
  53. 2:20 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 32 – MIA 14 6%
  54. 2:16 DET Reed misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 32 – MIA 14 2%
  55. 1:59 MIA Larsson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 32 – MIA 16 7%
  56. 1:32 DET Lanier makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 35 – MIA 16 0%
  57. 1:25 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 35 – MIA 19 5%
  58. DETSubstitution: in Cade Cunningham; out Daniss Jenkins
  59. 0:51 DET Holland II makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 38 – MIA 19 6%
  60. 0:26 MIA Portis Jr. 1 of 2 free throws DET 38 – MIA 20 2%
  61. 0:17 DET Holland II makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 41 – MIA 20 0%
  62. 0:15 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 41 – MIA 23 10%
Quarter 2 DET 38, MIA 22 in the period · score after DET 79 – MIA 45
  1. DETSubstitution: in John Collins, Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren; out Kevin Huerter, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II
  2. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson, Davion Mitchell; out Tim Hardaway Jr., Giannis G. Antetokounmpo
  3. 12:00 DET Reed makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 43 – MIA 23 6%
  4. 11:59 MIA Jović makes layup (restricted area) DET 43 – MIA 25 10%
  5. MIASubstitution: in Simone Fontecchio; out Pelle Larsson
  6. 11:44 DET Robinson makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 46 – MIA 25 6%
  7. 11:42 MIA Klay Thompson makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 46 – MIA 27 2%
  8. 11:30 DET Collins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 49 – MIA 27 10%
  9. 11:25 MIA Jović makes layup (restricted area) DET 49 – MIA 29 11%
  10. 11:04 DET Robinson misses layup (restricted area) DET 49 – MIA 29 4%
  11. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins; out Bobby Portis Jr.
  12. 10:51 MIA Klay Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 49 – MIA 29 4%
  13. 10:33 DET Duren 2 of 2 free throws DET 51 – MIA 29 0%
  14. 10:13 MIA Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 51 – MIA 29 11%
  15. 9:56 DET Lanier makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 54 – MIA 29 0%
  16. 9:48 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) DET 54 – MIA 31 0%
  17. DETSubstitution: in Daniss Jenkins; out Paul Reed
  18. 9:41 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Lanier misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 54 – MIA 31 0%
  19. 9:36 MIA Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 54 – MIA 31 0%
  20. 9:14 DET Lanier makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break), and one: free throw made DET 58 – MIA 31 0%
  21. 9:05 MIA Jović misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Klay Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 58 – MIA 31 0%
  22. 8:57 DET Collins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 58 – MIA 31 0%
  23. DETSubstitution: in Kevin Huerter; out Jalen Duren
  24. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards; out Simone Fontecchio
  25. 8:43 MIA Jović misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 58 – MIA 31 0%
  26. 8:20 DET Robinson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 58 – MIA 31 0%
  27. 8:08 MIA Richards makes layup (restricted area) DET 58 – MIA 33 4%
  28. 8:05 DET Huerter makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 60 – MIA 33 0%
  29. 7:47 MIA Jović misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 60 – MIA 33 0%
  30. 7:45 DET Huerter makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 63 – MIA 33 0%
  31. DETSubstitution: in Ausar Thompson; out John Collins
  32. 7:09 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 63 – MIA 33 0%
  33. 6:57 DET Huerter misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 63 – MIA 33 0%
  34. 6:51 MIA Wiggins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 63 – MIA 33 0%
  35. 6:39 DET Huerter misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Ausar Thompson makes layup (restricted area) DET 65 – MIA 33 0%
  36. 6:21 MIA Jović turnover DET 65 – MIA 33 0%
  37. 6:11 DET Lanier makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 68 – MIA 33 0%
  38. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr.; out Nikola Jović
  39. 6:07 MIA Hardaway Jr. 2 of 2 free throws DET 68 – MIA 35 0%
  40. 5:48 DET Lanier makes layup (restricted area) DET 70 – MIA 35 0%
  41. 5:23 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) DET 70 – MIA 37 0%
  42. DETSubstitution: in Paul Reed; out Duncan Robinson
  43. 5:22 DET Huerter 1 of 2 free throws DET 71 – MIA 37 0%
  44. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Davion Mitchell
  45. 4:46 MIA Klay Thompson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 71 – MIA 40 0%
  46. MIASubstitution: in Bobby Portis Jr.; out Nick Richards
  47. 4:26 DET Reed makes layup (restricted area) DET 73 – MIA 40 0%
  48. 4:01 MIA Hardaway Jr. turnover DET 73 – MIA 40 0%
  49. 3:57 DET Ausar Thompson turnover DET 73 – MIA 40 0%
  50. 3:48 MIA Wiggins 2 of 2 free throws DET 73 – MIA 42 0%
  51. MIASubstitution: in Giannis G. Antetokounmpo; out Klay Thompson
  52. 3:14 DET Ausar Thompson makes layup (restricted area) DET 75 – MIA 42 0%
  53. MIASubstitution: in Simone Fontecchio; out Bobby Portis Jr.
  54. 2:55 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses layup (restricted area) DET 75 – MIA 42 0%
  55. DETSubstitution: in John Collins; out Ausar Thompson
  56. 2:19 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 75 – MIA 42 0%
  57. 2:08 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 75 – MIA 42 0%
  58. 1:48 DET Reed misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 75 – MIA 42 0%
  59. 1:47 MIA Antetokounmpo misses layup (restricted area) DET 75 – MIA 42 0%
  60. 1:36 DET Reed makes layup (restricted area) DET 77 – MIA 42 0%
  61. 1:20 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 77 – MIA 42 0%
  62. 1:09 DET Reed makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 79 – MIA 42 0%
  63. MIASubstitution: in Davion Mitchell; out Pelle Larsson
  64. 0:57 MIA Antetokounmpo 1 of 2 free throws DET 79 – MIA 43 0%
  65. 0:42 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 79 – MIA 43 0%
  66. 0:38 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) DET 79 – MIA 45 0%
  67. 0:05 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 79 – MIA 45 0%
Quarter 3 DET 43, MIA 26 in the period · score after DET 122 – MIA 71
  1. DETSubstitution: in Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Tolu Smith; out Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Chaz Lanier, Daniss Jenkins
  2. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Simone Fontecchio
  3. 12:00 DET Tolu Smith misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Collins misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range), offensive rebound; Collins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break), and one: free throw missed DET 82 – MIA 45 0%
  4. 11:52 MIA Mitchell makes layup (restricted area), and one: free throw made DET 82 – MIA 48 0%
  5. 11:36 DET Tolu Smith makes layup (restricted area) DET 84 – MIA 48 0%
  6. 11:19 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Antetokounmpo turnover DET 84 – MIA 48 0%
  7. 11:09 DET Ausar Thompson misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Ausar Thompson misses layup (restricted area) DET 84 – MIA 48 0%
  8. 10:50 MIA Mitchell makes 2-pt shot (paint), and one: free throw made DET 84 – MIA 51 0%
  9. 10:15 DET Ausar Thompson turnover DET 84 – MIA 51 0%
  10. 10:12 MIA Klay Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 84 – MIA 51 0%
  11. 10:02 DET Ausar Thompson makes layup (restricted area) DET 86 – MIA 51 0%
  12. 10:00 MIA Wiggins makes layup (restricted area) DET 86 – MIA 53 0%
  13. 9:58 DET Duren misses 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 86 – MIA 53 0%
  14. 9:53 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 2-pt shot (paint), offensive rebound; Mitchell makes layup (restricted area) DET 86 – MIA 55 0%
  15. 9:41 DET Duren 2 of 3 free throws DET 88 – MIA 55 0%
  16. 9:33 MIA Hardaway Jr. makes layup (restricted area) DET 88 – MIA 57 0%
  17. 9:31 DET Ausar Thompson makes layup (restricted area) DET 90 – MIA 57 0%
  18. 9:21 MIA Antetokounmpo misses layup (restricted area) DET 90 – MIA 57 0%
  19. 9:06 DET Duren misses layup (restricted area) DET 90 – MIA 57 0%
  20. 9:03 MIA Antetokounmpo makes layup (restricted area) DET 90 – MIA 59 0%
  21. 8:59 DET Ausar Thompson makes layup (restricted area) DET 92 – MIA 59 0%
  22. 8:47 MIA Wiggins turnover DET 92 – MIA 59 0%
  23. 8:33 DET Collins makes layup (restricted area) DET 94 – MIA 59 0%
  24. 8:03 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 94 – MIA 59 0%
  25. MIASubstitution: in Myron Gardner; out Klay Thompson
  26. 7:38 DET Robinson turnover DET 94 – MIA 59 0%
  27. 7:36 MIA Wiggins 2 of 2 free throws DET 94 – MIA 61 0%
  28. 7:36 DET Duren makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 96 – MIA 61 0%
  29. 7:32 MIA Antetokounmpo makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 96 – MIA 64 0%
  30. 7:31 DET Ausar Thompson makes layup (restricted area) DET 98 – MIA 64 0%
  31. 7:28 MIA Mitchell misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 98 – MIA 64 0%
  32. 7:02 DET Robinson 1 of 3 free throws DET 99 – MIA 64 0%
  33. 6:39 MIA Antetokounmpo 1 of 3 free throws DET 99 – MIA 65 0%
  34. MIASubstitution: in Bobby Portis Jr.; out Andrew Wiggins
  35. 6:24 DET Robinson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Duren misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Robinson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 102 – MIA 65 0%
  36. 5:58 MIA Antetokounmpo misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 102 – MIA 65 0%
  37. 5:47 DET Duren misses layup (restricted area) DET 102 – MIA 65 0%
  38. DETSubstitution: in Ronald Holland II; out Ausar Thompson
  39. 5:35 MIA Mitchell misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 102 – MIA 65 0%
  40. MIASubstitution: in Simone Fontecchio; out Davion Mitchell
  41. 5:21 DET Duren makes layup (restricted area) DET 104 – MIA 65 0%
  42. DETSubstitution: in Kevin Huerter; out Tolu Smith
  43. MIASubstitution: in Nikola Jović; out Giannis G. Antetokounmpo
  44. 5:07 MIA Portis Jr. 2 of 2 free throws DET 104 – MIA 67 0%
  45. 5:05 DET Huerter 2 of 2 free throws DET 106 – MIA 67 0%
  46. MIASubstitution: in Pelle Larsson; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  47. 4:35 MIA Larsson turnover DET 106 – MIA 67 0%
  48. 4:20 DET Duren 2 of 2 free throws DET 108 – MIA 67 0%
  49. 4:01 MIA Gardner misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 108 – MIA 67 0%
  50. DETSubstitution: in Daniss Jenkins; out Duncan Robinson
  51. 3:59 DET Holland II turnover DET 108 – MIA 67 0%
  52. 3:41 MIA Larsson 2 of 2 free throws DET 108 – MIA 69 0%
  53. 3:11 DET Huerter 2 of 2 free throws DET 110 – MIA 69 0%
  54. 3:05 MIA Portis Jr. makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 110 – MIA 71 0%
  55. DETSubstitution: in Paul Reed, Chaz Lanier; out John Collins, Jalen Duren
  56. 2:36 DET Jenkins makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 112 – MIA 71 0%
  57. 2:30 MIA Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Jović turnover DET 112 – MIA 71 0%
  58. 2:25 DET Reed makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 114 – MIA 71 0%
  59. MIASubstitution: in Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell; out Nikola Jović, Simone Fontecchio
  60. 1:51 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 114 – MIA 71 0%
  61. 1:29 DET Reed misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Reed makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 116 – MIA 71 0%
  62. 1:12 MIA Wiggins misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 116 – MIA 71 0%
  63. 0:50 DET Holland II makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 119 – MIA 71 0%
  64. 0:49 MIA Portis Jr. misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Larsson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 119 – MIA 71 0%
  65. MIASubstitution: in Nick Richards; out Myron Gardner
  66. 0:23 DET Lanier makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 122 – MIA 71 0%
  67. 0:09 MIA Richards misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 122 – MIA 71 0%
Quarter 4 DET 40, MIA 17 in the period · score after DET 162 – MIA 88
  1. DETSubstitution: in John Collins, Duncan Robinson; out Kevin Huerter, Chaz Lanier
  2. MIASubstitution: in Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jović, Simone Fontecchio; out Andrew Wiggins, Nick Richards, Davion Mitchell
  3. 12:00 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 122 – MIA 71 0%
  4. 11:52 DET Jenkins makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 125 – MIA 71 0%
  5. 11:49 MIA Hardaway Jr. 2 of 2 free throws DET 125 – MIA 73 0%
  6. 11:37 DET Reed misses 3-pt jump shot (corner), offensive rebound; Robinson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 128 – MIA 73 0%
  7. 11:31 MIA Hardaway Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 128 – MIA 73 0%
  8. 11:10 DET Robinson misses layup (restricted area), offensive rebound; Reed makes 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 131 – MIA 73 0%
  9. 11:07 MIA Hardaway Jr. 1 of 2 free throws DET 131 – MIA 74 0%
  10. 10:54 DET Robinson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Collins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Reed makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 134 – MIA 74 0%
  11. 10:31 MIA Larsson makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 134 – MIA 76 0%
  12. 10:06 DET Collins makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 136 – MIA 76 0%
  13. 9:46 MIA Portis Jr. misses 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 136 – MIA 76 0%
  14. 9:31 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 136 – MIA 76 0%
  15. 9:19 MIA Hardaway Jr. turnover DET 136 – MIA 76 0%
  16. 9:16 DET Robinson makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 139 – MIA 76 0%
  17. 8:49 MIA Jović misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 139 – MIA 76 0%
  18. 8:34 DET Jenkins 2 of 2 free throws DET 141 – MIA 76 0%
  19. 8:25 MIA Larsson turnover DET 141 – MIA 76 0%
  20. 8:25 DET Jenkins turnover DET 141 – MIA 76 0%
  21. 8:19 MIA Portis Jr. misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 141 – MIA 76 0%
  22. 8:03 DET Reed misses layup (restricted area) DET 141 – MIA 76 0%
  23. MIASubstitution: in Klay Thompson; out Bobby Portis Jr.
  24. 7:50 MIA Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 141 – MIA 76 0%
  25. 7:45 DET Jenkins misses 2-pt shot (paint) DET 141 – MIA 76 0%
  26. 7:12 MIA Fontecchio turnover DET 141 – MIA 76 0%
  27. 7:12 DET Robinson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 141 – MIA 76 0%
  28. 7:12 MIA Klay Thompson 2 of 2 free throws DET 141 – MIA 78 0%
  29. 7:07 DET Holland II makes layup (restricted area) DET 143 – MIA 78 0%
  30. DETSubstitution: in Tolu Smith; out John Collins
  31. MIASubstitution: in Myron Gardner; out Tim Hardaway Jr.
  32. 6:42 MIA Jović makes 2-pt jump shot (long mid-range) DET 143 – MIA 80 0%
  33. DETSubstitution: in Kevin Huerter; out Duncan Robinson
  34. 6:21 DET Tolu Smith makes 2-pt shot (paint) DET 145 – MIA 80 0%
  35. 6:10 MIA Jović turnover DET 145 – MIA 80 0%
  36. 6:07 DET Tolu Smith misses layup (restricted area) DET 145 – MIA 80 0%
  37. 5:43 MIA Jović turnover DET 145 – MIA 80 0%
  38. MIASubstitution: in Bobby Portis Jr.; out Nikola Jović
  39. 5:29 DET Jenkins misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break), offensive rebound; Tolu Smith misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 145 – MIA 80 0%
  40. 5:06 MIA Portis Jr. makes 2-pt jump shot (short mid-range) DET 145 – MIA 82 0%
  41. DETSubstitution: in Chaz Lanier; out Daniss Jenkins
  42. 4:38 DET Lanier makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 148 – MIA 82 0%
  43. 4:24 MIA Gardner makes layup (restricted area) DET 148 – MIA 84 0%
  44. 4:03 DET Huerter misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 148 – MIA 84 0%
  45. 3:39 MIA Klay Thompson turnover DET 148 – MIA 84 0%
  46. 3:28 DET Lanier makes layup (restricted area) DET 150 – MIA 84 0%
  47. 3:17 MIA Fontecchio makes layup (restricted area) DET 150 – MIA 86 0%
  48. 3:15 DET Tolu Smith turnover DET 150 – MIA 86 0%
  49. 3:08 MIA Klay Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 150 – MIA 86 0%
  50. 2:55 DET Huerter misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 150 – MIA 86 0%
  51. 2:36 MIA Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (corner) DET 150 – MIA 86 0%
  52. 2:35 DET Tolu Smith makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 153 – MIA 86 0%
  53. 2:33 MIA Klay Thompson misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 153 – MIA 86 0%
  54. 2:13 DET Huerter makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 156 – MIA 86 0%
  55. 2:05 MIA Klay Thompson turnover DET 156 – MIA 86 0%
  56. 2:03 DET Tolu Smith makes layup (restricted area) DET 158 – MIA 86 0%
  57. 1:51 MIA Larsson 2 of 3 free throws DET 158 – MIA 88 0%
  58. 1:22 DET Tolu Smith 1 of 2 free throws DET 159 – MIA 88 0%
  59. 0:45 MIA Fontecchio misses 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 159 – MIA 88 0%
  60. 0:12 DET Tolu Smith makes 3-pt jump shot (above the break) DET 162 – MIA 88 0%
07Run
Run
mcs-20261023-231702-9b06c
Created
Oct 23, 7:17 PM ET
Data cutoff
Oct 23, 7:17 PM ET
Simulated games
10,000
Seed
3728827094720076071
Kernel
machine-kernel-0.3.0
Contract
machine-results/0.12
Code
87f7069c9b7c
Classification
experimental

Each run records its inputs, model versions and seed, so the same forecast can be reproduced.